Chris L Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 This run is absolute perfection. The H500 is closed off, taking the ideal track, undergoes rapid cyclogensis, the polar jet digs to the gulf, the MJO is in our favor.... I am seriously loving this threat here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Unreal how the surface low tracks over the Gulf Coast and then winds up north and tucked in off the NJ Coast and south of LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
afvet89 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 hey tombo, does the euro throw back some snow back in interior Pa ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atlas Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 I feel like we were in this very same situation just a few days ago... oh god lets hope for a better outcome. Not even close, not at ONE point did we have more than 1 model showing a SECS, once we got to 96 hours o so all models showed no storm, mostly out to sea, except for the one euro hiccup run, this storm is much different and ALL the models have a storm progged. The question this time is where not if. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 My wife is gonna kill me this week, trying to get ready for christmas (45 people the eve then bklyn on sat) while tracking this storm. GGEM, UK, ECM nice trend tonight! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BL03 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 OMG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 hr 174 sub 976 low over the cape lgt precip over phl, lgt to mod nyc...ok im going to make a map for everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 H5 is progressive despite closing off which prevents an epic bomb, but very impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Not even close, not at ONE point did we have more than 1 model showing a SECS, once we got to 96 hours o so all models showed no storm, mostly out to sea, except for the one euro hiccup run, this storm is much different and ALL the models have a storm progged. The question this time is where not if. I was more referring to the fact that the EURO showed an absolute bomb 4-5 days out with both these storms. You are correct with the other points you made however. Personally I feel much better with this storm than I did with the last storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Going by the Euro, it would begin within a couple of hours either side of midnight Christmas night into the 26th and continue through Sunday the 26th. The Euro does have a slow bias so chances are the storm would begin a bit earlier then what is being depicted. What's the timing looking like right now? Is it still a late friday/early saturday start? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 from HM and as I stated earlier when I saw the GGEM DT, doesnt 156h remind you of how the ECMWF looked with 1996 at one point with the extreme west pull toward the coast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 H5 is progressive despite closing off which prevents an epic bomb, but very impressive. With that said this outcome is epic nevertheless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 hr 174 sub 976 low over the cape lgt precip over phl, lgt to mod nyc...ok im going to make a map for everyone grazie tombo. This is shaping up to be some story. I sense full media hype tomorrow...Snowstorm coinciding with christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BL03 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ridingtime Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Holy wow-reading through the last four pages of the Euro analysis was like a coaster. You got all me all worried with it being so south initially, but then BAM, things made an amazing comeback and now we are witnessing the sexiest model run of the Euro ever. Please G-d, let this happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 WOW!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 FEB- why do you have Feb 64 in your sig? The h5 depiction kinda has some similarities..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lester Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Holy wow-reading through the last four pages of the Euro analysis was like a coaster. You got all me all worried with it being so south initially, but then BAM, things made an amazing comeback and now we are witnessing the sexiest model run of the Euro ever. Please G-d, let this happen. If this happens I will be happy for the next fifteen years Sent from my ADR6300 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Looks JUST like 96 IMO didnt i say that about 45 mins ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 FEB- why do you have Feb 64 in your sig? The h5 depiction kinda has some similarities..... I was Feb 64 over at Eastern. The day i was born was during that snowstorm!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 that is almost too close for comfort on the surface low placement OMG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 The relative slow speed of the Euro bothers me a bit. S/W timing differences are going to throw off this thing's evolution in a few of the upcoming cycles. And we also can't seen to get inside the 144hr range. The GFS had snow potentially starting well within the 5 day range. Now we're back to day 6. Some really gorgous runs tonight however! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDemon Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Yeah, let the media hype begin. How would they be able to resist a headline like "Christmas Blizzard"? Anyways, a truly epic, epic run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 would feel more comfortable if that was abt 75 miles further SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 this is prob the easiest map i have had to make blue .75-1 pink 1-1.25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 I'm utterly speechless. Utterly speechless. 979mb under coast of LI, Omggggg. It seems as if the slower the better, with the phase coming in near the gulf from the northern branch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Atlas Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Yeah, let the media hype begin. How would they be able to resist a headline like "Christmas Blizzard"? Anyways, a truly epic, epic run. Although we're giddy its way too early for media hype, although if its still on the map by Wednesday 12z, then, maybe yeah full throttle. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
afvet89 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 are u saying that most of Pa is in .75 or more? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 this is prob the easiest map i have had to make blue .75-1 pink 1-1.25 Really low QPF but that is no issue right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 mother of god... but, the Euro is depicting the perfect solution 6-7 days out. Unfortunately it is highly likely we are going downhill from here, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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