tombo82685 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 here is the precip map at hr 144 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 call me crazy- but this map has Jan 1996 written all over it. That's not a crazy comparison. But we've seen plenty of maps that equaled or exceeded that storm but few in reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 GGEM sure looks like what the 0z GFS would have done if it had phased right on time with the northern stream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 look at h5 at 0Z Jan 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 the granddaddy of them all- nothing will ever come close http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/NARR/1996/us0108.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 here is the precip map at hr 144 Wow that is a beauty. Next frame would be epicness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 here is the precip map at hr 144 again, i know we are 144 hours out, but I would have thought there would be more QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 again, i know we are 144 hours out, but I would have thought there would be more QPF Surface low is still off the Mid-Atlantic coast, still just starting to turn the corner. Don't worry in that regard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 look at h5 at 0Z Jan 8 Heights and surface low depth/position similar. An important difference however was the amplitude of the trof that allowed abundant gulf moisture to be incorporated. Interesting that storm didn't have the prettiest upper level evolution, which helped keep the ptype primarily snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 N AL at 120hrs to this at 144, it has continuity with the 12z run on slp placement in N AL Hard to tell buut the uk looks suppressed still. Sliding off SC coast, not sure it it turns up, but Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 wow that ggem run sure raises eyebrows...Cant wait to see the run in greater detail on ewall...Man, the H5 vort comes flying down from the lakes. Nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 alright the euro has begun.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 heres hrs 156 and 168 for the gem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 About the January 1996 H500 mb map, the GGEM has that favorable look to it, minus the cutoff low, with the super amplifed trough digging, and likely to phase with the southern and northern stream, the shortwave in the prime spot for the sfc low to just undergo rapid explosive deepening once the trough goes negative; now just give the GGEM a cutoff low, we will be perhaps going absolutely bonkers. It will be quite interesting for the ECMWF to follow suit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 UK 144 Thats old image ,,,not updated there yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 UK 144 Old map..144 should be valid Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 heres hrs 156 and 168 for the gem 144 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Thats old image ,,,not updated there yet Old map..144 should be valid Sunday the new one was posted in gen forum, it basically was the gfs and the ens, took low off hse then ene from there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Thats old image ,,,not updated there yet Old map..144 should be valid Sunday thanks guys, gettin late for this old man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 out to hr 48, the euro deepens the ots low to sub 968 wowsers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 thanks guys, gettin late for this old man. It is valid 0z Sunday, look at the run time stamp, 0hr 12-20-2010, valid December 26 Not unless I am missing something, which you are right, it is getting late Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 current UKMET map @ 144 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 It is valid 0z Sunday, look at the run time stamp, 0hr 12-20-2010, valid December 26 Not unless I am missing something, which you are right, it is getting late I was referencing the other Ukie image posted..not the one you posted. Yours is the correct time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 fwiw through hr 72 the euro doesn't suport the nam's norlun on roids Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 It is valid 0z Sunday, look at the run time stamp, 0hr 12-20-2010, valid December 26 Not unless I am missing something, which you are right, it is getting late yes that one is valid and shows what appears to be the uk leading to a suppressed ots solution again. The other metrocentre site map i posted was old. (i deleted) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 current UKMET map @ 144 better than 12z, not as bas as i first thought. Still likely a miss for our area nj/nyc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 current UKMET map @ 144 yeah that looks pretty damn good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Euro is much stronger with the shortwave than the GFS through 78 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Euro is trying it's hardest to hang energy back in the southwest US..much slower getting it out of there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 better than 12z, not as bas as i first thought. Still likely a miss for our area nj/nyc. i dont know- there is a closed h5 low in the ohio valley....i would think that would keep the SLP closer to the coast...and the trough is trying to go neg. I think the next panle would be pretty good considering its 144hrs out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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