KEITH L.I Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 On 12/19/2010 at 6:38 PM, tombo82685 said: hr 180 sub 984 100 miles east of cc lgt precip over nyc so in the Euro it's snows from Christmas morning thru Sunday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 On 12/19/2010 at 6:38 PM, KEITH L.I said: hey any accumulating snow on Christmas is a dream..I'll take several inches..doesn't have to be a blizzard Totally agree. Good to see the Euro, though weaker, take a big step toward the GFS. Despite what DT said in the general forum, the GFS has been very consistent with this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 On 12/19/2010 at 6:39 PM, Plfdwxdude said: so it sounds like it goes from Christmas afternoon through Monday now? Timing needs to be worked out but I suspect based on past experience it will be quickler overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 hr 186 storm goes ots qpf nyc .6 phl .5 mdt .1-.25 ttn .5 ac 1 abe .15 balt .4-.5 dc .4-.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted December 19, 2010 Author Share Posted December 19, 2010 Decent moderate storm from the Euro along the coast. Light snow in the western suburbs on this run, verbatim. If I were a snow weenie, this is about where I'd set my expectations at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 On 12/19/2010 at 6:40 PM, KEITH L.I said: so in the Euro it's snows from Christmas morning thru Sunday? correct, starts christmas day stop sometime sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 On 12/19/2010 at 6:40 PM, Feb said: Totally agree. Good to see the Euro, though weaker, take a big step toward the GFS. Despite what DT said in the general forum, the GFS has been very consistent with this storm. Haha well look at how well DTs 1966 analog worked out for this weekends storm. Anyways nice step toward the gfs this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Colin Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 On 12/19/2010 at 6:42 PM, tombo82685 said: hr 186 storm goes ots qpf nyc .6 phl .5 mdt .1-.25 ttn .5 ac 1 abe .15 balt .4-.5 dc .4-.5 a solid 1-2" from the euro. sweet. i guess in this winter we gotta take anything we can get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 The Euro does have a slow bias, usually by 12-24 hours, but regardless it looks like snow would begin sometime during Christmas morning/afternoon and continue into Sunday morning/afternoon. On 12/19/2010 at 6:39 PM, Plfdwxdude said: so it sounds like it goes from Christmas afternoon through Monday now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 On 12/19/2010 at 6:42 PM, tombo82685 said: correct, starts christmas day stop sometime sunday that would be the first real White Christmas for me in 44 years.sounds great..well I guess 2002 counts but it rained most of christmas day so it doesn't really count Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 On 12/19/2010 at 6:42 PM, tombo82685 said: hr 186 storm goes ots qpf nyc .6 phl .5 mdt .1-.25 ttn .5 ac 1 abe .15 balt .4-.5 dc .4-.5 Let's hope those numbers increase as we get closer to the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Can we say the euro is trending towards the gfs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Depending on ratios, it looks like it would be a solid 6-8" snowstorm for places like PHL, TTN, and NYC on the Euro this run. On 12/19/2010 at 6:42 PM, tombo82685 said: hr 186 storm goes ots qpf nyc .6 phl .5 mdt .1-.25 ttn .5 ac 1 abe .15 balt .4-.5 dc .4-.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 12z GFS gives 18-25" throughout area.... lol http://www.meteor.ia...s/gfs3_kswf.dat http://www.meteor.ia...s/gfs3_klga.dat http://www.meteor.ia...s/gfs3_kewr.dat http://www.meteor.ia...s/gfs3_khpn.dat http://www.meteor.ia...s/gfs3_kisp.dat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 When i see a system in this position i think back to past events that ended up pretty nice. I do not think I would worry about the ECM QPF output at this time....This is pretty classic looking IMHO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 On 12/19/2010 at 6:46 PM, daxx said: Can we say the euro is trending towards the gfs? It's weaker with less precip but i would say it's trending toward the GFS and not the other way around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Which would be a great storm. Don't really want a crippling blizzard on a major holiday anyway (though I wouldn't exactly be crying if that were to happen either) On 12/19/2010 at 6:48 PM, Rtd208 said: Depending on ratios, it looks like it would be a solid 6-8" snowstorm for places like PHL, TTN, and NYC on the Euro this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Personally, I would like to see QPF amounts increase by .25-.50" on the Euro compared to where they are now over the next couple of runs. On 12/19/2010 at 6:45 PM, Voyager said: Let's hope those numbers increase as we get closer to the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Tom, What does it have for Trenton and New York? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 On 12/19/2010 at 6:53 PM, 1234abc said: Tom, What does it have for Trenton and New York? qpf wise ttn .5 nyc .5-.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 12Z JMA quite suppressed with light snow for next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NittanyWx Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 You shouldn't be too concerned with QPF amounts 5-6 days from the event. Analyze the synoptic pattern and upper levels at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 On 12/19/2010 at 6:54 PM, tombo82685 said: qpf wise ttn .5 nyc .5-.6 Thanks Tombo. Hows the euro looking after this storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 On 12/19/2010 at 6:56 PM, tmagan said: 12Z JMA quite suppressed with light snow for next weekend. storm cancel seriously though i really like what i see, the consistency on the GFS is astounding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Actually, I meant the Bufkit. Do you have a link that you can provide where I can access the data for the Bufkit? On 12/19/2010 at 6:53 PM, 1234abc said: Tom, What does it have for Trenton and New York? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 On 12/19/2010 at 6:57 PM, SACRUS said: Thanks Tombo. Hows the euro looking after this storm? cold might be a storm post 240 but it may slide off the se coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 On 12/19/2010 at 6:42 PM, am19psu said: If I were a snow weenie, this is about where I'd set my expectations at this time. You can't hide what's inside. We're all snow weenies, it's just a matter of seperating wants from reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 On 12/19/2010 at 6:56 PM, NittanyWx said: You shouldn't be too concerned with QPF amounts 5-6 days from the event. Analyze the synoptic pattern and upper levels at this point. This...one of my biggest pet peeves are the arguments over QPF at 150 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 And how do those things look to you, when comparing the GFS and Euro? On 12/19/2010 at 6:56 PM, NittanyWx said: You shouldn't be too concerned with QPF amounts 5-6 days from the event. Analyze the synoptic pattern and upper levels at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 On 12/19/2010 at 6:56 PM, tmagan said: 12Z JMA quite suppressed with light snow for next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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