mahk_webstah Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 so for up here basically we are locked and loaded at this point. Now we can just watch. The usual nail biting on dryslots, bands, subsidence. At least for those in the far interior. Still many nails to be chewed and weenies to be sprung and deflated to my south and east. all models over 1" up here, some close to 2. Consistent signal for 4 days. I say 10-18 n of the ma/nh border. Lollies to 24 in some spots. Don't see that as bold given the consistent qpf, the potential high rations in ccb/deform, and the potential for an overperforming front end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sankaty Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Any sense of what time the heavier snowfall ends according to the Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 so for up here basically we are locked and loaded at this point. Now we can just watch. The usual nail biting on dryslots, bands, subsidence. At least for those in the far interior. Still many nails to be chewed and weenies to be sprung and deflated to my south and east. all models over 1" up here, some close to 2. Consistent signal for 4 days. I say 10-18 n of the ma/nh border. Lollies to 24 in some spots. Don't see that as bold given the consistent qpf, the potential high rations in ccb/deform, and the potential for an overperforming front end. 8-12" for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 The one thing to watch perhaps is the front end maybe almost favoring ern areas. This isn't an IMBY post, but some models have been hunting at that. Anyways backlash is more ern NY Kevin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Great run. Where do I sign... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Look forward to hearing about SW Maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Snow Thursday. Snow Friday. Snow Saturday. Not continuous but per euro measurable each day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 We really should not complain about this run. Many peeps prob thought it would run up the ct river lol. The fact its colder and se a tick or two, great to see imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Any sense of what time the heavier snowfall ends according to the Euro? Prob pellets by late afternoon in your area and a dryslot shortly after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 8-12" for us. I'm probably going down in flames with Mahk too.. I like this system for overperforming in CNH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 10 or so down this way? I'll take it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 8-12" for us. how much qpf are you assuming? or is it ds or warming? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Well if you're going to change the pattern you might as well get us all these snow chances within a few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 The one thing to watch perhaps is the front end maybe almost favoring ern areas. This isn't an IMBY post, but some models have been hunting at that. Anyways backlash is more ern NY Kevin. Yes it does...the strongest ML frontogensis on the front end is in eastern areas. the LLJ really tries to crank up into RI/E MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
New Englander Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Better Euro run...I could see the front end giving us around 6 inches....don't expect much from the backlash. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Is it spitting out any copious moisture? OT--it's also got that little doohickey at 12z Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Nam been good, we should admit it. It never went as far nw as euro and it never waivered too far se. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Yes it does...the strongest ML frontogensis on the front end is in eastern areas. the LLJ really tries to crank up into RI/E MA. Every model has it. Obviously temps on the coast become an issue eventually, but that's why areas near and especially NW of BOS could do real well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I'm probably going down in flames with Mahk too.. I like this system for overperforming in CNHBest WAA may be east of us. Ratios probably won't be that great on the front end. The good ratios will be in the deform zone that will rot over E NY and VT. Then we may even have a slight downslope with the N-NE flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Looks like we are narrowing this to track between elbow of Cape and ACK. Not really buying the GFS track to LI and then ENE or the backlash on the GFS either). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 8-12" for us. That would be a little bit of a downer forecast, considering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 10 or so down this way? I'll take it Yes we can. And n fairfield cnty like ridgfield on north looks money. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 We really should not complain about this run. Many peeps prob thought it would run up the ct river lol. The fact its colder and se a tick or two, great to see imo. Agreed. As long as folks have let go of the KU type deal, this is a very solid event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Look forward to hearing about SW Maine 8-12", 1.0" qpf your not squeezing more out of that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Mets..wet snow..or 27-28 snow? Thump part Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 That would be a little bit of a downer forecast, considering.you guys in ME may get a better front end thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Snow Thursday. Snow Friday. Snow Saturday. Not continuous but per euro measurable each day. I had the lightest of feather dustings this morning...so really possibly 4 straight days here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Mets..wet snow..or 27-28 snow? Thump part U20s or so my guess. Might even be mid 20s for a while Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 8-12" for us. What do you make of the Euro's deform signal up my way and over toward PF? Reasonable or no? It's been pretty persistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Best WAA may be east of us. Ratios probably won't be that great on the front end. The good ratios will be in the deform zone that will rot over E NY and VT. Then we may even have a slight downslope with the N-NE flow. I know nne winds can be bad for us. front end goodies will be east of us though? wow that would suck. we get no deform or stinger? is this euro or other models as well? this must be why gyx map yesterday had merrimack 8-10 but just ese of us was 10-14. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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