ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I realize that the storm evolution is very different, but from a sensible weather perspective, it sounds like this storm could be pretty similar to last Wednesday's storm (6-8 inch front end, light mix in the middle, another 1-2 inches on the tail end). The main difference could be a bit less intense with the front end thump, maybe a bit more after the change back to snow, and longer duration overall? Yes...the front end in this one will likely be less intense but also last longer...more like 7-10 hours versus 5-6 hours in the last one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Safest bet at this time frame is to pretty much ride the RGEM We can only dream up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 A lot more folks would find this one more enjoyable if we can get the Euro to budge some SE, Think that may happen, But don't think it would be to the GGEM's shift but if it was............ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 A lot more folks would find this one more enjoyable if we can get the Euro to budge some SE, Think that may happen, But don't think it would be to the GGEM's shift but if it was............ Stop with this nonsense. This is more enjoyable if the ECM stays right where it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Yeah but if we get 6-10 on the front another 3-5 on the fanny side. That's over a foot potentially Well those expectations for YBY would likely lead to disappointment I think...I'd prob take 2/3rds to 75% of those numbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Well those expectations for YBY would likely lead to disappointment I think...I'd prob take 2/3rds to 75% of those numbers.Im fully invested in 8-12 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Safest bet at this time frame is to pretty much ride the RGEM We can only dream up here. Lol.. Be careful. That's the equivalent of preaching communism during McCarthy era, down with the witch! Could lack of RAOB's in south really hurt modeling enough to effect this storm on the models? I find that hard to believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Im fully invested in 8-12 here That more muted than the 9-15 you just posted (6-10 and then 3-5)...but sure . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I'm not convinced that pretty close to Boston doesn't get 7 or 8 inches out of this. Its going to be close depending on how intense that warm conveyor is....its been ramping up. I could see up to 6" in Boston, 8" imby. Max imho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I wonder how many are waiting on this Euro run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RI Rob Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I wonder how many are waiting on this Euro run How much longer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Wont be an major adjustments in guidance but a couple tickles here and there might make the diff for alot of nipple sucklers in eastern sections. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I could see up to 6" in Boston, 8" imby. Max imho. Gets you close to normal. Not gonna be the bomb for you as i thought, and prayed for lol..but its not cold and dry winter anymore at least. Take the good? Or still focus on the bad? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I wonder how many are waiting on this Euro run I sure as hell am. Should know in 15-20 mins for those who asked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Euro is an unreal toaster for DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Euro is an unreal toaster for DC. This storm is really giving models a hard time, very complex Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Euro is tickling a bit colder again...BOS might even still be snowing at 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 The thermal gradient is so tight with this system it's going to be quite difficult for the models, even the mesoscale models to completely sniff out where the line between what would be ran and what would be snow sets up. Literally...a difference of even 20 miles is going to make a substantial difference for some. This is all really going to come down to nowcasting and watching the progression of the warmer air. You could pull all your hair out completely studying each model and their output. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Euro still over the Cape, but def a tick cooler. Nice deform signal still for VT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Euro is tickling a bit colder again...BOS might even still be snowing at 00z. 12z NAM was right around 00z for BOS for changeover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Euro is tickling a bit colder again...BOS might even still be snowing at 00z. Looks near ACK? Defintely colder. Looks like Berks and ern NY get the backlash pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Gets you close to normal. Not gonna be the bomb for you as i thought, and prayed for lol..but its not cold and dry winter anymore at least. Take the good? Or still focus on the bad? Nah, its fine. Its been a good season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 My original thoughts on the track might work out fairly well hopefully. One more tick at 00z lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Euro is warning snowfall to the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 CCB whips the region..or at least a decent backlash and better than 00z Euro had Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 BOS appears to mainly ds and get in on a few inches as it trudges by. 6+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Yeah that was definitely a little bit colder...looked like an ACK track. Keeps W of 495 pretty much all snow...and it still gets the VT chairlist noose-tiers with good backlash so pretty good run for a large chunk of New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Euro close to keeping Hartford, ORH, Even close to Lawrence/Lowell all snow... -1 is warmest @ LWM it appears. (850) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Trouble posting. Euro is a great front ender for BOS. Then it taints but it kind of dryslots. Then some on the back end. 6+ depicted I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 CCB whips the region..or at least a decent backlash and better than 00z Euro had Maybe an inch or two on the backlash...main stuff is far W MA more into ALB and up through VT. But you probably dont break freezing at the surface on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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