Bostonseminole Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 still snowing at 48rs with the "stinger" again not much movement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 not unusual for the nam to be warm and amped. great track for a lot...ultimate track between ack and the elbow? i would call that the Me-spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 NH and NW ME are going to do great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Where is the warm tongue coming from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Where is the warm tongue coming from? Its roots down south. I still think the low levels are too warm..especially inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 NAM becomes a huge isothermal snowbomb for ern areas in the aftn. Man literally 0.5F could mean the difference of like 9" or 4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 will wait for GFS/EURO for final call but for right now for my backyard is 4-6" on front end.. rain and the 1-2" back end.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I won't hold my breath on some stinger snow, Backside snow almost never works out up here, I would have to do it all on the front end if the Nam is right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 NAM becomes a huge isothermal snowbomb for ern areas in the aftn. Man literally 0.5F could mean the difference of like 9" or 4".maybe I should up my back end totals.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Its roots down south. I still think the low levels are too warm..especially inland. I'm having a hard time believing it mixes into S Vt but who knows. This looks to have surprises right up through go time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 maybe I should up my back end totals.. You guys do well on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 It's a front end job for most, people have to just accept that. That part has not changed. The Berks have the best chance of getting into snow after maybe mixing. Meaning not many change back to snow later in the evening now? I thought many had a chance of snow after the mix/rain/etc.? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I think Noyes underdoes VT in this one. He must be riding the GFS/NAM and tossing the Euro. Yea, he's too far se. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I'm having a hard time believing it mixes into S Vt but who knows. This looks to have surprises right up through go time. Well that is more of a result of the 850 level warming. Your srfc temps will never sniff 32F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 NAM seems to be inching NW at both 850 and the surface, though. I'm amazed that the Euro remained the same at 0z. It didn't. it went Se and colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 backlash looks good on NAM. That is going to take a lot of folks by surprise tomorrow night into Fri Am in SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Meaning not many change back to snow later in the evening now? I thought many had a chance of snow after the mix/rain/etc.? I should clarify, I meant the best chance of getting a few inches anyways. Yeah, I could see many changing back with maybe an inch or two. I caution people not to hang there hats on backlash stuff. More often than not, they are fickle and nowcast type stuff. I feel like too many people are getting their panties bunched up from that. Lets see what the 12z guidance does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 It didn't. it went Se and colder Actually looks dead on from 6z...NW from 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 You guys do well on the NAM. I've toned down my expectations since Monday, should be fun to watch with the wind and banding etc, down south is getting it bad, power outages increasing rapidly now up to 65K in GA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Actually looks dead on from 6z...NW from 0z. Yeah I didn't see much change..maybe a little warmer overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Front ender. What we knew 4-5 days a ago eastern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 backlash looks good on NAM. That is going to take a lot of folks by surprise tomorrow night into Fri Am in SNE hopefully not surprised with rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Actually looks dead on from 6z...NW from 0z. The Euro. the 00z Euro was colder and SE of 12z. i thought you were talking about the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 NAM seems to be inching NW at both 850 and the surface, though. I'm amazed that the Euro remained the same at 0z. The Euro was that rare 1 in 75 storm where the Vineyard flips back to snow before Boston as cold air wraps in from the SW. Seems unlikely but you never know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Well that is more of a result of the 850 level warming. Your srfc temps will never sniff 32F.I don't buy that 850 warmth getting into Dendrite landMe, yes for a little while , but not much further north or west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 The Euro. the 00z Euro was colder and SE of 12z. i thought you were talking about the Euro Oh sorry. Yeah it moved what? 10 miles east? Still over than canal like its past 8 runs minus 1 over NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Oh sorry. Yeah it moved what? 10 miles east? Still over than canal like its past 8 runs minus 1 over NYC Those 10-50 miles means a lot to millions of folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 People see what they want to see... Well when Will and Scooter tell us it did move east a bit and colder a bit..most of us believe them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Those 10-50 miles means a lot to millions of folks Yeah I'm wary of the Euro despite its consistency. Especially for up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I won't hold my breath on some stinger snow, Backside snow almost never works out up here, I would have to do it all on the front end if the Nam is right Once there is a westerly component to the winds, it's downsloping FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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