codfishsnowman Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 getting uglier by the minute Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bch2014 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Worst modeled storm of the season by far.. These swings are too much to handle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 RGEM really amped up. Right over Steve's house...lol. Big time head-fake by the 00z run last night? Should be a fun set of 12z models. Do or die time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 A more in depth look at the EC ensembles shows that they seemed to be a little faster, so overall not much change it appears. At least to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Worst modeled storm of the season by far.. These swings are too much to handle. The swings are actually bad interpretations that try to make each run seem colder and snowier. I just briefly looked at overnight runs and don't see a whole lot different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Quite the gradient Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 12z Euro today will tell the tale..It doesn't really matter what any of the other models do..If that comes west we know the drill..if it ticks east again like 00z then good news for all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 The swings are actually bad interpretations that try to make each run seem colder and snowier. I just briefly looked at overnight runs and don't see a whole lot different. The 00z GFS last night and EC were definitely a bit colder and a better depiction..even the ensembles until the euro ensembles came out. I wouldn't call it a swing, but the ticks definitely count. What it doesn't change is the front ender really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Sounds like decent trends, for now. ...Expecting to see west trends by mid-day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 The 00z GFS last night and EC were definitely a bit colder and a better depiction..even the ensembles until the euro ensembles came out. I wouldn't call it a swing, but the ticks definitely count. What it doesn't change is the front ender really. Yup some nice, coider trends overnight..no question GGEm too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Nice to wake up see no major model swings. Gonna' dump here. Meanwhile -10F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Yup some nice, coider trends overnight..no question GGEm too Question is are they real. Also feel so called backlash is more for Berks at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 GFS trended to a much better front end thump.. And showing an amazing comma head for SNE.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 What time do the 09 SREFs come out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 GFS trended to a much better front end thump.. And showing an amazing comma head for SNE.. Looks like .30-.50 before warmer air arrives. 4-6" by 10am then roads should actually be just fine late afternoon with temps above freezing and light rain or drizzle. Then close to midnight on backside another 2-4". 6-10" for NYC off of the 06z sounds about right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I'm liking my p/c out here in GC. 4-8" tomorrow 7-11" tomorrow night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 06z GFS maps on instantweathermaps shows me switching precip types 4 different times during this storm. I think I agree with Kev, check the Euro at 12z and go high res from there, too close to call for ptype to being using the globals verbatim at this point. Clarity will come today. Sent from my SCH-I545 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I've seen some say models ticked west, others east, others say not much change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 GFS trended to a much better front end thump.. And showing an amazing comma head for SNE.. That was def more for western areas as far as snow goes, but it does develop a nice comma head..just not the ptype most want at first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 GYXers ... it's coming ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 This is an odd storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I've seen some say models ticked west, others east, others say not much change. The 00z runs generally ticked east a little, not dramatically, but enough to make everyone colder. The 06 NAM/GFS/RGEM have subsequently ticked back west. GYXers ... it's coming ... StormTotalSnowFcst.png Fun times--enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 This is an odd storm It's actually not as odd as one may think. We just haven't had too many with this depiction in recent years. It seems 1970-75 had a lot of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 This is an odd storm Odd, Shmodd. YOu're getting a lot of snow. Enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Damn so close to something big here.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 It's actually not as odd as one may think. We just haven't had too many with this depiction in recent years. It seems 1970-75 had a lot of them.Memory or CIPS?I guess by odd, it is both the presentation in reality (from what I have seen) and the modeling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kmcfarland99 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 GYXers ... it's coming ... StormTotalSnowFcst.png Here in the Portland area, still waiting to see which way things will swing; will that 10-14 inch closer to the coast or will it be the other way, with the 4-6 coming on shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Still not that impressed this morning. Looks like ~6'' of wet snow on the front end thump then freezing drizzle in a dryslot for a lot of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Odd map Already posted 12hrs ago while u were tucked in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStick Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Damn so close to something big here.... That gyx map looks big! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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