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East Coast winter storm, February 13th-14th, imminent (Part II)


Typhoon Tip

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00Z GFS compared to 06Z had a track slightly E of the present run. Every mile counts. 

06Z overall is a net loss for coastal snow hounds 850 Temps torched back to the ORH Hills.

The NAM was a complete flusher.

WSW up for inland area's and BOX now has 14-18" painted in for portions of Central MA. which probably extends SW into CT.

 

It appears to be a nail biter right up to the 11th hour.

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I'm trying to be very quiet during all of this....sitting with fingers crossed while watching the ebb and flow of the models.  I will say this though......I'm about 27-28" short of average snowfall and need this big if I want any chance to hit that.

 

Now, I'm going to crawl back under my shawl, sip my java, and continue reading.

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Scooter was the op colder than the ens? 

 

@nd part..isn't the op more accurate now that we're almost at start time? I thought Gibbs told me that before

 

Op runs are more reliable as the event nears--the ensembles will continue to present ideas of possible movement of subesquent op runs to consider though.

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Scooter was the op colder than the ens? 

 

@nd part..isn't the op more accurate now that we're almost at start time? I thought Gibbs told me that before

 

You can probably still use them to some extent, but yeah it's time to hand the baton off. Hopefully 12z ticks east, because the GFS is meh and the euro ensembles seemed almost warmer than yesterday. I don't know.

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