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East Coast winter storm, February 13th-14th, imminent (Part II)


Typhoon Tip

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Yeah this "backlash" looks highly suspicious to me.. It's almost as if the QPF blob appears out of nowhere looking at the 6hr QPF charts..

huh, it's a function of bombogenisis, physically its correct now the NAM having it right is another thing. Many models have shown it in some form or another, looks like a secondary low at long range then in close it becomes part of the dynamic. Look up stinger jet on Google
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These stingers can happen, but I wouldn't put a lot of faith in the 48hr+ NAM.

 

It really seems we've been tracking this thing forever.  I mean, it's 39 hours away still (for my hood).  With the model mayhem, who knows what crazy things might unfold over the next few runs to fire up and dash hopes. 

 

Just give me the 18z GFS and be done with it.

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