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East Coast winter storm, February 13th-14th, imminent (Part II)


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Quite the gradient from pwm inland. eva8ezab.jpg

I've seen that basic map with countless borderline storms like this. It rarely plays out quite that dramatically, and I'm skeptical that it will in this case with such cold ocean temps. That's not to say that we won't mix or change, but I really doubt that PWM and points south will end up with 1-2.
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Considering this is the largest population impact of a storm in years...you guys are doing the best you can.

OT: but I wonder if it makes more sense to move the model page to a different server or some other way so when the forum is really busy the model page does not become an issue, was just frustrating when you pay and cannot access it. Anyway good to get the stuff worked out before the next big event either this year or next :)
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:/ server issues

 

thru 51h 0z NAM 850 temps look almost identical to 57h 18z NAM... 

 

bulk of front-end thump has occurred by the time 0C 850 isotherm reaches Boston

 

nice stand by the NAM... she's our best hope right now for eastern SNE

Yup, don't forget the crazy thrashing on the back side of the storm too. That is really the very best case scenario for eastern areas.

 

Absolute thrashing massive front end thump followed by dry slot/rain flashed over to heavy snow to finish things out.

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