Baroclinic Zone Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Hm. Weird that the nam pretty much held it's solution and didn't swing wildly. Probably wrong still though Yup, Pegs us with ~10-12" for we changeover. Bank on it not happening. My thoughts to you this AM still hold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Not bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Don't understand that map. MMore snow Se nh than central? What about mixing. Zones say moderate accumulated thurs heavy accumulated thurs night. That equals more than 8 to 10 I have sleet in my P&C Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I never really have felt this one as much as I did last week. Too many bugs. We could get lucky but I think we have to rely on a big front end dump and the stinger modeled as well on alot of guidance. Looks like the mediocre, moderate snowstorm we were talking about a few days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Split CT by 84...danbury to watertown to burlington to simsbury and nw take the full brunt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 11, 2014 Author Share Posted February 11, 2014 What is with these solutions... i don't get this. They keep refusing to put heavier QPF in the NW quadrant of this deal. It's not just NAM, they are all doing that. Even as this thing passes up W of NS it's NW region still has dents and negative nodes... Weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
New Englander Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 where are you? Franklin Mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Weird BOX map. How is srn RI in a WSW but not cstl NE MA? That doesn't make any sense...it's not going to be that much of a gradient from E-w..esp at that latitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I have sleet in my P&C So do I. I think the 0z model runs will narrow things down a little more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Split CT by 84...danbury to watertown to burlington to simsbury and nw take the full brunt. probably about right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Split CT by 84...danbury to watertown to burlington to simsbury and nw take the full brunt. Yep. First call for CT is 10-14 NW of 84, 6-10" southeast with 4-6" in southern New London county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 11, 2014 Author Share Posted February 11, 2014 Watches issued... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 My old hometown of Teaneck, NJ should do quite well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 How is PVD under a WSW and BOS isn't? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 My old hometown of Teaneck, NJ should do quite well.not if the euro is right... looks like maybe 6-8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 11, 2014 Author Share Posted February 11, 2014 Interesting... the main event is done by 57 hours, but then it snows in that wrap around band for another 12 hours... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I'm guessing NWS isn't expecting WSW criteria for BOS/NE coast, or they're in process updating the advisories. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Yup, Pegs us with ~10-12" for we changeover. Bank on it not happening. My thoughts to you this AM still hold. That would be something lol. Yup, that's looking about right at this point. Should be a dump at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 11, 2014 Author Share Posted February 11, 2014 How is PVD under a WSW and BOS isn't? Probably has to do with limited antecedent polar high N, such that as PP falls approach from the S the wind may be more normal to the coast. That said...gee, the water -- isn't it running a cold anomaly? If it is 36F water, it can be an east wind all it wants... heavy fall rates should make it wet snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
New Englander Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Def not much love for Eastern areas in time for Valentines Day...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 NAM is like opening up the arc on Indiana Jones. You see the solution and you are like...."It is beautiful..." Will and I are like Indiana tell you don't look at it...don't look at it. All of the sudden..demons start to buzz around your head and your face melts off. LOL. Like Tip said (I think he said), I just don't understand the NW cutoff. Something looks fishy, but BOX and BTV are in agreement with it on their maps. I see my hopes of at least an average winter melting away faster than the snowpack on Mount Tolland after March 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Looks like the new #1 CIPS analog is 2/5/01...one of my favorite storms...lol.36-40 while at SR, best storm of my life up there, well until 3/1/01 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 WPC is well left of the cluster points in their preferred track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Probably has to do with limited antecedent polar high N, such that as PP falls approach from the S the wind may be more normal to the coast. That said...gee, the water -- isn't it running a cold anomaly? If it is 36F water, it can be an east wind all it wants... heavy fall rates should make it wet snow. Yes I mentioned that earlier..the cold water temps are going to help out a lot of folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 LOL. Like Tip said (I think he said), I just don't understand the NW cutoff. Something looks fishy, but BOX and BTV are in agreement with it on their maps. I see my hopes of at least an average winter melting away faster than the snowpack on Mount Tolland after March 1. If the Euro ens are right it's all gone next weekend with 60's and rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Here's Albany's take. NAM upped us to .6" liquid. Very interesting model wars going on. If anything, it's quite a show to sit back, watch and enjoy. Fun not knowing what's gonna happen. I'm currently feeling 7-14" for Albany. I think the west camp wins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
New Englander Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 It will be interesting to see this one unfold. I am feeling around 6 inches for here in Franklin. Too much warm air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 For BOS people, it comes down to the front ender. If it comes in like the NAM...it's a 6-8" paste job at least. Just hope it's a massive omega bomb for six hours like the NAM and even the euro has to an extent. Accept dryslot and taint..in fact hope for a DS..lol. If there is one upside, it's the front end here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Snuck into a winter storm watch. Not that it really means much. Obviously hoping nam scores a rare win. Leaning towards a more euro type solution though. Should be a dump regardless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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