snowgeek Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 9:24 PM, SnowGoose69 said: It's 06 and 18z runs go to 54, that said the RGEM beyond 36-42 is like the nam past 60 hours Yeah, I Know, but it's fun too look at the unpredictable and unreliable. That's why I became a high school teacher. weather.gc.ca only has 12 hour panels through 48. Any free websites with 6 hour panels through 54? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 It can stop going west now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 P-type was always a huge question mark with this. Why are people acting so shocked now that we're closing in and mixing appears to be a strong likelihood?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 GFS matches Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 9:48 PM, dendrite said: It can stop going west now. 18z GFS is a furnace too. Spring special...let's get those streets clean in SE areas. PF can untie his noose....ski country rejoice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Don't worry, Brian, HPC favors east!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 GFS goes batsh1t crazy for the deep interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 We have seen this before, even in past years. A suite has a westward trend only to trend back east in the last 24 to 36 hours. Could it be convective feedback cause this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 9:51 PM, SnowMan said: We have seen this before, even in past years. A suite has a westward trend only to trend back east in the last 24 to 36 hours. Could it be convective feedback cause this? Convective feedback causing it to be too far west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 9:48 PM, dendrite said: It can stop going west now. ...We will see models shooting this thing up the Hudson river by tomorrow a.m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Where do you guys get these runs so early? NCEP is out to 48 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Now its pretty much over. Today a complete trainwreck. Torch next week and were back to bare ground. Excitement is overwhelming. Make some space for me on the ledge Ray Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Still folks should be feeling pretty good since the majority of mets on here feel things will slide east again as we get closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Wow. All out bomb in NNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 9:55 PM, powderfreak said: Where do you guys get these runs so early? NCEP is out to 48 hours. I'm amazed. VT bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman9 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I left the NYC forum to come up here because I was the only one left down there, they all saw the 4knam accum sn and then exactly 8 min later glimpsed the GFS and committed suicide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 9:53 PM, Cold Miser said: ...We will see models shooting this thing up the Hudson river by tomorrow a.m. That's what I was thinking. Binghamptom, Syracuse FTW! Repeat VD 2007 (at least heaviest snow threat). Probably not, but wouldn't that be something. I'm still thinking a Long Island landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Last minute save as temps crash SE here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 9:53 PM, dendrite said: Convective feedback causing it to be too far west? I don't know...that's why it was a question lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 9:44 PM, SnowMan said: The taint is closer than it appears... In all seriousness though, I think we will see a tick east in the 0z suite. The kicker will still play a role... What is the "kicker"? Somehow I've missed that term over the years on here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 9:53 PM, Cold Miser said: ...We will see models shooting this thing up the Hudson river by tomorrow a.m. Tip mentioned that earlier today, lol...in a wouldn't it be funny if it got captured and pulled west so far it becomes a CNY snowstorm haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 9:56 PM, Cold Miser said: What is the "kicker"? Somehow I've missed that term over the years on here. There is a shortwave out west that we are / were expecting to be a kicker and push the low east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 9:55 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Still folks should be feeling pretty good since the majority of mets on here feel things will slide east again as we get closer. Not sure if that's accurate? We were doing a 75/25 blend of EURO/GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 11, 2014 Author Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 9:45 PM, Damage In Tolland said: GFS is closing off earlier. Yup, but not for the same reasons as the Euro, interestingly enough ... It's got a stronger v-max, more negatively tilted/stronger all around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 9:26 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: This is going to be nothing out of the ordinary for sne. Mod snow event. Agree--like last week(?), respectable but not extraordinary. I'd put in on the mod-heavy end rather than moderate. Still pretty ordinary though. On 2/11/2014 at 9:40 PM, Patrick-02540 said: I am feeling that the 84 corridor and north of there to 40 miles does well on this. Can a brother get 75 miles? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Too bad confluence sucks. Gfs always plays catch up with miller As. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmj16725 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 This is trending towards a moderate front-end thump and then a bunch of rain - at least it looks like plenty of snow up north for the ski trip next week. We'll see what 0z brings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 9:55 PM, sbos_wx said: Now its pretty much over. Today a complete trainwreck. Torch next week and were back to bare ground. Excitement is overwhelming. Make some space for me on the ledge Ray lol. Even cool collected Jay is melting down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 9:57 PM, NorEastermass128 said: Not sure if that's accurate? We were doing a 75/25 blend of EURO/GFS. They've all more or less posted today that they still feel (even the Euro) will slide east some. Maybe it won't though and we'll all wake up to flood watches tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 11, 2014 Author Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 9:56 PM, powderfreak said: Tip mentioned that earlier today, lol...in a wouldn't it be funny if it got captured and pulled west so far it becomes a CNY snowstorm haha. Muah hahahahaha I'm just a deviant sadistic enough to think that would be hilarious... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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