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East Coast winter storm, February 13th-14th, imminent (Part II)


Typhoon Tip

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  On 2/11/2014 at 9:12 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

One thing becoming clear is that CCB or backlash is going to be very significant as it crosses SNE..All modeling has it to varying degrees.

i doubt it. if the euro is right and this closes off early the wcb gets cut off from the ccb and it rots
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  On 2/11/2014 at 9:16 PM, yoda said:

18z RGEM is silly... 48 its in the Ches Bay at 988 and 980 near BAL at 54...

Wow, that is silly!  Super early capture.  I thought the RGEM only went thru 48 hours.  Where can you find later panels?  

 

Also.....Albany went with Winter Storm Watch too.  This one is gonna be hyped early and hyped big...media frenzy!

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  On 2/11/2014 at 9:23 PM, snowgeek said:

Wow, that is silly! Super early capture. I thought the RGEM only went thru 48 hours. Where can you find later panels?

Also.....Albany went with Winter Storm Watch too. This one is gonna be hyped early and hyped big...media frenzy!

It's 06 and 18z runs go to 54, that said the RGEM beyond 36-42 is like the nam past 60 hours

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  On 2/11/2014 at 9:20 PM, Ginxy said:

Talk to me at 12z tomorrow, anyone have a map that shows a closed ULL like the Euro has that far south? I forsee big changes by this time tomorrow.

Yeah agreed, good or bad. I doubt this is done with the tricks up the sleeve. Watch this bomb out over Philly or something.

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  On 2/11/2014 at 9:26 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

This is going to be nothing out of the ordinary for sne. Mod snow event.

5-8" for us.  Me likely on the lower end.  You on the higher end.  Net gain for both.  What I would give for that tick E that we always get when we don't want it.

 

Ha! I'm not even in the watch.  

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  On 2/11/2014 at 9:12 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

One thing becoming clear is that CCB or backlash is going to be very significant as it crosses SNE..All modeling has it to varying degrees.

I am feeling that the 84 corridor and north of there to 40 miles does well on this.  

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  On 2/11/2014 at 8:40 PM, CoastalWx said:

NAM is like opening up the arc on Indiana Jones. You see the solution and you are like...."It is beautiful..." Will and I are like Indiana tell you don't look at it...don't look at it. All of the sudden..demons start to buzz around your head and your face melts off.

Sig worthy
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  On 2/11/2014 at 9:40 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

What in the sam hell happened to the kicker..and the idea that this couldn't come west? it's almost like that low in Lakes is tugging it west instead of kicking it east. Hopefully the 00z runs clear that up and kick it east

The taint is closer than it appears...

 

In all seriousness though, I think we will see a tick east in the 0z suite.  The kicker will still play a role...

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