IsentropicLift Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Interaction beginning at hour 24. Strong area of heavy rain a long southern MS, AL, LA and northern FL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LHSnow Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Does it clear the north shore? Not much. It's not a whole lot of taint. The south shore, eastern LI and the NJ Coasts will be dealing with p-type issues but we've known that for two days now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Does it clear the north shore? As John said, it gets maybe halfway through NYC, so I doubt it gets past the north shore much, and if it does, the front end with snow is largely over. It wouldn't reduce what Long Island gets much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Heights beginning to rise a long the coast at hour 30. The two streams are still not finished phasing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 11, 2014 Author Share Posted February 11, 2014 This run is much farther east/southeast with the best vertical velocities so far. We'll see if it corrects back westward over time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Two separate lows at hour 36, one east of the GA coast and one just south of Pennsicola. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 This run is much farther east/southeast with the best vertical velocities so far. We'll see if it corrects back westward over time. you said yesterday don't be shocked if we see a tick southeast from the western most tracks so this wouldn't surprise me. also maybe the EURO will make another marked shift east as well today to further fall in line with other globals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 This run is a nasty ice storm for upstate SC and western NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CSheridan12 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 The lows themselves at 36 hours are much farther East/SE, however the precipitation shield seems to be pushing about 50 miles further N&W into West Virginia. Interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baseball0618 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 looks like a more delayed phase which should equate to a more eastward shift in track downstream. we will see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Hour 39, now the trough is sharpening as the phase completes and 500mb winds intensify. Low over coastal NC and coming north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Hour 39, now the trough is sharpening as the phase completes and 500mb winds intensify. Low over coastal NC and coming north. looks like it'll be a bit further east this run thus far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Hour 42 the low is right over OBX. Measurable precipitation almost up to Philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 11, 2014 Author Share Posted February 11, 2014 Looks great to me through 42 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Light snow to Phl hr 42 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Light snow extends all the way back to the Kentucky Virginia border and well into West Virginia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Hr 45 mod snow up to NYC...this is going to crush us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 hr 45 looks like it'll be just offshore of NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Hour 45 snow commences for the area with the low centered off the VA coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 11, 2014 Author Share Posted February 11, 2014 The lows themselves at 36 hours are much farther East/SE, however the precipitation shield seems to be pushing about 50 miles further N&W into West Virginia. Interesting. You'll see an adjustment the next few frames. The mid level height field is shunted southeast, so the developing 700mb and 850mb lows will go farther northeast this run. And the best lift will follow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Looks great to me through 42 hours. Me too, great timing with the phase - we don't want H5 to close off too early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 11, 2014 Author Share Posted February 11, 2014 Just clarifying, I am not expecting a huge shift this run..but a tick east/southeast. Should still be a great run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Better qpf representation thus far on western side of slp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Hr 48 mod snow to hpn. Heavy snow to Phl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Wow this run looks beautiful so far. The storm seems to start affecting most areas at least a few hours earlier than the last run, and with banding setting up usually a bit further NW than it shows many times, I love the look! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 11, 2014 Author Share Posted February 11, 2014 925mb low closed off in a near perfect spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 At hour 48 the kicker is really bearing down. Luckily the storm is already hammering the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CSheridan12 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Hour 48 really does look beautiful. This is so purdy. Good analysis, right guys? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 11, 2014 Author Share Posted February 11, 2014 Amazing look at 48 hour. The PVA on the east coast is perfectly positioned to bring the CCB into NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Sub 1000mb low east of Ocean City, MD hr 51. CCB and heavy snow overhead most of the area. Sharp cut off into NE PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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