famartin Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Ray..what are your best thoughts on what it will show this time around...N, S, same? Some wiggling is to be expected. I don't expect a major shift. Of course, the gradient is so intense that even very minor shifts can mean a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Some wiggling is to be expected. I don't expect a major shift. Of course, the gradient is so intense that even very minor shifts can mean a lot.After so many read posts today and model outputs/ interpretations...I need a reminder of what the 12z euro output was (snow wise) for montco pa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 After so many read posts today and model outputs/ interpretations... I need a reminder of what the 12z euro output was (snow wise) for montco pa 5" or so. Maybe 6" with some ratio help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 5" or so. Maybe 6" with some ratio help. So pretty consistent with tonight's gfs then...thanks Ray! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Who's hanging in there for the euro and who's given up?! Curious...Has there been a snow yet this winter that hasn't delivered more to the north than progged at this point prior to arrival? Different synoptics here with vortex dropping in more a 2010 scenario. Looks almost locked in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 So hurricane has to cringe every time he hears Brittany Ship botch her delivery of the forecast..... All of the broadcast meteorologist especially those fresh out of college must go absolutely crazy watching some of these unqualified weather people do their thing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Storm 2 this week trending to non event. Epic early march winter cancel. But GFS loves out towards mid month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Plokoon111 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 eh I guess I better start my bio assignments for college tomorrow, the way this storm is trending haha class won't be canceled. But I'm a bit dissapointed as a snow fan. But happy for the southerners! They get screwed a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Poor folks in baltimore dropped to 4-8". This feels like one of those winter fails i experienced in the 80's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Never fear big one on euro day 10. blah blah blah what is annoying is euro cooked up 2 last week that evaporated, then this one. Long range sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Never fear big one on euro day 10. blah blah blah what is annoying is euro cooked up 2 last week that evaporated, then this one. Long range sucks seems like the ability of the models to sniff out big events in the long term has definitely declined in recent weeks. Tony (Rainshadow) speculated that it was the seasonal change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 What was frustrating about this one was the Chinese water torture of watching things slowly trend over the last 2 days, along with the corresponding lack of clarity of where we'd wind up. Yesterday afternoon my forecast for here would have been a coating to 10", 24 hours before the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 You can already see the precip getting eroded from the north on the Pittsburg radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Never fear big one on euro day 10. blah blah blah what is annoying is euro cooked up 2 last week that evaporated, then this one. Long range sucks I knew we were in trouble when the words "epic March pattern setting up" started to get thrown around. It been awhile since that's worked out for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 I knew we were in trouble when the words "epic March pattern setting up" started to get thrown around. It been awhile since that's worked out for us. After a winter like this, people, even some forecasters, probably get the sense that the weather can do no wrong, it will find a way to keep snowing. Then it doesn't. Winter has to end eventually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 You can already see the precip getting eroded from the north on the Pittsburg radar. Just watched Steve D's.video and he pointed out the cold air intrusion is the reason. Very low dew points along with the cold air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 After a winter like this, people, even some forecasters, probably get the sense that the weather can do no wrong, it will find a way to keep snowing. Then it doesn't. Winter has to end eventually. Ray, what is this spring and summer looking like...since you know what business I'm in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 After a winter like this, people, even some forecasters, probably get the sense that the weather can do no wrong, it will find a way to keep snowing. Then it doesn't. Winter has to end eventually. i know this probably belongs in the banter thread, but where's big Al (Gore that is}. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Ray, what is this spring and summer looking like...since you know what business I'm in. Honestly, I don't consider myself much of a long-range person. So, really, I haven't looked at it much. Sorry to disappoint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 i know this probably belongs in the banter thread, but where's big Al (Gore that is}. You are in the banter thread! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Honestly, I don't consider myself much of a long-range person. So, really, I haven't looked at it much. Sorry to disappoint. Okay no biggie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattMal88 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Maybe our storm can make a last minute comeback like the flyers just did! What a game! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Is this how the winter ends: not with a bang, but a whimper!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted March 2, 2014 Share Posted March 2, 2014 Latest trends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Latest trends just going by what Ive been watching on the radar that looks about right but I doubt anyone North of the Pa turnpjke sees more than an inch or so, especially after watching that first round. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 just going by what Ive been watching on the radar that looks about right but I doubt anyone North of the Pa turnpjke sees more than an inch or so, especially after watching that first round.There should be a little bump northward of penna tpk once the vort nears us. Pretty much all of the guidance shows that, how much? Who knows but currently 1-3 looks on track per latest Rap HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 Is this how the winter ends: not with a bang, but a whimper!? I think it still will be cold...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bricktamland Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 I think it still will be cold...lol. Yes, looks like some areas will see sub zero temps Tuesday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 While over in the NYC forum, a member post one of Henry Margusity's theory of any storm entering the west coast on the southern side will exit the east coast on the southern side. This post in the NYC forum was warning/mentioning to limit expectations regarding this storm. Is there any validity to this...? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 3, 2014 Share Posted March 3, 2014 NJ gov is closed on monday due to the snow storm. Strange but true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.