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E PA/NJ/DE/Okle: Banter/Non Storm OBS thread


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Ray..what are your best thoughts on what it will show this time around...N, S, same?

Some wiggling is to be expected.  I don't expect a major shift.  Of course, the gradient is so intense that even very minor shifts can mean a lot.

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Who's hanging in there for the euro and who's given up?!

Curious...Has there been a snow yet this winter that hasn't delivered more to the north than progged at this point prior to arrival?

Different synoptics here with vortex dropping in more a 2010 scenario. Looks almost locked in

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Never fear big one on euro day 10. blah blah blah

 

what is annoying is euro cooked up 2 last week that evaporated, then this one. Long range sucks

seems like the ability of the models to sniff out big events in the long term has definitely declined in recent weeks.  Tony (Rainshadow) speculated that it was the seasonal change.

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What was frustrating about this one was the Chinese water torture of watching things slowly trend over the last 2 days, along with the corresponding lack of clarity of where we'd wind up. Yesterday afternoon my forecast for here would have been a coating to 10", 24 hours before the event.

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Never fear big one on euro day 10. blah blah blah

 

what is annoying is euro cooked up 2 last week that evaporated, then this one. Long range sucks

I knew we were in trouble when the words "epic March pattern setting up" started to get thrown around.  ;)

 

It been awhile since that's worked out for us.

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I knew we were in trouble when the words "epic March pattern setting up" started to get thrown around.  ;)

 

It been awhile since that's worked out for us.

 

After a winter like this, people, even some forecasters, probably get the sense that the weather can do no wrong, it will find a way to keep snowing.  Then it doesn't.  Winter has to end eventually.

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just going by what Ive been watching on the radar that looks about right but I doubt anyone North of the Pa turnpjke sees more than an inch or so, especially after watching that first round.

There should be a little bump northward of penna tpk once the vort nears us. Pretty much all of the guidance shows that, how much? Who knows but currently 1-3 looks on track per latest Rap HRRR
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While over in the NYC forum, a member post one of Henry Margusity's theory of any storm entering the west coast on the southern side will exit the east coast on the southern side. This post in the NYC forum was warning/mentioning to limit expectations regarding this storm. Is there any validity to this...?

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