NJWeather201 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Slightly east so far. Keeping in mind the Euro was the western-most outlier. Wow this is trending wonderfully for the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 but you and every other weenie would use those 3 in a heart beat if it proved your/their point....im just saying, because that is 100pct true. Not really, some would use them as support but most would not take them too seriously one way or another especially in establishing a trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJWeather201 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 So far the EURO isn't going to look like the UKMET, in terms of SLP track. Something more in the way of the GGEM. This is a very good thing for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 The low is in nearly the exact same position as 12z. I just went back and looked. It could be just the slightest tick further east but very miniscule differences. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Hour 60 sub 1000mb low just inland over coastal NC. Heavy snow. Mod snow...but incomimg heavy snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 66 right over the mouth of the CHPK bay.. looks like 988. Slightly warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaptainHarr Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 im colorblind I can't read these maps how much for long island? sorry to ask 12" east, 18" west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Guys please let it finish instead of trying to guess where its going. 20 miles one way or the other over OBX could mean nothing if the trough is negatively tilted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Not really, some would use them as support but most would not take them too seriously one way or another especially in establishing a trend. Hopefully he's banned or suspended by tomorrow. Calling a red tagger a weenie should be automatic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 but you and every other weenie would use those 3 in a heart beat if it proved your/their point....im just saying, because that is 100pct true. Speak for yourself. There are many here that do not take that attitude. This generalized characterization of the members who post here is really an undermine to many folks here who are knowledgeable and do not take this approach to the modeling. Commentary like the above is worse than any snow weenie posting about the snowiest model being their choice for expected verification. This garbage needs to stop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Coastal hugger, it sits right off the NJ coast. CCB extends back to almost Pittsburgh. Sub 988mb low very close to Cape May, NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 72 right off ACY984... plenty cold except the SFC depiction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 12" east, 18" west. That's an analog from 2/11/83, not a forecast for this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 This run is spectacular for the interior and a very nice front end dump for the coast. My guess is with dynamic cooling this would end up slightly colder than what's being portrayed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJWeather201 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 This run is spectacular for the interior and a very nice front end dump for the coast. My guess is with dynamic cooling this would end up slightly colder than what's being portrayed. Interior meaning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 78 984 off Cape Cod... CCB draining back down over NNJ... thermal profiles have absolutely crashed This was a great Euro run... for one simple fact- it went no further west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 78 984 off Cape Cod... CCB draining back down over NNJ... thermal profiles have absolutely crashed This was a great Euro run... for one simple fact- it went no further west Hopefully the Euro and UK tonight marked the furthest west extreme and maybe bump slightly east tomorrow to get to a consensus point. All in all another great model suite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 78 984 off Cape Cod... CCB draining back down over NNJ... thermal profiles have absolutely crashed This was a great Euro run... for one simple fact- it went no further west Yea good point, it could easily tick east by 30 miles still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FreeRain Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Starting to look like KNYC goes over 50" for the season on Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJWeather201 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 78 984 off Cape Cod... CCB draining back down over NNJ... thermal profiles have absolutely crashed This was a great Euro run... for one simple fact- it went no further west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane11 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 78 984 off Cape Cod... CCB draining back down over NNJ... thermal profiles have absolutely crashed This was a great Euro run... for one simple fact- it went no further west Couldn't have said it better. Big hit for NYC on N, NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Ends up sub 984mb in the gulf of Maine with good wrap around snows. It's a minimum 18 hour event. QPF is well over 1" extending all the way back to Central PA and 1.25"+ for most interests in this forum. Doesn't end until after 06z Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Looks like some light snow chances over the weekend as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Looks like some light snow chances over the weekend as well. I forgot who it was, but someone brought up that there could a sneaker right behind this upcoming storm. Great runs tonight! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 can anyone post ecwmf snow totals? thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I forgot who it was, but someone brought up that there could a sneaker right behind this upcoming storm. Great runs tonight! It was a Red tagger , he mentioned it shortly after the GFS run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I forgot who it was, but someone brought up that there could a sneaker right behind this upcoming storm. Great runs tonight! Snowgoose mentioned it. What's the warmest it gets on the EURO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Any mixing for NE Jersey this run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 It was good to know it didn't go further west and we're starting to get a good idea on the actual track though additional fine tuning will still need to occur tomorrow and probably into early Wednesday. I don't think it'll go any further west given the kicker and where it tracks prior to it arriving to our locales. I think most models take it near OBX, which is huge for us. Hopefully there are slight ticks east tomorrow so we can all be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I forgot who it was, but someone brought up that there could a sneaker right behind this upcoming storm. Great runs tonight! It's very hard to get a second system that close behind a dynamic system because for lack of a better term, "the energy is all used up". It's actually our northern stream kicker dropping in and exiting the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.