ACFD FIREMAN Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Wide area of 2-2.5" west of 95 in NOVA/MD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Ole Bucket Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 NWS starting to churn the percentages on totals... just through Thurs. morning. Might be relevant for other VA/MD folks... http://www.erh.noaa.gov/lwx/winter/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 It's a solid 6-8+ for DC before we ping, and then who knows what Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 23.8 on the snowmap for IAD but bullseye is a little SW. Poor Ji.. so close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Eyeballing it, but Euro looks to put DC proper in the 1.6-1.8" range. Even with mixing, its still a big hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Surface temps are not pretty on 12Z Euro after HR 66... above freezing for the rest of the event east of the Blue Ridge... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Since the Euro is still west of everything I'm tempted to rid the too amped thing still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Is there decent snow as well after any mixing (in the CCB area), and how area-wide does the Euro show that? Hard to tell from some of the discussion, though it's clear there will be mixing issues in and around the metro areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Since the Euro is still west of everything I'm tempted to rid the too amped thing still. EE combo works for us all pretty much... NAM/EURO mix seems prudent to go with... GGEM/UKIE would also support Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Since the Euro is still west of everything I'm tempted to rid the too amped thing still. I love the west track...light snow is awful....I want 1/8 mi viz for hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Surface temps are not pretty on 12Z Euro after HR 66... above freezing for the rest of the event east of the Blue Ridge... that high running east part still kinda sucks. we always end up with temp issues even when we think we're fine. though lay down some snow before then and we probably are if it stays heavy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Since the Euro is still west of everything I'm tempted to rid the too amped thing still. The 6hr precip panel ending @ 84 is freekin nuts. There's .70 - .85 over frederick/loudun. Move the lp just 50 miles east and.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I love the west track...light snow is awful....I want 1/8 mi viz for hours well i doubt the euro is going to go way east at this pt but i'd take a little more east if it was up to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Great Lakes low is well west in the North Dakota / Minnesota border. Thus allows a big hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 It needs to be seen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Is there decent snow as well after any mixing (in the CCB area), and how area-wide does the Euro show that? Hard to tell from some of the discussion, though it's clear there will be mixing issues in and around the metro areas. yes...another 4-8" Thursday afternoon...but...surface is kind of warm....it may be 32-34...but that would probably still be 8-10:1 ratios in moderate to heavy snow...possible -ra/sn as we wind down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 comparing last night's run to this one, it is a hair colder than 0Z....keep the trend baby! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 If this plays out like the Euro, then this is like somebody winning the National League MVP in baseball by a unanimous vote. The Euro has been a rock on this. Yeah, you western guys. My gut says the euro is more right than the other models but maybe that's cause I'd get screwed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I'll make sure to report low snow totals and P groups at DCA so you weenies have heart attacks. just be honest and pay attention...we know DCA will be a little low due to location...we just ask for an attentive reading for big events....that's all...I think you have done quite well with snow readings the last couple years (liquid a different story)...keep up the good job! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 comparing last night's run to this one, it is a hair colder than 0Z....keep the trend baby! The concern IS warranted though. JMA showed a roasting surface too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 yes...another 4-8" Thursday afternoon...but...surface is kind of warm....it may be 32-34...but that would probably still be 8-10:1 ratios in moderate to heavy snow...possible -ra/sn as we wind down If the ULL is as powerful/strong as some of the models say... we should stay snow even if it is 32-34 at the surface as long as the rates are good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 It's a solid 6-8+ for DC before we ping, and then who knows what Jason and I were thinking maybe 1993 type amounts for us in the city and points east hough this early we're not gonna put out any explicit accumulations and that the western guys could really cash in. I sort of favor the Euro since it fits climo a little better than the GFS and nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 yes...another 4-8" Thursday afternoon...but...surface is kind of warm....it may be 32-34...but that would probably still be 8-10:1 ratios in moderate to heavy snow...possible -ra/sn as we wind down Thanks. That makes sense, I was just curious whether there was anything after the mix. So there seems to be a general consensus of some kind of snow-sleet-snow sandwich here (at least metro area), and a lot more in terms of snow in the farther western burbs. Kind of disturbing to have the Euro surface that warm, but right now that's a detail I suppose. That "back end" part you describe almost sounds like Jan. 26, 2011, around to slightly above freezing with mod-hvy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 https://pbs.twimg.com/media/BgIg1n3CQAAOOea.jpg:large "conservative" snow map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 https://pbs.twimg.com/media/BgIg1n3CQAAOOea.jpg:large "conservative" snow map Ian, the image isn't working for me EDIT: Nevermind.. its the filter here at work blocking it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Jason and I were thinking maybe 1993 type amounts for us in the city and points east hough this early we're not gonna put out any explicit accumulations and that the western guys could really cash in. I sort of favor the Euro since it fits climo a little better than the GFS and nam. different storm but yes...maybe a useful guide for amounts...something like 6-8" for DCA (they'd do better if the euro is right), and 10-12" NW DC....that would be a major event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10, 2014 Author Share Posted February 10, 2014 https://pbs.twimg.com/media/BgIg1n3CQAAOOea.jpg:large "conservative" snow map I wish I could make those numbers out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Verbatim This would be a 2' storm for WInchester-Martinsburg Yeah. It's just ridiculous at this point. I expected it come in drier. But it is actually a little wetter than 0Z. Nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Jason and I were thinking maybe 1993 type amounts for us in the city and points east hough this early we're not gonna put out any explicit accumulations and that the western guys could really cash in. I sort of favor the Euro since it fits climo a little better than the GFS and nam. Just checked... 1993 was a dissapointing 6.6" for DCA... That's prob more realistic than the 12-15" DT just assessed the Euro as showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Don Cherry's Jacket Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I wish I could make those numbers out Agreed. Is that 14 inches for DC? Kind of looks like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.