WxUSAF Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 It's slower than 18z. But looks wet through 57hrs. 0.5" contour up to DC and points S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 57 1000mb SLP just east offshore of the VA/NC border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Gonna be another good run. H54 has a 1004 low off Hatteras. Snowing in the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 The NAM looks slightly slower, but overall it holds, and that's the important thing. All we need is a hold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 radio show tonight? link? thx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Looks drier than 18Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Still not the NAM's ideal range, but we're getting closer... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 60 ~100 miles east of ORF (aka Norfolk) 1000mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 vort not neutral @ 60 vs 66 @ 18z. Might close off later. Might not matter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNAO Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Definitely drier for all. Not as good as a run as I thought it would bring. I need the EURO to hold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 radio show tonight? link? thx Top of the page. 1" in DC at 60hrs. Sub-1000mb low at the mouth of the Bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Definitely drier for all. Not as good as a run as I thought it would bring. I need the EURO to hold. You really thought we would get 2 feet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Lousy run. Radio show curse strikes again. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 The radio show guys just said this NAM run crushes DC and Virginia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 http://www.blogtalkradio.com/americanwx/2014/02/11/american-weather-forums-radio-show-on-potential-east-coast-storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 GL low looks a bit slower, allowing a better shield to the NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 People will freak because it doesn't show silly 2 foot amounts, but its a solid 6-12" run for Baltimore and DC....especially south and west of DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 http://www.blogtalkradio.com/americanwx/2014/02/11/american-weather-forums-radio-show-on-potential-east-coast-storm thx....the link was removed from the top of the page Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 NAM is fine. 18z was fun to look at, but NAM always overdoes precip. Always. There's still nearly 2" of QPF near RIC. Having the heaviest QPF band 50-100mi to my south on the NAM at 60hrs is right where I want it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 11, 2014 Author Share Posted February 11, 2014 OMG! It's not 1.75"!!!! Radioshow curse waaaaaaah, we only get an inch of liquid!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 The happy hour run was obviously absurd, so a 1" QPF, 10" snowfall run is probably more realistic. Euro QPF will be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MichaelScott Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Definitely drier for all. Not as good as a run as I thought it would bring. I need the EURO to hold. It's pretty much the same down here. Maybe even a little better compared to 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 1" QPf into DC at 63, and we know it'll shift a little north and west based on the bias it has. Solid 8"+ looks like a good bet for most of the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 OMG! It's not 1.75"!!!! Radioshow curse waaaaaaah, we only get an inch of liquid!!!! Pay attention dude. You're hosting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 NAM is fine. 18z was fun to look at, but NAM always overdoes precip. Always. There's still nearly 2" of QPF near RIC. Having the heaviest QPF band 50-100mi to my south on the NAM at 60hrs is right where I want it. Exactly.. the worst always sets up further NW than the models depict.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 The happy hour run was obviously absurd, so a 1" QPF, 10" snowfall run is probably more realistic. Euro QPF will be interesting. I have closer to 1.2"? Anyway... decent run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Great run. DCA 1" liquid with little precip problems. Looking @ 54 precip panel makes you wonder if the heavy precip over the outer banks is affecting the nw shield with feedback. I love run. GFS should come in line shortly. I'm almost 100% sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 So... Should we expect to see the NAM reduce amounts slowly over the next few runs as we get closer as it gets into its wheelhouse? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Looks great to me. Another nice run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I know I sound crazy, but I am a little disappointed this didn't stay very wet. The temps are not very cold. If QPF drops to .50-.75 over 20 hours we won't do well... To get big snows DCA and BWI need mega-precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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