HM Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 DT posted just last night about how some "idiot rumors" were flying around that this was going to rival the '93 storm. He said "100% not true/BS." Look, the snow distribution portion is one thing but nothing comes close to that storm. I have been waiting since 1993 to see a repeat and nothing has come close. Come find me when the Arctic and Tropics are as one along the East Coast of the USA with 3 streams phased... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 What are yall looking at? It's not east Sorry my fault...it is slightly east but nothing that would impact your area in a major way, its about 20-30 miles east in TN and KY with the back edge and if you look closely with the SLP countours same...wont matter for your area but it could be a huge deal for those on the fringe up in central PA like me. Sorry I have been switching between threads and posted in the wrong one. Apologies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redskinsnut Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 He's right. I am a total weenie s jjust confused why he said it. Both Miller A and both 10+ inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 A triple phaser is in no way, shape, or form like this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 18z NAM soundings look pretty good for dendrite growth in the 500-700mb range. Temps between -10 and -20C in that range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 What are yall looking at? It's not east My fault. Weenie meltdown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 What are yall looking at? It's not east If anything itll end up west, look at 500mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 All the attacks against FB kids and he's been super bad on this storm sharing every big snowmap he can find. Kinda irresponsible as a met. It's really annoying when so many mets and non-weenies are trying to be cautious and do their jobs and get outshouted by someone like him. It's really irresponsible, and he knows it. He shouldn't criticize weenies and clownmaps when he does his best to encourage it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BryanInMd Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Total cobb digital snow for the area airports from the 18z nam. kiad 26.2 kdca 40.1 kbwi 40.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Thats east. Looks like it missed the phase? that says 54 hr forecast RGEM only goes to 48 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Look, the snow distribution portion is one thing but nothing comes close to that storm. I have been waiting since 1993 to see a repeat and nothing has come close. Come find me when the Arctic and Tropics are as one along the East Coast of the USA with 3 streams phased... Exactly! I remember living through the January 1978 blizzard in northeast Ohio, and that was a triple-phaser. Central pressure as that bomb literally went over KCLE was 957-mb, severe cold and blizzard conditions as the temperature dropped some 30 degrees in less than 2 hours, remaining around 10 or just below the rest of the day. The wind/arctic front literally blasted through. I think that's the last triple phasing storm before the 1993 Superstorm (and the Ohio one was obviously not on the East Coast). A truly rare and spectacular event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 i wasnt comparing this storm to 1993...I was just trying to find a NESIS storm with similar distribution. Not easy to find lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 that says 54 hr forecast RGEM only goes to 48 hrs that says 54 hr forecast RGEM only goes to 48 hrs It goes to 54 hrs on meteocentre Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 No one wants to talk about the GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 lol GFS...east and dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 It goes to 54 hrs on meteocentre did not know that...thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
welbane Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 What if the GFS is right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 18z GFS gets snow into the area 9/10pm WED...but looks horrific Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 GFS still not on board with the westward movement. Looks to slide off further to the SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 lol GFS...east and dry looks like we're good for a sloppy inch or two Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 lol GFS...east and dry perfect....everything remains copacetic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 it will come around 00z. You dont see drastic differences between 12z and 18z. But hey...its a great model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TYFNGUY Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Anyone get on anything significant out of the GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 GFS is like a 1 mi visability event Here is a typical GFS OB 30/29, -SN, picked up 0.3" in the last hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Terrible model for east coast lows..typical southeast bias, and at its greatest at 18z..smh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
84 Hour NAM Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Still has that discombobulated low look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Well the GFS seemingly stands alone with the depiction of the precip shield that far SE, but (correct me if I'm wrong more knowledgeable folk) the vort pass and the SLP track still look nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I guess about 0.6" for DCA...in any other storm we'd be psyched...hopefully tonight or tomorrow morning we'll see it kick up into the 1" range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 GFS still not on board with the westward movement. Looks to slide off further to the SE. We don't want it too far west at this point. If the GFS track wobbles around just slightly until the first flakes fall, I think we'll be fine. Just over 48 hrs until that happens, so I think we are still in the ugly zone of the GFS time-wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 GFS is like a 1 mi visability event Here is a typical GFS OB 30/29, -SN, picked up 0.3" in the last hour you cant criticize it because you dont know anything about the numerical equations that go into a model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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