PB GFI Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 wow that's tucked in close to the coast there pk Inside HSE is ok , as long as its east of Norfolk , everyone`s good . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Now the #2 analog over the south at hour 60. I believe this is PDI but I'm not 100% sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Now the #2 analog over the south at hour 60 Very impressive. I like how you are connecting the dots with these analogues from CIPS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 10, 2014 Author Share Posted February 10, 2014 GFS Ensembles have some really tucked in and strong members now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 GFS Ensembles have some really tucked in and strong members now untitled21.png This threat is serious now. Is the Northern Stream sampled at 00Z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 This threat is serious now. Is the Northern Stream sampled at 00Z? Our northern stream energy is still up near Alaska right now. It looks to come on shore sometime late tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 12Z JMA changes virtually everyone to rain. but what does the KMA show? can't make a forecast without further guidance from the asian models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SleetStormNJ Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 This still to me looks like a Wed night start time still with the heaviest on Thursday. We might be in to watch a treat unfold during the daytime. Nam looks to be a bit slow with everything than the other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 but what does the KMA show? can't make a forecast without further guidance from the asian models. The KMA for the last two days has shown an extreme storm which ought to tell you everything you need to know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 12-15" throughout up this way.. Believe it or not but alot of the snow is powdery here. Very thin layer of ice between the 2" of fluff that fell last night and the 12" beneath it. ya same here, very powdery underneath a thick layer of ice.. 12-15" snow pack as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I will attempt to do the Euro PBP but the server is really taking a beating right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I will attempt to do the Euro PBP but the server is on life support. Fixed btw yank great PbP so far today. Looking more and more like a bomb for us in the NYC area down to DC and up to SNE/BOSTON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 GFS Ensembles have some really tucked in and strong members now untitled21.png A few tucked in bombs here. GEFS has 20 members by the way. That aren't all shown here: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I'm concerned how amped up and west some of these models are because there'e literally no room for error, and there's still a lot of time left so things could potentially trend worse. There tends to be ticks N&W with these phased systems as we get closer so there's a reason to be concerned for a flip to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 10, 2014 Author Share Posted February 10, 2014 Euro looks about the same through 42 hours, maybe a hair less amped up than last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 The Euro's pseudo 50/50 low is a bit further south this run, which is suppressing the heights a tad. A tick east from 00z might be coming, IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Hour 48 our low is just south of New Orleans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 A bit less amped thr 48 could be good down the rd for the metro area... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Hr 54 the energy is digging nicely. Low over the FL panhandle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 10, 2014 Author Share Posted February 10, 2014 Phasing at 54 hours with the northern stream literally coming into scoop up the southern stream vort at an ideal location near the MS River. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 hr 54 low over western panhandle, light snow up to VA boarder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Hour 60 height rises a long the coast. Low over southern GA. Looks very close to what most 12z models have shown so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 10, 2014 Author Share Posted February 10, 2014 The southern stream vort may actually be more amplified this run. But the confluence being farther south will help us in the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 hr 60 major winter storm in NC.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 The Euro has one consolidated low pressure system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Hour 66 snow moving into NYC. Bombs away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Yup, closes off at H5 hour 66. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 EURO has this as an after midnight starter for us Wednesday night.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Crushed hour 72. Low still down in NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 By hour 72 the 850mb freezing line is into SE NJ. The rest are below freezing for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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