jburns Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 38.6º here. A nighttime melt underway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 I ended up with 18-19" here about 20mi west of Martinsville (about 45min from Big Frosty). Last EURO run before the event ended had me at 20.1" of snow. It snowed heavily from 1:00pm-10:00pm yesterday before changing to sleet after 9" of accumulation. Sleeted all night, mixing with snow after 3:00am or so. Then all snow arrived again from the ULL and absolutely destroyed us from 9:00am-4:00pm with the heaviest rates/biggest flakes/highest winds of the event. Ended with 18-20" depending on where you measure, and we have some 4-foot drifts. Overall, I thought the sleet would be a killer for this storm, but with the intense ULL snows today, it more than made up for it. Robert nailed it here with his 10-15" with locally higher totals. DT also verified with his gutsy 16-20" call. EURO verified with its 13-20" run-to-run totals. This was definitely the best, most intense winter storm I vividly remember for my area (I'm 25, so I was only 4 in March '93) Can't say that I'm ready for spring just yet, but I'm very happy with this winter. Only two events, but topped the 20" mark either way. I'm surprised you switched to sleet so early man last night this was a wild ride for sure. It is an absolute mess out there never plowed my road people packed it down today all the 4x4 anyway and it is a sheen of ice on top Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Temps starting to drop to near freezing or slightly below in some outlying areas where the clouds have cleared up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Snow in 49 states today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lookingnorth Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Temperature increased to 36 in Chapel Hill and much of the northern NC piedmont. Anyone know why? Also: will the temperature get below freezing tonight? This burst of warm air has me worried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sctvman Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Incredible event for the inland areas. Berkeley Electric still have over 20K customers out in Berkeley County alone. There's several entire towns without power. 10K are still out in Dorchester County, over 6K in Colleton with SCE&G. Almost 2,000 in Charleston County.They said some areas may be out of power for another 4-5 days in the deep inland areas after it went out on early Wednesday morning. Ravenel Bridge is still closed down from 4AM on Wednesday morning because of ice. Some of the inland areas far away from the coast with the most ice could be out 2-3 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Clear skies, light northwest wind and 30 degrees. "The moon on the breast of the new fallen snow gives a luster of mid-day to objects below". Get out and enjoy this folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.C. Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Columbia, SC Temps swinging up and down, but overall right where we were when the sun came out this afternoon, 39F after being 36F last hour. Temps might not even get below freezing. Something was weird when temps shot all the way up to 50F just west in Georgia this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Clear skies, light northwest wind and 30 degrees. "The moon on the breast of the new fallen snow gives a luster of mid-day to objects below". Get out and enjoy this folks. But in six weeks we know, what is bound to appear, 6 inches of grass and a man on a Deere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 It's not going to drop below freezing. I've seen this game before. I don't know why it works, but it does. If the temps aren't dropping near the end of the storm, they won't drop overnight. It doesn't matter how many times the NWS forecasts them to drop, they won't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 It's not going to drop below freezing. I've seen this game before. I don't know why it works, but it does. If the temps aren't dropping near the end of the storm, they won't drop overnight. It doesn't matter how many times the NWS forecasts them to drop, they won't. You got a good point there, I don't know why? But my forecasted lows this morning for tonight was low 20s this evening they said upper 20s but I'm still above freezing right now 32.8... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lookingnorth Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 How much snow do you think will melt tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JQPublic Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 I actually don't care. I'm getting stir crazy. Bring on the 70's next week! I only have a 10 min drive to work. Much easier to get stuff done than working from home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 WRAL WeatherStay home if you can. Seeing numerous accidents on the roads due to black ice. Let's just try to wait until the sun can work some magic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 RDU made it down to 28 and didn't drop below freezing until 3 AM. Can a met chime in and explain what happened? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 RDU made it down to 28 and didn't drop below freezing until 3 AM. Can a met chime in and explain what happened? Downsloping behind the low? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Downsloping behind the low? Yeah and the thinking for today was that the snow pack would override the warm SW wind, bright sun and downslope warming. However, the forecast high here was 40 today and it's 43 at 10am. I'm starting to think we are going to make a run at 50. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 yesterday they said highs in upper 30s today, this morning said mid 40s? I'm sitting at 48 right now may go well over 50. With this much snowpack I didn't think it would get this warm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 yesterday they said highs in upper 30s today, this morning said mid 40s? I'm sitting at 48 right now may go well over 50. With this much snowpack I didn't think it would get this warm! Its 51 here now. I think model guidance said 50-55 and they just didn't believe it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 This storm certainly helped our GPRA numbers at GSP... 55 Warnings Issued/55 Events (FAR = 0; POD = 1.0)Average Warning L.T. = 27.3 hours55 Watches Issued/55 Events (FAR = 0; POD = 1.0)Average Watch Lead Time = 59.2 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 This storm certainly helped our GPRA numbers at GSP... 55 Warnings Issued/55 Events (FAR = 0; POD = 1.0) Average Warning L.T. = 27.3 hours 55 Watches Issued/55 Events (FAR = 0; POD = 1.0) Average Watch Lead Time = 59.2 hours You guys did a great job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 RDU made it down to 28 and didn't drop below freezing until 3 AM. Can a met chime in and explain what happened? I didn't follow the wx over there this morning, but I did work the near term desk at GSP. The LAPS soundings were showing very shallow and steep sfc inversions due to the snow cover. This allowed little vertical mixing even tho the gradient winds stayed up. Proof of the nil mixing is the Td trace...notice it remained at -4.4 C during the time of the temp drop off, while TDDs were 4.5 C at 08Z. This means the near sfc layer was throughly mixed wrt mass, yet still fairly dry, which then allowed radiational cooling to have more of an effect since warmer air aloft was no longer tapped into. KRDU 141151Z 24004KT 10SM CLR M02/M04 A2977 RMK AO2 SLP083 4/002 70012 T10221044 10017 21028 53018 KRDU 141051Z 22006KT 10SM CLR M02/M04 A2974 RMK AO2 SLP073 T10221044 KRDU 140951Z 22008KT 10SM CLR M02/M04 A2973 RMK AO2 SLP070 T10221044 KRDU 140851Z 23007KT 10SM CLR M01/M04 A2971 RMK AO2 SLP065 T10061044 53015 KRDU 140751Z 23005KT 10SM CLR 00/M04 A2968 RMK AO2 SLP053 T00001044 KRDU 140651Z 25007KT 10SM CLR 01/M03 A2968 RMK AO2 SLP054 T00111033 KRDU 140551Z 25006KT 10SM CLR 01/M03 A2967 RMK AO2 SLP050 4/002 60000 T00111028 10022 20011 51024 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cigrgd Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 MODIS image of the snow cover. Note the northwest S.C. snow hole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 IPsnowZRaccumInGA0212to1314.png Doesn't look like the forecast of "widespread snow/sleet amounts over 4" north of I-20" verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Doesn't look like the forecast of "widespread snow/sleet amounts over 4" north of I-20" verified. Keep in mind that these are often what is measured as opposed to what actually fell since they're largely based on observers who aren't paid/official. I called FFC and the met. told me that just a few minutes ago. If you just go by what is measured, you will often be too low vs. what actually fell due to melting and compaction. Example: this map shows ~3" of snow/sleet for my area. In reality, I already estimated 4" actually fell in Dunwoody (2.5" IP and 1.5" SN) even though I also measured about 3" on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Keep in mind that these are often what is measured as opposed to what actually fell since they're largely based on observers who aren't paid/official. I called FFC and the met. told me that just a few minutes ago. If you just go by what is measured, you will often be too low vs. what actually fell due to melting and compaction. Example: this map shows ~3" of snow/sleet for my area. In reality, I already estimated 4" actually fell in Dunwoody (2.5" IP and 1.5" SN) even though I also measured about 3" on the ground. Did they make a map that showed just snow total ? Without the sleet ? And also a map with just sleet and not including snow ? I should also point out that FFC said there would be widespread 4" amounts of snow with some sleet also possible. Seems like they should have been more focused on sleet than snow in most areas of metro atl. Even the local atlanta media seemed to be more focused on snow than sleet for areas north of I-20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Did they make a map that showed just snow total ? Without the sleet ? And also a map with just sleet and not including snow ? Nope. Only sleet and snow, combined. They can't because the people calling in the measurements don't give then two #'s...just the one total depth. Edit: Also, if there was any left on the ground from the 2/11 event (affected well north of ATL), it would supposedly be included in the # because it is depth.. But much of that had already melted in many cases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Downslope at its best... NWS was going for 43 but its currently 53. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Per 12Z 2/9 Euro at two meters, the run Lookout and myself had decided to evaluate for warm bias at two meters when wedging strong (we both saved maps): forecast for 12Z 2/12: verified 1 F too wam at ATL and 3 too warm at MCN forecast for 18Z 2/12: verified 4 F too warm at ATL and was exactly right at MCN forecast for 0Z 2/13: verified 3 too warm at ATL and also at MCN Evidence of Euro warm bias at two meters though later runs were colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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