WxWeenie Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Had 32 deg & heavy IP at midnight. Continued until 7AM when snow started. Snow stopped about 9AM and temp has dropped to 27 deg. About 1" of sleet on ground and maybe .75" of snow on top. Wind gusts to 20mph or so, but looks like this will be a bust for me. Radar looks pretty clear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mercurydime Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Snow begins here along the escarpment in western McDowell, albeit slowly...kinda like me before I have my coffee... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxJordan Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 No snow yet in Hildebran, but the radar is slowly starting to fill in over our area. The radar should start to fill in as the upper level energy begins to round the base of the trough. IMO, the forecast is on track for at least NC, SC, and VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DixieBlizzard Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I really like the latest SREF plumes for NW GA. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/fplumes/index.php?YMD=20140212&RT=09&PRM=Total-SNO&SID=DNN&INC=ALL&NNC=&max=&min=&mZOOM=7&mLAT=33.518215964619046&mLON=-83.84166552946567&mTYP=roadmap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toxictwister00 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Still getting steady sleet falling NW Atlanta. Closing in near 2 inches of sleet in grassy areas, I'll remeasure it again soon to make sure it's accurate. 27°F DP: 27°F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Guys, look west... More rain out that way for us in Alabama and Georgia. This was expected for us in Columbus, but it's a little drier than thought. We'll see things pick up before things are through. Exactly! I didn't expect the dry slot as much either...BUT models do regenerate qpf once that sfc low starts to kick in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaStorm Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Sleet is really picking up here. Saw some snow earlier but it has mainly been sleet so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Phil, can you give me the link for the correlation coefficient radar site? I looked around a bit at that nextlab website but couldn't find the type of radar you are using. I'm looking to see if they have it for the Raleigh station and others. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El Kabong Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 We're sitting at 33 with light rain. Radar estimates show 1-1.5" of rain has fallen so far so we're fortunate that the temperature has stayed above freezing. The closest 32 degree reading is showing up in Macon. The 32 degree wetbulb line is scheduled to continue its southwestward march, so any precip that comes in this afternoon could be of the frozen variety. The revised NWS forecast is giving us a chance for up to .20 accumulation for ice with the greater chances as you go north towards Macon and northeast towards Interstate 16. With this lull coming up in the precip, I'm curious to see how that will affect our temperatures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GAdawg Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Just off 78 4 miles east of the city. Walked outside to make sure the pool pump was running, and observed only light zr 20 minutes or so ago. Has been primarily sleet for most of the night though. Cool well sounds like we have a good spread across this area as we can see basically what is occurring on either side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXinCanton Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I really like the latest SREF plumes for NW GA. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/fplumes/index.php?YMD=20140212&RT=09&PRM=Total-SNO&SID=DNN&INC=ALL&NNC=&max=&min=&mZOOM=7&mLAT=33.518215964619046&mLON=-83.84166552946567&mTYP=roadmap Nice Greg, Looks decent for GVL too, We might have shot at 5 to 6 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Phil, can you give me the link for the correlation coefficient radar site? I looked around a bit at that nextlab website but couldn't find the type of radar you are using. I'm looking to see if they have it for the Raleigh station and others. Thanks! http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=GSP-N0C-0-6 College of Du Page really has some top rate graphics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wild Weather Monger Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Back to sleet/zr mix. Did I mention I HATE sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Seems like models show one thing and the radar another. Atlanta starting to ease up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SharonA Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Around 3:30am the rain/sleet/ZR mixture started falling for real. I went to bed. Woke up at 9:30 to a thin layer of ice on everything. The smaller pine trees are already drooping. The taller ones are swaying in the breeze. We've had a couple of power blips, enough to reset the appliance clocks. No precip at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow haven Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Big flakes pouring here in Rockingham, nc!!! Roads are covered! Already have 3" from yesterday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a5ehren Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Seems like models show one thing and the radar another. Atlanta starting to ease up. It's a good thing we haven't already talked about this like 4 times in 3 different threads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmersonGA Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I really like the latest SREF plumes for NW GA. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/fplumes/index.php?YMD=20140212&RT=09&PRM=Total-SNO&SID=DNN&INC=ALL&NNC=&max=&min=&mZOOM=7&mLAT=33.518215964619046&mLON=-83.84166552946567&mTYP=roadmap Seems like it goes up an inch or more every run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DixieBlizzard Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I really like the latest SREF plumes for NW GA. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/fplumes/index.php?YMD=20140212&RT=09&PRM=Total-SNO&SID=DNN&INC=ALL&NNC=&max=&min=&mZOOM=7&mLAT=33.518215964619046&mLON=-83.84166552946567&mTYP=roadmap Nice Greg, Looks decent for GVL too, We might have shot at 5 to 6 inches Still possible for sure! It encourages me to see the SREF printing out good snow for NE AL still as well (a little wiggle room). WAA kicked my ass here until about 7am. Missed a lot of good stuff in that first batch this morning. Ended up with at least half an inch of ZR/IP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Those in GA. Just talked to Robert he said the lull is due to the convection robbing moisture. Big wild card in this. I've been worrying about that for days and had a bad feeling it could negatively effect those downstream. I know for almost certainty I'm not going to pick up nearly as much as the models have been showing. Pretty much every model gave me 2 inches or more. I've had about 0.45 to 0.50 i'm guessing so far and it's extremely hard to believe i pick up anything close to 1.5 for the rest of the system. In fact most of the total precip was supposed to fall by 18z today. . If I manage 0.80 by tonight, that would normally be a good total for a winter event. But that pales in comparison to the 2, 2.5, and even close to 3 inches the models have been given my location for days. One can only assume that the convection has played a role, as I feared it might. Maybe some of us can make up for some lost ground with the deformation axis but I'm not sure it will even come far enough south to give me anything more than a flurry. Would be a disappointing storm if it under performs this much for my location. Although I am happy about not getting destructive ice. ..which for a while last night I seriously began to think that was going to be the case when the best i could get going was a rain/freezing rain/sleet mix. Maybe it will redevelop and fill in though..Will be interesting to see how the rest of the storm goes and for the rest of you too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blam49er Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Where are you at? I'm off gold hill. Where are you at? I'm off gold hill. We live in Sutton Place near Baxter Village. I read this board daily but don't post very often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DixieBlizzard Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Seems like it goes up an inch or more every run. It's got to be the deform band for later that drives this. I think some SN rates will be awesome for a few hours at least this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disco-lemonade Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Moderate snow just started in southern pines Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
newcomb68 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 nothing YET in Greensboro..think this storm was waay over done..will wait and see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.C. Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 My Bradford Pear tree will not make it threw today 75947_10203308233689415_499967553_n.jpg Absolutely incredible. You are maybe 20 miles to my WSW and we have no ice on the trees here at all, just lots of sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 It's robbing moisture with that orientation (SW to NE)? That feature has been modeled well I thought? http://models.weatherbell.com/news/hrrr_current_se.gif The early frames of the HRRR show the scattered precip for this area and then filling in later. I admit im worried up here because I've seen this story before. But this is modeled to play out this way and has been so I hesitate to meltdown and listen to the voices of reason! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsandhills Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Steady light snow in Fayetteville,NC. Temp 28.4*. Ready for the heavy stuff to come on before it changes to sleet/ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpony Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Lots of small flakes coming down good and fast. what worries me is the wind. it's already howlin here in Pauline SC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 My exact thought too, the orientation actually looks good to me. Legit -SN here, just TINY flakes This looks great to me... That slug of convective precip will stall and move up the E half of NC while precip fills in west of it as the coastal revvs up. Near exactly as modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Absolutely incredible. You are maybe 20 miles to my WSW and we have no ice on the trees here at all, just lots of sleet. Just went out and measured and I have .50 on the trees and 12+" icicles hanging from my roof Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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