deltadog03 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Check out this page... http://models.weatherbell.com/news/hrrr_current_se.gif Redevelopment goes boom... Thank You for that as well! HRRR and RAP are still too warm here at our BL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RaleighWx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Is it possible it's also having issues with dryer air in the atmosphere which would cause higher dewpoint depressions and less mixing? Or am I reaching here? Not sure. I think one of the tangible results is that it is way too warm I think with the boundary layer and surface temps today for many areas. Plus the RAP has a warm bias anyway. It shows Raleigh being mostly rain all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Seems like it's moving through Atlanta very quick based on radar. Why did they forecast an all day affair? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Yes, check the models. Hrrr has precip all day up there. 37, windy and mist. Temperatures are way colder than expected across GA. Already freezing rain in Vidalia GA. Hope they protect their onions! Would be funny if you got something frozen!! Temp 27.7 mod snow and blowing snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RaleighWx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 So we are being dry slotted despite the cloud deck and no downslopping? Wow! Low dew points right now are agood thing if you want frozen/freezing precip. The moisture advection with this storm will have no problem overcoming the dry low levels, it means that the wedge is going to lock in very strong this afternoon for the Triangle probably stronger than the models show, which seem to be underestimating the cold/dry air, and make it very difficult for temps to get above freezing tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I wouldn't worry about the Atlanta radar right now. As Jason said, it should backfill back in once the low tracks a little further north and it starts to go negative tilt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jalba Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 It is getting ugly in Atlanta (As well as other places) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Agreed Raleigh, RAP and HRRR are def. to warm as shown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 adivan, on 12 Feb 2014 - 07:53 AM, said:Seems like it's moving through Atlanta very quick based on radar. Why did they forecast an all day affair? Read literally a few posts above this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RaleighWx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 This is good because historically when we get at least dew points in the teens we ussually get a good winter storm. It's bad because that precip is going to be eat up by the dry air for a longer time. I think it's going to drive many north NC people crazy today seeing the radar return stagnate while saturation occurs. Shouldnt be a long wait. By noon most of the Triangle should be snowing. 1-2 at the latest. This major league warm advection/moisture advection it will quickly overcome the low level dry air this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Seems like it's moving through Atlanta very quick based on radar. Why did they forecast an all day affair? Can we please stop with these comments. It’s been said numerous times now, there will be redevelopment as the energy phases and the trough goes neutral tilt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Check out this page... http://models.weatherbell.com/news/hrrr_current_se.gif Redevelopment goes boom... Isn't that loop from a run yesterday...? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I agree. It was always shown to develop this way.. Can we please stop with these comments. It’s been said numerous times now, there will be redevelopment as the energy phases and the trough goes neutral tilt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 What part of oconee are you? Between Seneca and Walhalla. Its snowing as hard as it can here just don't have the huge flakes and brutal outside! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Isn't that loop from a run yesterday...? You have to refresh the loop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BraseltonGAWX Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Thanks everyone Finally got something for all the waiting. You will know because the flakes here are HUGE. I'm not kidding when I say I think they are the biggest I've ever seen. These are the flakes you hear other people talk about but never experience. Would be a lot better though if there wasn't a hurricane going on out there. Man..whether it's snow or sleet, it's stinging like hell. All snow here in Braselton and has been for a while. Approximately 2 inches already. Interesting obs about the large flakes. Not here. They are not small, but certainly not what I would call large. They are closer to the small flakes we got 2 weeks ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Low dew points right now are agood thing if you want frozen/freezing precip. The moisture advection with this storm will have no problem overcoming the dry low levels, it means that the wedge is going to lock in very strong this afternoon for the Triangle probably stronger than the models show, which seem to be underestimating the cold/dry air, and make it very difficult for temps to get above freezing tonight. Thanks, makes sense. I was just getting frustrgted not seeing anything. Here's to a great storm for everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mello Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Isn't that loop from a run yesterday...? Hold shift and click refresh to ensure it reloads. Saw the same at first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Isn't that loop from a run yesterday...? Nope 9z run from this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HWY316wx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 From another message board. Cornelia, GA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Nope 9z run from this morning. Yeah, I didn't know I had to refresh again. Now I see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a5ehren Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I'm getting mainly sleet but I am gettin bouts of 80/20 sleet/snow mix at times. My yard looks exactly like this, just with more birds With these winds, so glad we didn't get all that ZR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC 751 AM EST WED FEB 12 2014 ...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0724 AM ICE STORM AIKEN 33.54N 81.73W 02/12/2014 E0.50 INCH AIKEN SC 911 CALL CENTER DISPATCH, ELECTRIC COMPANY, AND SOCIAL MEDIA REPORTED 1/2 INCH OF ICE WITH MANY TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN AND MANY OUTAGES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterhawk Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 We do have light snow; changed over sometime between 5-8am after a layer of sleet was put down and my eyes somehow closed. Will be a mess today; not too many people out thank goodness; looks like roads are skating rinks again.. edit - still mostly sleet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JQPublic Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 25.9° w/ a dewpoint of 13.1°. It amazing to see that we could potentially switch to all rain a some point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 There are reports of 12-14" in Pamlico Co but it hasn't been confirmed and could well be a weenie report then again they got hammered down there NORTH CAROLINA...BEAUFORT COUNTY... WASHINGTON 4.0 550 PM 2/11 SOCIAL MEDIA...CRAVEN COUNTY... NEW BERN 10.0 550 PM 2/11 SNOW HAS BECOME LIGHT. JAMES CITY 9.0 430 PM 2/11 SOCIAL MEDIA BRIDGETON 8.0 635 PM 2/11 20 INCH SNOW DRIFTS 2 NW HAVELOCK 5.5 746 PM 2/11 NWS EMPLOYEE...DARE COUNTY... SALVO 8.0 735 PM 2/11 SOCIAL MEDIA FRISCO 5.5 700 PM 2/11 CO-OP OBSERVER NAGS HEAD 3.0 900 PM 2/11 AMATEUR RADIO KILL DEVIL HILLS 2.0 700 PM 2/11 SOCIAL MEDIA KITTY HAWK 1.0 645 PM 2/11 SOCIAL MEDIA...DUPLIN COUNTY... BOWDENS 5.0 800 PM 2/11 SPOTTER...HYDE COUNTY... ENGELHARD 8.0 430 PM 2/11 SOCIAL MEDIA...JONES COUNTY... POLLOCKSVILLE 10.0 600 PM 2/11 SOCIAL MEDIA TRENTON 8.0 430 PM 2/11 SOCIAL MEDIA MAYSVILLE 6.0 430 PM 2/11 SOCIAL MEDIA...LENOIR COUNTY... PINK HILL 6.0 600 PM 2/11 SOCIAL MEDIA LA GRANGE 4.0 630 PM 2/11 SPOTTER...MARTIN COUNTY... WILLIAMSTON 1.0 715 PM 2/11 EMERGENCY MNGR...ONSLOW COUNTY... RICHLANDS 7.0 550 PM 2/11 SOCIAL MEDIA JACKSONVILLE 0.8 956 PM 2/11 AMATEUR RADIO...PAMLICO COUNTY... BAYBORO 10.0 550 PM 2/11 SOCIAL MEDIA ORIENTAL 9.0 648 PM 2/11 SOCIAL MEDIA WHORTONSVILLE 7.0 900 PM 2/11 AMATEUR RADIO MINNESOTT BEACH 6.5 956 PM 2/11 AMATEUR RADIO...PITT COUNTY... GREENVILLE 4.0 545 PM 2/11 SPOTTER GRIMESLAND 4.0 858 PM 2/11 PUBLIC...TYRRELL COUNTY... COLUMBIA 1.0 1014 PM 2/11 911 CALL CENTER...WASHINGTON COUNTY... PLYMOUTH 2.0 1015 PM 2/11 911 CALL CENTER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Finally moderate snow here. A dusting so far. Small tiny flakes, looks like a powdery snow. Maybe enhanced ratios? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Just went out to find some breakfast and all the roads appear to be untreated in the Poinsett Highway/TR area. Barely a dusting but the snow is whipping around and staying on the roads. Glad I left when I did. 26/22 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CherokeeGA Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 NE Cherokee County GA Temp: 27.7 DP: 28 Precip: Freezing rain started around 12am; switched to sleet sometime before I woke up again around 3am; switched to sleet/pellets a couple of hours ago with a little snow mixed in. The ground looks like it has over an inch of "snow" but it's more from the ice pellets / sleet than actual snow at this time. When I woke up and checked at 3am, there was already a thin glaze of ice all over everything. Without going outside and getting picky about measuring it, it looked like less than .10 coating the items on our back patio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmersonGA Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 sleet bomb IMBY. Looks like we had a tenth or so of ZR before we switchedsame here. We have a light glaze and a ton of sleet on top. My office officially shut down for the first time in decades which is good since I don't think I could even make it out of my driveway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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