packbacker Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 1:03 PM, Cold Rain said: WRAL has 1-3 for all of Wake except for my corner of the county. Well the 11z HRRR just puts down 4-5" over your house and there is a big precip holes over my house between western Wake and Pittsboro. Woohoo snowhole back in effect! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 1:01 PM, Cold Rain said: He Grit, I got a shade over 4 and then sleeted for a good while. Changed to zr in the evening and got that most of the night. It did not accrue well, but there is some on the trees, and they're not dripping, so I guess we're 31 or 32...certainly not lower than that. All in all, a good storm for me. Puts me over climo, I guess, and ends the RDU snow rought. We had 1"/hr rates for a couple of hours.I thought you guys averaged around 80" a year? At least the way brick talks big storms are common from Nov to February for the rdu area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 1:13 PM, packbacker said: Well the 11z HRRR just puts down 4-5" over your house and there is a big precip holes over my house between western Wake and Pittsboro. Woohoo snowhole back in effect!I don't know how much I trust those models' high-res details. I'd imagine we're looking at precision, but not accuracy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 1:14 PM, franklin NCwx said: I thought you guys averaged around 80" a year? At least the way brick talks big storms are common from Nov to February for the rdu area.Mistake number one: listening to anything Brick has to say about anything. He's here for entertainment only. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Power outage map: https://www.progress-energy.com/app/outagemaps/carolinas.aspx There's 1 person without power in Durham county. Poor guy (or gal). EDIT: here's the Duke power map: https://www.duke-energy.com/north-carolina/outages/current.asp That makes 21 folks in Durham without power. Major ice storm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 1:13 PM, packbacker said: Well the 11z HRRR just puts down 4-5" over your house and there is a big precip holes over my house between western Wake and Pittsboro. Woohoo snowhole back in effect! Check please! Two would be a big win. I know it won't turn out exactly as it shows, but it'll be nice to see one more snowfall before winter is over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 1:18 PM, WidreMann said: Power outage map: https://www.progress-energy.com/app/outagemaps/carolinas.aspxThere's 1 person without power in Durham county. Poor guy (or gal).EDIT: here's the Duke power map: https://www.duke-energy.com/north-carolina/outages/current.aspThat makes 21 folks in Durham without power. Major ice storm! A saw some green flashes last night around 2:30 am. Prolly flashed about 4-5 times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 1:14 PM, franklin NCwx said: I thought you guys averaged around 80" a year? At least the way brick talks big storms are common from Nov to February for the rdu area. Haha! I can understand why you would think that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 12:33 PM, metalicwx366 said: Check the models.He's up too early to tell you other people's analysis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 12:34 PM, packbacker said: After lunch, you look to be in a great spot too, was surprised is so aggressive with potential accumulations for today. Maybe they lower them, it sounds to high. Thats what I don't understand either. NWS going 3-6 with the ULL but that radar looks like crap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Dripping outside now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Viper652 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 How were they so wrong about the crippling ice storm. It was above freezing the whole night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 1:36 PM, Viper652 said: How were they so wrong about the crippling ice storm. It was above freezing the whole night Model huggers!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 1:33 PM, ncweather said: Thats what I don't understand either. NWS going 3-6 with the ULL but that radar looks like crapIt's supposed to be building up. The GFS was showing precip increasing throughout the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I had one power flicker. Duke Power now says 638 customers without power in Durham County. The trees are swayin' out there. Fingers crossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 That band is building all the way down into SC. Hopefully, that trend will continue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Who's starting the 14-15th clipper thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 1:52 PM, Cold Rain said: That band is building all the way down into SC. Hopefully, that trend will continue. That is nice but everything lifts NE, we have to hope to get clipped by it, probably why WRAL has 1-3" for the NW side of Wake, although I haven't seen there map, but just a guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ekman Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 NWS Raleigh predicting only another inch or so for Apex. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 1:56 PM, mackerel_sky said: Who's starting the 14-15th clipper thread? Lol...I forgot all about that suppose to snow again tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 2:10 PM, packbacker said: That is nice but everything lifts NE, we have to hope to get clipped by it, probably why WRAL has 1-3" for the NW side of Wake, although I haven't seen there map, but just a guess. Yeah. I just got a chance to look at the 11z HRRR. It has less snowfall generally across our area. Not too concerned about the local maxes, but the general trend was less. WRAL's latest futurecast model run looked a little more robust than the last run though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 How does the 12z look, Pack? Only the 11z is out on the free site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 12hrrr still looks good CR Another couple inches around the RDU area with a heavy swath of 4-8 NW towards triad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 2:33 PM, ncweather said: 12hrrr still looks good CR Another couple inches around the RDU area with a heavy swath of 4-8 NW towards triad Cool deal! Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I really dont see how I get more than 1-2 from this in high point. Precip looks more meager than some of the simulated radar I saw. We shall see. Oh, and we are still getting ZR/IP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 2:42 PM, Dunkman said: I really dont see how I get more than 1-2 from this in high point. Precip looks more meager than some of the simulated radar I saw. We shall see. Radar looks awesome for the triad, that is all going to lift NE and it's moving slowly and it should be great rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Radar is showing stuff building and lifting from the the south west toward the triangle. I'm a little concerned about the upper air dynamics though. 850 line still well to the west, check out meso analysis attached: My air temp is climbing a bit above freezing now as well, 32.2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 2:38 PM, Cold Rain said: Cool deal! Thanks. The last 4 runs of the HRRR have been very consistent about having the heaviest snows 20 miles east/west of I-85/I-40 split, Wake County is fringed with the heavy (3") snows on the HRRR, hopefully we can see 1-2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Luckly as the precip assoicated with the ULL moves east so will the 850s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nckhawk Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 2:47 PM, Jet Stream Rider said: Radar is showing stuff building and lifting from the the south west toward the triangle. I'm a little concerned about the upper air dynamics though. 850 line still well to the west, check out meso analysis attached: My air temp is climbing a bit above freezing now as well, 32.2. Looks like RAH is seeing the same thing. They've downshifted to 1" to 2" thru tonight. The sun is trying to come out in Raleigh right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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