NCSU_Pi Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I keep expecting the lull to come into Raleigh but always seems to back fill right to the south of us. We've been sleeting like mad. Not too much ice accretion that I've seen, so I'm not gonna complain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Did you see the HRRR? OMG. OMG, that can't be right! Just see it snow tomorrow would be a miracle for us, it can be another 2" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Yep, it could get ugly for us, I keep thinking the same thing. But then it keeps back building. Hopefully we'll stay ip and not transition to zr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Harv311 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Did you see the HRRR? OMG. Im with you dude. ITs pinging in w-s but that band is going to save my week. Let it snow let it snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ekman Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Poor Nate Johnson. He seems like a smart guy and a learned met. But he gets stuck talking about traffic on WRAL. Nate is indeed a very smart guy, PhD from State and all. He's going to have to go somewhere else to get much air time, I'm afraid. Those WRAL guys stick around for years and years, so it's hard to see him improving his position in the pecking order there. Unless he is exceedingly patient. ETA: Mix of very fine IP and ZR in Apex, same as it's been for the last hour or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I really don't care for the sleet, but it's a lot easier to take with 6" on the ground than it is with 1" on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfide Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Well, boys and girls, Atlanta is done with this one. Historic? Not even close. Busted! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Looks like my part of the county is right at the freezing mark. At least that will limit ice accrual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Looks like my part of the county is right at the freezing mark. At least that will limit ice accrual.I'm trying to figure out what's going to happen with temps overnight. Will that line stall out over the Triangle? The path of the 925mb low would imply that it shouldn't get too much further west. Then again, with ZR, I can't imagine we'll stay in the 20s for long even here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I'm trying to figure out what's going to happen with temps overnight. Will that line stall out over the Triangle? The path of the 925mb low would imply that it shouldn't get too much further west. Then again, with ZR, I can't imagine we'll stay in the 20s for long even here. I would imagine they would slowly rise in most locales that are getting ZR. Without reinforcement, they should be able to approach the freezing mark. If we get under the deform band tomorrow with a period of heavy snow, they should fall back to or below freezing, if they are above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Well, boys and girls, Atlanta is done with this one. Historic? Not even close. Busted!Yeah, moisture is pretty sparse back torwards ATL and west! Robert posted something about ull that just crushed Birmingham with 6 inch an hour rates, was going to go through ATL , Chattanooga , Athens, GSP , and up into NC. Said it would be heavy snow with that!? I think it goes N of that and misses me , per track on current radar!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blueheels2 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Got freezing rain drizzle here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CherokeeGA Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Well, boys and girls, Atlanta is done with this one. Historic? Not even close. Busted! Agreed. I'm sure there are a lot of media wishing they had not so frequently used the words "historic", "catastrophic", etc. I am very glad we didn't have all that much ice in Georgia, to be sure. But the forecast def busted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbubba Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Here, South of Raleigh, the outdoor thermometer reads 31 degrees and the sleet has switched over to freezing rain. A light glaze is starting to form on exposed surfaces, especially metallic surfaces. That warm nose must be advancing north and east as many forecasters were expecting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I blame it on the models. The models were showing a historic storm. None of them got it right. I bet the models will get the blizzard right in the NE though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Our temperature still hasn't shot up like it was supposed and like the NWS said. We should be 48 now. Even the Rap had the 10c line up here which is 50 degrees. Still holding at 36. Epic fail with temps today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VeronicaCorningstone Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 We are finally above freezing for the first time today. Raining at a pretty nice clip too. Meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Yikes, the HRRR has central Wake County at 31F at it's highest, the western part of Wake Co. is at 30F, Durham's Max is 29F. The HRRR did have us over freezing but has slowly dropped the temps each run for over night. This frzn could get ugly, hopefully we go to rain for a little bit because the HRRR has another 0.8-1" of QPF over us through 6am tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Still mostly IP, but some ZR seems to be mixing in. No additional glaze yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Yikes, the HRRR has central Wake County at 31F at it's highest, the western part of Wake Co. is at 30F, Durham's Max is 29F. The HRRR did have us over freezing but has slowly dropped the temps each run for over night. This frzn could get ugly, hopefully we go to rain for a little bit because the HRRR has another 0.8-1" of QPF over us through 6am tomorrow. RAH just put out a quick discussion. They think the temps will stabilize about where they are now for the remainder of the night -- winds are going from NE to N. .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... -- Changed Discussion -- AS OF 1005 PM WEDNESDAY... VERY DANGEROUS WINTER STORM TO CONTINUE...AND A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL NC THROUGH 6 PM THU. THE P-TYPE TRANSITION ZONE...DRIVEN BY A 50 KT SOUTHEASTERLY LLJ AND ASSOCIATED PRONOUNCED WARM NOSE ALOFT PER MHX AND CHS RAOB DATA...HAS MARCHED STEADILY INTO THE NORTHERN PIEDMONT THIS EVENING. WHILE PRECIPITATION RATES HAVE DIMINISHED SINCE THE INITIAL SURGE OF INTENSE WAA/ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE AND ASSOCIATED BURST OF EARLIER HEAVY SNOW...INTENSE FRONTOGENESIS AND DYNAMIC FORCING FOR ASCENT AHEAD OF A SOUTHERN STREAM WAVE OVER AL/MS WILL RESULT IN RENEWED PRECIPITATION INTENSITY DOWNSTREAM ACROSS THE CAROLINAS TONIGHT. WHILE TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED TO AROUND FREEZING INTO THE I-95 CORRIDOR...TEMPS WILL BE HARD PRESSED TO RISE MUCH MORE GIVEN THE PROPENSITY OF THE SURFACE WINDS TO BACK AROUND TO A MORE NORTHERLY COMPONENT AS THE CONSOLIDATING SURFACE LOW LIFTS UP THE COAST OF THE CAROLINAS BETWEEN 06-12Z. GIVEN THE LATEST OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS OF A CHANGEOVER TO OR MIXING WITH...FREEZING RAIN AS FAR NORTHWEST AS THE TRIAD...IT APPEARS THE PROBABILITY OF SLEET PREDOMINATING AND LIMITING ICE ACCRUAL HAS DIMINISHED. AS SUCH...WE EXPECT PERHAPS ANOTHER INCH OR TWO OF FROZEN OVER THE FAR NORTHERN AND NW PIEDMONT...WITH A HIGHER IMPACT CONCERN OF ICE ACCRUAL OF TWO TO FOUR TENTHS OF AN INCH...WITH NEAR ONE HALF INCH POSSIBLE IN A NARROW AXIS WITHIN 15 MILES EITHER SIDE OF AN ALBEMARLE TO CHAPEL HILL LINE. POWER OUTAGES WILL CONSEQUENTLY BECOME AN INCREASING CONCERN THROUGH EARLY THU...EXACERBATED BY NE TO N SURFACE WINDS THAT WILL AT TIMES GUST BETWEEN 20 AND 30 MPH. IN FACT...THERE WAS A RECENT REPORT OF A 36 MPH WIND AT WINSTON SALEM LAST HOUR. WIND CHILLS WILL DIP INTO THE TEENS...TO PERHAPS HIGH SINGLE DIGITS DURING TIMES OF TEH STRONGER WINDS. TRAVEL...NOT SURPRISINGLY IS VERY STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. -- End Changed Discussion -- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 It's one of the signs of the end of days!! Fox 21 met just said THUNDERSNOW. As she went to commercial!!? I know it's possible , but... She must be trying to keep viewers after today's pretty big bust! She just named it her favorite weather phenomenon! LoL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 If that's the case it's going to have to be some really shallow cold air here for me to get the ZR they are forecasting. 22 currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nckhawk Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 All ZR in Raleigh right now - a pretty significant wave of rain just moved thru. Not good if this continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 RAH just put out a quick discussion. They think the temps will stabilize about where they are now for the remainder of the night -- winds are going from NE to N. What a disaster this could be. Would be nice if the event ended right now, have power can go sledding tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Looking at how the models did with temps, the NAM did the best, RGEM was warm, RAP was warm after 12 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I would imagine they would slowly rise in most locales that are getting ZR. Without reinforcement, they should be able to approach the freezing mark. If we get under the deform band tomorrow with a period of heavy snow, they should fall back to or below freezing, if they are above. How much snow did you get CR and did it come down hard? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Any chance more snow can still make it to the Triangle? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Any chance more snow can still make it to the Triangle? You have a shot at it tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Any chance more snow can still make it to the Triangle? Not tonight, possibly tomorrow afternoon, have a shot at 1-2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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