burgertime Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Even when CLT is in the bullseye it just doesn't seem to work. Either way I got five inches and looks like a lot more frozen is going to be on top of it. Went out for a fun sled ride. This has been a great winter with a good payoff in Feb. If I luck out under a deform band even better but congrats to those who will get hammered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 any obs from rutherford area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Not sure how completely accurate it is but if you do a loop of the 850 meso on SPC From 4 hours ago till now the warm nose is creeping into NE NC but at the same time dropping back S/E over GA/SC. My area and SJ's(triad area) may change to pingers but not for long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Last I heard there was some heavy sleet around the County. I know my mom is loving this back home, bet the rates are crazy in northern Catawba County right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 One met on a local channel says snow and sleet heavy , through the night. Another channel saying 1-2 inches of ice, the sleet and snow met still sticking with 5-10, and that's not gonna happen. Sleet and freezing rain will dominate tonight! I don't see anything to get this precip back to snow! Gonna call this a bust! Got 4 inches yesterday with temps in the mid 30s and had an inch forecasted ! Today mid 20s and about 2 inches of snow, then sleet for 12 hrs, forecast 5-10! Guess they cancel each other out??! 26 degrees currently lol i know, pretty much like mby. the sleet didnt surprise me all that much. however, not going back to snow did. and going to freezing rain really confused me. 27 and icing big time here. yall still have snow on the trees from yesterday? we do at this point who knows what will happen. i am pretty sure what WONT happen. 6-10" of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 James i live in InT and you live in gso where do we want this low to set up for the most snow. I think it really depends on the 850 low at this point. We need to keep that sucker further southeast than most models have it going if we want to stay all-snow. The NW side of that that stays all-snow will be slammed. Well, we'll probably be slammed either way, but that slammage may be in the form of sleet if we're not careful... This is a time where I'm very glad I'm in western Guilford County! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Even when CLT is in the bullseye it just doesn't seem to work. Either way I got five inches and looks like a lot more frozen is going to be on top of it. Went out for a fun sled ride. This has been a great winter with a good payoff in Feb. If I luck out under a deform band even better but congrats to those who will get hammered. Yeah, even Raleigh seemed to do better than me and they were supposed to get very little! More power to them, congrats. Even SE Charlotte got more even though that's where all the mixing was supposed to be. Just the way it goes. Hopefully the DFB hits us tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Not sure how completely accurate it is but if you do a loop of the 850 meso on SPC From 4 hours ago till now the warm nose is creeping into NE NC but at the same time dropping back S/W over GA/SC. My area and SJ's(triad area) may change to pingers but not for long. Yeah, this area has always seemingly been the pivot point at the 850 mb level. The 0C isotherm was originally more north-south oriented, but as the 850 low nears and the surface low starts cranking well to our SE, the 0C isotherm starts pivoting into more of a SW to NE orientation and then finally to pretty much due North-South. It will be interesting and I definitely expect to changeover at some point, but hopefully it won't be for too long. Then again, I should learn that warm noses always come in warmer than the models indicate... (I'm not sure if that's actually true, but boy does it seem like it sometimes!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 For my CLT peeps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lookingnorth Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 How much should I worry about freezing rain in Chapel Hill? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoDa-wx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Holy dry slot...disappointing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Holy dry slot...disappointing Not a dry slot just a lull. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btownheel Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 James, might have responded to earlier question, if so, my apologies....but how long would you think before we pull the 850's back. I'm hoping in time for the deform band.... BTW, note the RAP is dropping another damn near 1.4 QPF. Holy crap! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Basically all pingers here in NW High Point Only about 4-5 hours early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btownheel Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I don't see much at all from the midlands SC guys.....they all down on power? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 How much should I worry about freezing rain in Chapel Hill?At least 6. You could also worry 7, but given the gulf coast storms, amounts may be lower than initially expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I'm ready for the wraparound ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Still sleeting really good here. Maybe a little zr, but mostly ip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Yeah, this area has always seemingly been the pivot point at the 850 mb level. The 0C isotherm was originally more north-south oriented, but as the 850 low nears and the surface low starts cranking well to our SE, the 0C isotherm starts pivoting into more of a SW to NE orientation and then finally to pretty much due North-South. It will be interesting and I definitely expect to changeover at some point, but hopefully it won't be for too long. Then again, I should learn that warm noses always come in warmer than the models indicate... (I'm not sure if that's actually true, but boy does it seem like it sometimes!) Agree... FWIW the nam over the last couple days been showing a thick layer around here of 0 to -1 with 1 being the warmest. So far I haven't seen any pingers even though radar is suggestive knock on wood. If it does hopefully it won't be long. It seems per spc that cold air is coming back in aloft and pushing in so we may not have to deal with it. FWIW no matter how good or how bad others have said.... gfs/nam has keep us all snow. How much should I worry about freezing rain in Chapel Hill? Not much. Eventually it should change back over and stop further east. Frz threat around the RDU area might be minimal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Not a dry slot just a lull. The SLP hasn't even hit the Atlantic, you would think it would start strengthening and throwing precip back, will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gritsnc Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Is the triad (ws, gboro) still at risk of power outages? I really want to turn in my kerosene heater but if we are still at risk of outages then I'm going to save the kerosene. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Pingers have become the primary P-type. This is not unexpected, but it seems a bit early. Maybe some heavy rates can save the day? Might be time to go all-in for the deformation band tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Is the triad (ws, gboro) still at risk of power outages? I really want to turn in my kerosene heater but if we are still at risk of outages then I'm going to save the kerosene. Not likely... Snow and sleet is about all you will see and lots of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jtgus Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 All sleet in Gibsonville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Harv311 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Pingers have become the primary P-type. This is not unexpected, but it seems a bit early. Maybe some heavy rates can save the day? Might be time to go all-in for the deformation band tomorrow. Sleet in w-s its changing back? starting too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 After reading all of those posts, I think Franklin, NC up to Mt. Airy will be ground zero when it's all done. We haven't switch over to sleet here and we're still getting good snow rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 when you posted this 53 mins ago, it was IP.. Still IP. A heavy band came through around 4:15-5 and it was 80% heavy snow.. What if... Man, it would have been awesome. Fighting the warm nose now and hoping to cash in tonight with a all snow topper for what I have out in MBY now.. any obs from rutherford area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Berlin1926 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Hope everyone is doing well. We are stuck at 21F with heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Bands starting to pick up south of central NC, hopefully this continues if its sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btownheel Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 if you look at the models there is still a LOT of qpf inbound for central and west NC.....hell if this keeps up GSO, Whitsett, Btown etc might get a few inches of IP before the deform band gets here. Just want those 850's to crash one more time..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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