metalicwx366 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Wow you guys in Raleigh didn't learn from the Atlanta situation. SMDH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I realize this is OBS, but this was a little bit ago as this thing starts cranking up now. Wind has whipped the light, high ratio stuff from this morning. No sleet mixing issues so far... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pilotwx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Oh, God, the 12z Euro was epic here. 2.3" QPF with a brief changeover to sleet for a period. Hammered by the deformation band. Wow. Oh, God, the 12z Euro was epic here. 2.3" QPF with a brief changeover to sleet for a period. Hammered by the deformation band. Wow. Whats the QPF back in the Northern Foothills region ? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Oh, God, the 12z Euro was epic here. 2.3" QPF with a brief changeover to sleet for a period. Hammered by the deformation band. Wow. Its going to really be interesting once the low phases with that upstream energy and actually gets cranking isn't it? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Interested snippets from RAH... TONIGHT: DEEPER INTO THE COLD AIR...THE P-TYPE CHANGEOVER WILL BESLOWER TO OCCUR...BUT WE EXPECT A MIX OF PTYPES IN THE VICINITY OFTHE US 1 CORRIDOR BY 8-10PM. HOWEVER...IT IS DURING THIS PERIODPRIOR TO MIDNIGHT THAT WE MAY SEE SOME HEAVY PRECIP BANDINGNORTHWEST OF THE SURFACE LOW AND IN THE VICINITY OF STRONG FGENAROUND 850MB. FORECAST SOUNDINGS AT KRDU SHOW A DEEP ISOTHERMALLAYER...SUGGESTING PRECIP RATES MAY BE ABLE TO DRIVE PTYPE BACK TOSNOW AT TIMES BEFORE CHANGING OVER THE FREEZING RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. 5PM. INTERESTINGLY...CONVECTION HAS RACED ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE...AHEAD OF GUIDANCE TIMING THIS MORNING...AND MANY PAST CASES OF THATOCCURRENCE HAS RESULTED IN REDUCED PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS DOWNSTREAM.NOT SEEING ANY EVIDENCE OF THAT AT THIS TIME...SO WILL CONTINUE TOMONITOR OBSERVATIONAL AND NWP DATA TRENDS THROUGH THE EARLY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Whats the QPF back in the Northern Foothills region ? Thanks You guys mostly miss the deformation band (though you all still get in on it a little), but still make out well with all-snow and around 1.5" QPF. The deformation band basically pivots over GSO and points north and south for the entire day tomorrow, not letting up until the evening. If I didn't know any better, I must have went in and hacked into the Euro servers because GSO is basically the jackpot (even with the changeover to sleet). Easily 12"+, maybe more like 18". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Oh, God, the 12z Euro was epic here. 2.3" QPF with a brief changeover to sleet for a period. Hammered by the deformation band. Wow. Dude you so suck! Did you look at the 6 hour precip output? It has you 12" through tonight and another 12" tomorrow afternoon (assuming it's all snow). It was 30 hours of heavy precip, should be 80-90% snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 You guys mostly miss the deformation band (though you all still get in on it a little), but still make out well with all-snow and around 1.5" QPF. The deformation band basically pivots over GSO and points north and south for the entire day tomorrow, not letting up until the evening. If I didn't know any better, I must have went in and hacked into the Euro servers because GSO is basically the jackpot (even with the changeover to sleet). Easily 12"+, maybe more like 18". You literally have been in the bulls eye for several days now, usually that never works out! That's awesome, I have 2 sisters and brother in INT/GSO, they are freaking out about getting 12-18" of snow (they don't like it). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pilotwx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 You guys mostly miss the deformation band (though you all still get in on it a little), but still make out well with all-snow and around 1.5" QPF. The deformation band basically pivots over GSO and points north and south for the entire day tomorrow, not letting up until the evening. If I didn't know any better, I must have went in and hacked into the Euro servers because GSO is basically the jackpot (even with the changeover to sleet). Easily 12"+, maybe more like 18". I'll take my 12 -15 inches and be happy! Something we have going for us tonight is the Orographic lift. Plus the closed upper low should do some damage as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Yeah, I'm starting to think we have a legit chance at getting 12"+. That hasn't happened in at least 30 years at the airport. This would be amazing if it works out. They say you have to dance with the sleet to get the jackpot and we're playing that game. The Euro has been amazingly consistent with the depiction of the snow/sleet line for days now, usually either only getting us to 0C or to 1C and changing us over to sleet for a few hours. Either way, it's a bigger snowstorm than has been seen here in decades. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 You guys mostly miss the deformation band (though you all still get in on it a little), but still make out well with all-snow and around 1.5" QPF. The deformation band basically pivots over GSO and points north and south for the entire day tomorrow, not letting up until the evening. If I didn't know any better, I must have went in and hacked into the Euro servers because GSO is basically the jackpot (even with the changeover to sleet). Easily 12"+, maybe more like 18". I haven't even looked but euro been basically showing the same thing here so I must say Im excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Folks in the Storm thread thinking an inland track. Boo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 The radar looks like crud SW of here, hopefully the coastal gets cranking soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Yeah, I forecast GSO at 5-7 with sleet. I think I may bust low! lol Sorry! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ekman Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Wow you guys in Raleigh didn't learn from the Atlanta situation. SMDH. Except that Wake County cancelled school for today. If they'd gone with an early release instead, there would be dozens of full school buses, and parents with kids in their cars, stuck out there right now. So that's something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Folks in the Storm thread thinking an inland track. Boo. The Euro tracks the low from Wilmington to New Bern. It's still in the same place it has been showing for days now. I still don't see how it tracks that far west, but I'll take it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Folks in the Storm thread thinking an inland track. Boo. Maybe they are talking about the ull? The surface low, I don't think so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Folks in the Storm thread thinking an inland track. Boo. Who, everyone that lives in the mtns? I think it's inland too, if inland means over HAT, but if inland means over Jacksonville, ain't happening. One reason I have hardly posted in the storm thread, if you disagree with the Euro it's treated like blasphemy. The Euro actually ticked east a little and the deform band was east too, should be interesting to see how this turns out. I think we will get 3-4" with some ice, nice storm for us, if we stay all frozen this will be one of my favorite storms in quite a long time (although this is the first storm in quite a long time :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncskywarn Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Wake Forest NWS grid also updated 5"-10" between now and tomorrow link? http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?x=218&y=88&site=rah&zmx=1&zmy=1&map_x=217.5&map_y=88.13333129882812#.UvvKOoW2w8E Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 The radar looks like crud SW of here, hopefully the coastal gets cranking soon Exactly. Radar hasn't been impressive overall imo. Hoping it blows up soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Latest HRRR is 6F off (to warm) at 2-3pm today for RDU. Currently it's 23F in Raleigh and HRRR has us at 29-30F from 2pm on, we ain't rising unless we get frzn. Hopefully we can stay below 30F. The HRRR does get RDU to 33-34F tonight around 10pm, hopefully it busts by 3-4F tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncskywarn Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Oh, God, the 12z Euro was epic here. 2.3" QPF with a brief changeover to sleet for a period. Hammered by the deformation band. Wow. How much of the deformation band makes it into the triangle? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smdriver Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Long time lurker...just wanted to provide my feedback to anyone who is curious...I'm in west Wilson, NC (halfway between Raleigh and Greenville)...we have nothing but snow so far and about 6 inches of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VeronicaCorningstone Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Ugh. About 75/25% pingers/snow now. It was a good run, tho. Got about 3 inches on the ground here (after about half an inch left over from yesterday). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Folks in the Storm thread thinking an inland track. Boo. What folks? RaleighWx doesn't. Told y'all this was staying east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
27596WXNUT Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Wow you guys in Raleigh didn't learn from the Atlanta situation. SMDH. We perfected it in 2005. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Harv311 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Im a high school student who has loved weather and forecasting for a long time. I have learned so much reading each post the past 10 or so days. So I now wanted to give back and bought a subscription. Thanks so much. Especially James, lookout,Jordan,wow. That deform band is looking sweet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smdriver Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Ugh. About 75/25% pingers/snow now. It was a good run, tho. Got about 3 inches on the ground here (after about half an inch left over from yesterday). Veronica, what part of Wilson Co.? are you in? I'm right here off 95 and we have a lot more than 3 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Dual pole shows I'm about to go to sleet. Heavy snow and the flakes are getting bigger. Won't be long, I'm afraid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 The 15z sref drops 1.8 bullseye near hky or statesville. 1.5 qpf over all the foothills basically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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