FLweather Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Man, ncweather is going all in with an offshore track. He has my full support for that plan. Damn skippy. The wedge is too strong for it to hung the coast. Greatest temp, pressure gradient is offshore along the trough axis... or the baroclonic zone. Wait till it hits the GS... may go boom boom boom like a hundred pounds of TNT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Damn skippy. The wedge is too strong for it to hung the coast. Greatest temp, pressure gradient is offshore along the trough axis... or the baroclonic zone. Wait till it hits the GS... may go boom boom boom like a hundred pounds of TNT. Let's say that were to happen. What effects would it have for the Triangle? More ZR or more SN/IP? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Yeah, but if it were to follow the gulf stream, that might matter, right? Btw, one inch on the ground already. It's coming. I still like it right over HAT or just inside. The Euro is just sick for GSO, has the deform band right over them, 2.5" of QPF, that would be 25" of snow, temps are a little warm though, so it's probably more like 15" with a whole lot of ice, but if temps are modeled to warm watch out, it has them with 12" today and 12" tomorrow, can that even happen??? Has 1.7" of QPF for us, but it does warm us but we do have some backend snow. If it's off by 1-2F then it could be crazy bad here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Let's say that were to happen. What effects would it have for the Triangle? More ZR or more SN/IP? More sleet/snow. Further east the SLP the upper level features will follow in a way... meaning the 850 low further east... probably eventually over the Pamlico Sound or pretty close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I'm telling you that wedge means business and it is cold! The slp is going to be off the coast. Sure it might clip Hatteras, but basically it is not inland. Look at that wedge! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
timnc910 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I'm about to head to raleigh is it bad there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
timnc910 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I'm about to head to raleigh is it bad there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Thanks guys. I'm just hoping not to pick up a bunch of ice. And it's always awesome to catch some deform band action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I'm about to head to raleigh is it bad there? Yes. Stay home. Seriously. Man, even Widre has to like what he's seeing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 It's total gridlock in Raleigh. Absolute traffic nightmare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Coming down easily at 1"/hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Thanks guys. I'm just hoping not to pick up a bunch of ice. And it's always awesome to catch some deform band action. RAH say pingers hit us between 4-5pm, but has us snow/sleet until 11pm, which would be very nice, can't imagine 10 more hours of this, the rates "should" be better around 4-5pm too. Hopefully we can get to 2-3" before it flips to pingers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshWeather Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 People posting that sleet already mixing in Charlotte/monroe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILMRoss Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 It's total gridlock in Raleigh. Absolute traffic nightmare.Didn't help ncsu let classes out at 1! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncskywarn Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Wake Forest NWS grid also updated 5"-10" between now and tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blueheels2 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 WIfe is stuck on 540 at Briar Creek and needs to make it to Falls of the Neuse. Not sure she is going to make it home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poptones Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 wife's also stuck, she's on Avent Ferry needing to get to Five Points - ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southernskimmer Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snwbrdmom76 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Blueheels- my husband is making the same trek. Took him about 30 to get to leesville from brier creek. It may just be very slow going. I think 540 has fewer issues than roads like Durant. Cars parked along there, from what I hear. If she has 4wd, she might make it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conclue Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Mets. What's Equivalent Potential Vorticity? It was mentioned in the GSP AFD this afternoon. Thanks. The EPV is basically the PV (potential vorticity; spinning of the air; induces cyclogenesis) but if adibatically brought to 1000mb. It's a good measure to determine how stable/unstable the atmosphere is in a particular location, especially at the mesoscale. The less stability the easier an air parcel can ascend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VeronicaCorningstone Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Ugh for the Raleigh traffic nightmare- really glad my parents went to get my Gma from Raleigh early this morning. They couldn't handle being stuck in something like that. Just huge flakes falling here now...I know it won't last but it's gorgeous. If these rates kept up and it stayed snow, we'd get buried and quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Burlington reporting +SN heaviest rates in the state per KBUY metar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blueheels2 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Blueheels- my husband is making the same trek. Took him about 30 to get to leesville from brier creek. It may just be very slow going. I think 540 has fewer issues than roads like Durant. Cars parked along there, from what I hear. If she has 4wd, she might make it. Of course she didn't take the 4wd today. She says 540 is moving about 15 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 People posting that sleet already mixing in Charlotte/monroe Right now the sleet line is running down I-95 so hopefully we hold out until 4pm or so, and then hopefully we mix sleet/snow, otherwise it could get ugly with sleet accumulations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Wake Forest NWS grid also updated 5"-10" between now and tomorrow link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fuzzymcilwoods Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I'm about to head to raleigh is it bad there? i know two people already strandard on the roads there. don't do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 This is a terrible terrible situation emerging in the Triangle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Oh, God, the 12z Euro was epic here. 2.3" QPF with a brief changeover to sleet for a period. Hammered by the deformation band. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Right now the sleet line is running down I-95 so hopefully we hold out until 4pm or so, and then hopefully we mix sleet/snow, otherwise it could get ugly with sleet accumulations. We gotta keep the power grid on. That goes and we got real problems of the tragic kind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 2.5 inches here and snowing to beat the band! Looks to be snow for another couple of hours. If that occurs at these rates, 5 is not out of the question! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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