Cold Rain Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 No cold rain for you, Cold Rain. Thanks, James! what did you have for dinner tonight? Oh it was good stuff tonight. I had a Hungry Man double chicken breast with mashed potatoes, corn and the best brownie money can buy. I love me some TV dinners! How bout you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Without looking at soundings, it looks like roughly .50" qpf could fall as snow at RDU before the change to sleet and then freezing rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 LOL, in all seriousness, the 18z RGEM is so damn crazy with the QPF that it isn't even that bad here. That looks like somewhere between 0.5"-0.8" before the changeover and then more snow late in the run with a crap ton of sleet in the interim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Assuming I can ask IMBY questions: What do you think will happen for Chapel Hill? Snow tomorrow afternoon, mixed with sleet and freezing rain overnight, then more snow Thursday early. 4-5 inch accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 When does the RGEM come out? I'm afraid. I'd just like to see one model move east....even if it means it has data ingest errors and shows a lakes cutter, then comes back the next run with an I-95 track. Just go east ONE TIME! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 LOL, in all seriousness, the 18z RGEM is so damn crazy with the QPF that it isn't even that bad here. That looks like somewhere between 0.5"-0.8" before the changeover and then more snow late in the run with a crap ton of sleet in the interim. Hurricane Tracker said it held serve at 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Thanks, James! Oh it was good stuff tonight. I had a Hungry Man double chicken breast with mashed potatoes, corn and the best brownie money can buy. I love me some TV dinners! How bout you? homemade chilli. At my mother in laws. Good stuff, hits the spot on a cold day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Without looking at soundings, it looks like roughly .50" qpf could fall as snow at RDU before the change to sleet and then freezing rain. I have seen others say 4 to 8 total and 6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I'd much rather have a bombing Euro than that strung out crappy low depicted on the NAM. Just let this thing blow up and I'll take whatever I get. Also, Burger, how are you not going to stay up for the models tonight of all nights? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 NAM still looks like a good hit for RDU according to others. 4 to 8 inches of snow with ice, too. I could do without the ice but the runs still keep going a good hit of snow. The thing I don't get is why Fishel says only 1 to 4 inches of snow ow when all the models have showed 4 being on the low side, even with the ice. Brick, in all seriousness, in this situation, you should not count on much snow. There is going to be all kinds of warm air aloft very, very quickly. Unless we get an unexpected band of overrunning precip move in, it's going to be difficult to get 4 inches of snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 homemade chilli. At my mother in laws. Good stuff, hits the spot on a cold day. Yeah, that's good stuff. We have stuff to make that tomorrow, as a matter of fact. I hope we get a little winter weather here so I can stay home and make it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 0z nam says LIGHTS OUT ATLANTA! Is that all freezing rain? It's showing up as over 2 feet of snow! Wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Suncat Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 OK, the Weather Channel is calling this 'Winter Storm Pax'. This historic beast should sound more intimidating than that...anything but 'Winter Storm Peace'! *sigh* I'm calling it a night... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Brick, in all seriousness, in this situation, you should not count on much snow. There is going to be all kinds of warm air aloft very, very quickly. Unless we get an unexpected band of overrunning precip move in, it's going to be difficult to get 4 inches of snow here. S why do all the models keep showing that, even with the ice? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 0z nam says LIGHTS OUT ATLANTA! Is that all freezing rain? It's showing up as over 2 feet of snow! Wow! Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 S why do all the models keep showing that, even with the ice? I don't know. Why did the NAM show a foot of snow for the whole state the other day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppalachianWedge Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Question on the CAD that is starting to settle in to NC. Past history from me living in Winston-Salem area is that the dry cold air settles in and when the precip gets here, it takes an hour or two before the atmosphere is dampened and the snow actually hits the ground. Will we see the same thing with this storm ? Was not sure if the heavy wet snow helped to dampen the air sooner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I don't know. Why did the NAM show a foot of snow for the whole state the other day? That wasn't less than 24 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 0z nam says LIGHTS OUT ATLANTA! Is that all freezing rain? It's showing up as over 2 feet of snow! Wow! Yes If I end up with a bunch of ZR I'm going to be pissed and frightened all at once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gritsnc Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Question on the CAD that is starting to settle in to NC. Past history from me living in Winston-Salem area is that the dry cold air settles in and when the precip gets here, it takes an hour or two before the atmosphere is dampened and the snow actually hits the ground. Will we see the same thing with this storm ? Was not sure if the heavy wet snow helped to dampen the air sooner. Lanie pope talked about this and said that by noon, the air should begin to moisten up with precipitation falling around 3pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I don't know. Why did the NAM show a foot of snow for the whole state the other day? Been thinking about this, whatever the SLP track it appears to give us 2-3" of snow, then it depends on whether it's sleet/frzn or rain/dryslot, does it really matter...no it doesn't, we aren't inline for possible 8-10" and the west track would take us down to 2-4" with ice. Going to stay up the for UK and root the CLT/Triad folks on. My money is on the UK being the right track, just inside HAT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 RGEM Precip, can't tell where the SLP is though, looks like we front end slow and then we are sleeting at 0z tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppalachianWedge Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Lanie pope talked about this and said that by noon, the air should begin to moisten up with precipitation falling around 3pm. Good deal....I figured it would still be like that. It is a bummer though....I have seen a few storms here where it took close to 3 hours before you saw a flake and I figured we missed out on at lease a couple inches because of that. Fortunately for this storm, it is appearing like we will have plenty of snow to pass around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cornsnow Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Been thinking about this, whatever the SLP track it appears to give us 2-3" of snow, then it depends on whether it's sleet/frzn or rain/dryslot, does it really matter...no it doesn't, we aren't inline for possible 8-10" and the west track would take us down to 2-4" with ice. Going to stay up the for UK and root the CLT/Triad folks on. My money is on the UK being the right track, just inside HAT. I hope you are right. My wife and I own a custom cake business in the Huntersville, NC north of charlotte and we can't afford to be out of power for a long time. Especially with a super busy weekend for Valentine's Day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 If I end up with a bunch of ZR I'm going to be pissed and frightened all at once. Yeah..it's not looking good here all of a sudden. It started with the 18z runs really..the rap has only added to my fears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 S why do all the models keep showing that, even with the ice?Because the NAM and Euro show any form of frozen precip on the snow maps as snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 packbacker, on 11 Feb 2014 - 10:05 PM, said: RGEM Precip, can't tell where the SLP is though, looks like we front end slow and then we are sleeting at 0z tomorrow night. Did Wilkes make this map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Been thinking about this, whatever the SLP track it appears to give us 2-3" of snow, then it depends on whether it's sleet/frzn or rain/dryslot, does it really matter...no it doesn't, we aren't inline for possible 8-10" and the west track would take us down to 2-4" with ice. Going to stay up the for UK and root the CLT/Triad folks on. My money is on the UK being the right track, just inside HAT.Yeah, good point. 2 vs 4 inches really doesn't matter all that much. How did he RGEM look? West of the last run?Edit: just saw your map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCWeSU Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 RGEM Precip, can't tell where the SLP is though, looks like we front end slow and then we are sleeting at 0z tomorrow night. Did you play a game of Oregon Trail after looking at that map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 WCTI reporting some 1' totals in Hyde county with the over-running today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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