Crapper Jim Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Was that John Cessarich? John...Channel 4 - Seems excited. Orgasmic?! I never watch local. WC Mike Cidel(sp) on Haywood Road... in Greenville. Now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I see he upped us. I didn't think that was possible. Mentions of thundersnow, too... James, what is your loc? Disabled now and I forgot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 It really doesn't matter how much snow anyone gets. The headlines coming out of this one will be ice. Of course. What worries me is if some areas get 4, 5, or 6 inches of heavy wet snow then they end up getting significant freezing rain on top of it. I mean ffc is forecasting around 6 inches of snow in athens and a half inch of ice..that's just wicked...and least we forget the high winds along with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 James, what is your loc? Disabled now and I forgot. KGSO. I live like 5 minutes from the airport (which is actually west side of Greensboro). This could be a situation where the airport gets 10" while downtown gets 6" with a lot of pingers. The same could be true for Charlotte since the airport is well to the NW of town. There could even be a similar gradient for RDU vs. Raleigh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 As a side note, should we put our location in our signatures since that stuff is disabled right down due to the high traffic? I think I'll do that as it will be helpful for posting OBS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I sent you a pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I see he upped us. I didn't think that was possible. Mentions of thundersnow, too... Oh yeah... a beautifully written piece of work! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northern Foothills Snowman Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I see he upped us. I didn't think that was possible. Mentions of thundersnow, too... Can you post Roberts new map ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I really think he northern metro is trending towards more snow than sleet at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Can you post Roberts new map ? Gotta get a subscription dude! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Euro had had this for about a week,I'm riding it to the finish line. GSP still has all snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raysum Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Gotta get a subscription dude! It is on his Facebook page Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.C. Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 There is very strong cold advection right above the surface. By sunrise tomorrow 950mb temps drop to -6c/21 in athens so naturally surface temps are going to drop. Not our usual way of getting below freezing in a cad situation which is normally helped out a lot by evaporational cooling. Thank you for some explanation. I didn't think this was a normal type of CAD situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaStorm Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I really think he northern metro is trending towards more snow than sleet at this time. That will be great for higher totals. To see things trend towards the Euro is classic. Break out the sled! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seasonsoflove Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Work is cancelled tomorrow. The CSRA area is shutting down tonight. I've got water and food, I've got candles, and I remembered to take the ice scraper into the house. It's going to be one hell of a ride. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Just got home from work and took a few mins to measure around the yard, seasonal avg, 3.5-5" depending where I measure, top of the garbage can has 4", so that is what I am going with, 4". Not bad, was only expecting maybe a dusting, and the over-running over-performed. Happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Brad P saying 8" reports coming out of Eastern NC...talk about over performing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I was able to manage about 3 hours of sleep last night between radar/model checking. I wonder how much sleep I’ll be able to get tonight with the storm of the century approaching? Anybody else preparing for sleep deprivation over the next 48 hours? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Brad P saying 8" reports coming out of Eastern NC...talk about over performing. Some have not been updated, i.e. Farmville, reports of 8-10" in Hyde County (un-confirmed). Beulaville - 3 inches Bridgeton - 5 inches Buxton - 2 inches Chocowinity - 3 inches Ernul - 3.8 inches Farmville - 1.5 inches Greenville - 3.8 inches Hatteras - 2.5 inches Havelock - 2 inches Kinston - 2 inches Jacksonville - 1 inch La Grange - 1.5 inches New Bern - 5 inches Ocracoke - 4.5 inches Oriental - 6 inches Pikeville - 3 inches Richlands - 5.5 inches Stantonsburg - 2.5 inches Swan Quarter - 5.5 inches Wallace - 6 inches Washington - 1 inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SharonA Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Glenn Burns @GlennBurnsWSB 4m NWS upgraded south metro and points east to an ICE STORM WARNING. Threat has now turned from CATASTROPHIC to BIBLICAL! #wsbtv OK, that's it. NWS is no longer allowed to issue ICE STORM WARNINGs. We need to keep these threats in the CATASTROPHIC "pretend it's manageable" category! (Did NWS even know they had that power to bump threats from "CATASTROPHIC" to "BIBLICAL!" ?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I was able to manage about 3 hours of sleep last night between radar/model checking. I wonder how much sleep I’ll be able to get tonight with the storm of the century approaching? Anybody else preparing for sleep deprivation over the next 48 hours? already am sleep deprived. I haven't slept in 2 weeks because of things not related to weather so this is making it even worse to say the least. And um, yeah..the latest rap radar forecast was.....interesting. I can think of a good joke or two about weenies with this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 No more jokes guys. Death is on the horizon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossthread Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Some Folks were talking about a *paper*, explain Convection, (T-Storms?) Robbing or Affecting Moister transport into the SouthEast states, For example during this Upcoming storm.. I think Lookout was asking about this among a few others... Would this happen to be this Paper, They are looking for, talking about? I hope I helped here some-what.. The Effect of Upstream Convection on Downstream Precipitation Operational forecasters in the southeast and mid-Atlantic regions of the United States have noted a positive quantitative precipitation forecast (QPF) bias in numerical weather prediction (NWP) model forecasts downstream of some organized, cold-season convective systems. Examination of cold-season cases in which model QPF guidance exhibited large errors allowed identification of two representative cases for detailed analysis. The goals of the case study analyses are to (i) identify physical mechanisms through which the upstream convection (UC) alters downstream precipitation amounts, (ii) determine why operational models are challenged to provide accurate guidance in these situations, and (iii) suggest future research directions that would improve model forecasts in these situations and allow forecasters to better anticipate such events. Cont.. at link---> http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/WAF986.1 I hope this is the Paper ya'll were asking about/looking for? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 The GFS KGSO bufkit made my knees weak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Some Folks were talking about a *paper*, explain Convection, (T-Storms?) Robbing or Affecting Moister transport into the SouthEast states, For example during this Upcoming storm.. I think Lookout was asking about this among a few others... Would this happen to be this Paper, They are looking for, talking about? That is probably it. Awesome find. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 No more jokes guys. Death is on the horizon. Your nonchalant-ness about this underscores the situation according to maxx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I plan to sleep tonight.. After the 00 runs . i hope.. Maybe.. I was able to manage about 3 hours of sleep last night between radar/model checking. I wonder how much sleep I’ll be able to get tonight with the storm of the century approaching? Anybody else preparing for sleep deprivation over the next 48 hours? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 That would be it sir! thanks Some Folks were talking about a *paper*, explain Convection, (T-Storms?) Robbing or Affecting Moister transport into the SouthEast states, For example during this Upcoming storm.. I think Lookout was asking about this among a few others... Would this happen to be this Paper, They are looking for, talking about? I hope I helped here some-what.. The Effect of Upstream Convection on Downstream Precipitation Operational forecasters in the southeast and mid-Atlantic regions of the United States have noted a positive quantitative precipitation forecast (QPF) bias in numerical weather prediction (NWP) model forecasts downstream of some organized, cold-season convective systems. Examination of cold-season cases in which model QPF guidance exhibited large errors allowed identification of two representative cases for detailed analysis. The goals of the case study analyses are to (i) identify physical mechanisms through which the upstream convection (UC) alters downstream precipitation amounts, (ii) determine why operational models are challenged to provide accurate guidance in these situations, and (iii) suggest future research directions that would improve model forecasts in these situations and allow forecasters to better anticipate such events. Cont.. at link---> http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/WAF986.1 I hope this is the Paper ya'll were asking about/looking for? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 ok some of the posts this afternoon are hysterical lol. finally got caught up on stuff i think. i am tired from todays event - way over performed. wish i hadnt looked out the window at 5 AM (lol joking of course Of course. What worries me is if some areas get 4, 5, or 6 inches of heavy wet snow then they end up getting significant freezing rain on top of it. I mean ffc is forecasting around 6 inches of snow in athens and a half inch of ice..that's just wicked...and least we forget the high winds along with it. i have been pretty much thinking mostly snow so no issues here. but seeing what this wet snow did today to the trees and limbs, and seeing that it is all still there, makes me wonder about my power now. got my phone and ipad plugged in to keep charged just in case lol. just started realizing the winds should start howling at some point (i have been focusing on today up until now) I was able to manage about 3 hours of sleep last night between radar/model checking. I wonder how much sleep I’ll be able to get tonight with the storm of the century approaching? Anybody else preparing for sleep deprivation over the next 48 hours? tell me about it lol. got up at 5 am. as soon as the snow let up and i took the final measurement i went to bed for a 3 hour power nap lol. thinking it will be a smart move seeing whats next. i am still floored by todays over performance and am having trouble grasping whats up next and the amounts i am seeing. i am not dreaming still i hope if this cranks as advertised and getting clobbered with heavy snow again at 2 AM i plan to be up for that! temps slowly (and painfully slowly) dropping. its so foggy that may end up with some freezing fog/drizzle is the winds dont clear things out soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossthread Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 ya'll are very much welcome... Glad I could assist in some way, My weenie self.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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