WxKnurd Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Here's hoping the 12z EURO holds with the colder trend and holding mixing issues at bay near CLT. I don't want to be ungrateful for a nice 4-5 inch event, but MAN, I don't want to underperform on such a great setup.Going to come down to which side of town and the county you are in. IMO, Less chance for mixing out towards lakes and over towards Concord, more down towards Mint Hill. I'm pulling for the transition line to set up on the far SE side of the county, going to be close. Like you said, I won't complain about 6" but if we have a shot at 10"+, I want to maximize all the snow I can get to fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I think once you analyze the obs verbatim, you'll see the ECMWF was on crack verbatim. What do you mean? All the models are moving toward it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fuzzymcilwoods Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 RDU snow shield in full effect, LOL seriously. it's uncanny how this always seems to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Honestly I think we need to wait and see how this plays out. I've been in the bullseye before only to be too far east or west. You just never know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Pack, looks like a solid deform band moving through our area on the Ukie. Nice! Verbatim, of course. The wraparound may be our only hope to see snow, the UK is a full fledged KU storm, as modeled, IMO. The GFS is no where near as deep or as far north, this may go down as another epic GFS modeling blunder, just crazy how bad it's been, it's slowly closing the gap now that we are within 48 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Welcome to the dark side, we have been waiting for you. Get used to it, it's the new climo for our area, CLT to GSO and points west will easily get a foot, some 18", MA will get 18-24", NE will get 18-24", historic event, just not for us. But it will be good to watch our friends west of here get clobbered. Can't wait to update the snow totals thread, we will be at 50% of clime and everyone else will be 150-200%. No it won't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 What do you mean? All the models are moving toward it? Well verbatimly speaking, I doubt CLT will get 13 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDUBRDU Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Honestly I think we need to wait and see how this plays out. I've been in the bullseye before only to be too far east or west. You just never know. Exactly. RDU was almost in the bullseye with the last storm and it shifted east. Even if this doesn't play out, it will be RDUs turn someday, and others will get the shaft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Ugh, snow to our south. I've been a student at state for 7 months now and my pessimism has gone through the roof. I see where other posters around here get it. After my freshman year I turned pessimistic there too. Middle of the snow drought years just about. At least now, if things are a foothill special and miss CLT, I can drive straight up 16 and be I the thick of things back home in Northern Catawba County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 The models are great to look at but at this point we really need to focus on what the mterologist are saying. I've said this before, I've gained a lot of respect for RAH and how they have handeled that last few events. They have more knowledge on how the CAD will affect our weather than I think the models can depict. The CAD can cause strange trends from models; whereas the 850s (and even the storm centers) can trend a little west while surface temps trend east. THE GENERAL SETUP FOR THIS STORM WILL CONSIST A STRONG HIGH SETTLING OVER NEW ENGLAND WEDNESDAY...WITH CLASSIC CAD EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AS COLD AND DRY AIR FILTERS IN FROM THE NORTH. Well, I hope they see something the Euro doesn't see. It seems everyone is going with the Euro now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Exactly. RDU was almost in the bullseye with the last storm and it shifted east. Even if this doesn't play out, it will be RDUs turn someday, and others will get the shaft. Someday, probably not in our lifetime though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Forgive me. What is a KU storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Well verbatimly speaking, I doubt CLT will get 13 inches. True, maybe just west of CLT, HKY up through GSO to the MA look good for 12"+, per the UK and Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowinnc Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Exactly. RDU was almost in the bullseye with the last storm and it shifted east. Even if this doesn't play out, it will be RDUs turn someday, and others will get the shaft. I do agree with this! While we will probably get the shaft again it will be our turn again someday. Regardless, Raleigh is a great place to live. I wouldn't want to live anywhere else, snow or no snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Well verbatimly speaking, I doubt CLT will get 13 inches. Will you tell me I'm not getting an inch+ of ice? Verbatimly speaking of course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 True, maybe just west of CLT, HKY up through GSO to the MA look good for 12"+, per the UK and Euro. Taken verbatim sure, I can see HKY getting around 8 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Will you tell me I'm not getting an inch+ of ice? Verbatimly speaking of course I hope, verbatimgly speaking, you don't! Otherwise, we'll have to backup CAE tomorrow and I'll be forced into OT. You see, I'm not concerned about you, just me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Moderate snow west of apex Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Will you tell me I'm not getting an inch+ of ice? Verbatimly speaking of course No, but I can tell you how you can raise the temp of your yard and save your trees. It involves alcohol, a bikini and sending photos to the soon to be created storm photos thread. Let me know if you're interested and I'll send you specifics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 No, but I can tell you how you can raise the temp of your yard and save your trees. It involves alcohol, a bikini and sending photos to the soon to be created storm photos thread. Let me know if you're interested and I'll send you specifics.jburns wants a hard 1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CliffDaddy Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 All of a sudden I can't see locations of people posting - can anyone help? Did that feature disappear for everyone or did I inadvertantly turn it off somehow? Very useful, particularly in the other threads about this storm. Thanks in advance for any help! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Making a run at another dusting. Cloud deck has thickened so less sunlight is making it to the ground. Good mood flakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nckhawk Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Light snow reaching the ground in Raleigh. 29F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I hope, verbatimgly speaking, you don't! Otherwise, we'll have to backup CAE tomorrow and I'll be forced into OT. You see, I'm not concerned about you, just me. I can feel the love No, but I can tell you how you can raise the temp of your yard and save your trees. It involves alcohol, a bikini and sending photos to the soon to be created storm photos thread. Let me know if you're interested and I'll send you specifics. I don't think scaring the public would be a good idea Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Snow picking up here and starting to stick, nice band in northern Pitt county extending way back to the wsw. This is our main event so it needs to over-perform. Congrats to all my friends in the western part of the state, I hope you get smoked! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 GSP just updated my range in west CLT to 6-10 inches for wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Well verbatimly speaking, I doubt CLT will get 13 inches. Well, and this is of course verbatimly speaking, I hope your doubt is proved wrong even though I know there is a near guarantee it's right. Keep up the good work down there, so glad To be covered by the GSP office! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 RGEM really mixes a lot of folks, hopefully it's to warm, but people say it's been really good this winter. RGEM has almost 2" of QPF into RDU just crazy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I can feel the love Hey make those bikini pics happen in a pm and I'll see what I can do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Hey make those bikini pics happen in a pm and I'll see what I can do. more white stuff? :0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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