packbacker Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 pack - you can talk about GSP too. I know you hate us and all LOL, GSP, that whole area is going to kill it. RDU is just fighting for sleet, not frzn or rain, kind of sad... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 LOL, GSP, that whole area is going to kill it. RDU is just fighting for sleet, not frzn or rain, kind of sad... I hate it for you guys, seems like the story of the last few years for RDU. I'm sure you will get payback one day, might be in 2055 but it'll happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Where you at NeGa? If I've got light snow you have to be getting some flakes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Just walked the dog and noticed light snow/flurries are flying!Cool ! What is your temp? I'm stuck at 39 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Cool ! What is your temp? I'm stuck at 39 38 currently been a SLOW drop all day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Oh I wasn't meaning you guys back east. I understand your excitement, it's the guys back west they are getting worried for no reason. Actually I am back West, near Easley, in Upstate. I guess I have a bit of a complex as it seems western upstate usually misses the big ones. Even though I have tried to temper my expectations, there is always the hope of another Jan 88, the one time I can think of where we were in the sweet spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Actually I am back West, near Easley, in Upstate. I guess I have a bit of a complex as it seems western upstate usually misses the big ones. Even though I have tried to temper my expectations, there is always the hope of another Jan 88, the one time I can think of where we were in the sweet spot. You're due, hope you get hammered man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Greg Fishel just said the latest computer models show the precipitation potentially changing to rain on Wednesday in the Triangle area. I wonder which model he's looking at.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Greg Fishel just said the latest computer models show the precipitation potentially changing to rain on Wednesday in the Triangle area. I wonder which model he's looking at.... I bet it's the in house model. Brad showed it on his video. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I'll take it! Pack just posted in the other thread that the UK didn't go east. That doesn't bode well for a legitimate trend. It's gonna be the US vs the world.The UK didn't go more east, but it's already more than 100 miles east of the Euro, taking the SLP over Hatteras. Not great for RDU in terms of lots of snow, but it'll likely keep us out of the ZR and rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I bet it's the in house model. Brad showed it on his video. It didn't show you guys flipping, did it? There's no way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 It didn't show you guys flipping, did it? There's no way. The Widremann effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Looks like I might have succeeded in wishcasting the surface low back to the coast. I'll take the UKMET, please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 The UK didn't go more east, but it's already more than 100 miles east of the Euro, taking the SLP over Hatteras. Not great for RDU in terms of lots of snow, but it'll likely keep us out of the ZR and rain. Yeah, I'm ok with the UK track. But it not moving makes me think the Euro is going to hold serve as well. I'd like to see it take a jog east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 The Widremann effect. Haha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Looks like I might have succeeded in wishcasting the surface low back to the coast. Way to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Greg Fishel just said the latest computer models show the precipitation potentially changing to rain on Wednesday in the Triangle area. I wonder which model he's looking at.... That would be a kick in the pants for sure, still 48 hours from this starting, lots can change, right now the Euro is only model showing rain, but they all can trend to the Euro, they usually do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 You're due, hope you get hammered man. Thanx, maybe we'll get a super bomb and we'll all get the big one! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I'm sure those in house models have an awesome track record 48 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I will say this, if the SLP tracks over Hatteras I think we flip to rain, if we want all frozen we need it to stay east of Hatteras, not good when GFS only model in your camp and when the Euro is tracking it 50-100 miles west of Hatteras. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Greg Fishel just said the latest computer models show the precipitation potentially changing to rain on Wednesday in the Triangle area. I wonder which model he's looking at.... I saw that also...It had to be there in-house model. I'm a little surprised there hasn't been a little honking on the potential of this storm. For the RDU area this is going to be a major impact whether it be sn/ip/zr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I saw that also...It had to be there in-house model. I'm a little surprised there hasn't been a little honking on the potential of this storm. For the RDU area this is going to be a major impact whether it be sn/ip/zr. Yeah, I agree. I just mentioned that in the main thread. They're usually uber-conservative over there, so that may be part of it. But they may be right. We tend to see all these extreme solutions and get wrapped up in the potential. But most of the time, the temp is just a little warmer, the qpf is just a little less, and the duration is just a little shorter than what we all had hoped, and we usually end up somewhat disappointed given our initial expectations/hopes. That's usually the way it goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 The Euro will probably come east tonight, IMO. That's the trend tonight. The GGEM looks like it's coming east so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 So is the Canadian east? Pack, Pack?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btownheel Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 The Euro will probably come east tonight, IMO. That's the trend tonight. The GGEM looks like it's coming east so far. Teeing us up for that deform band #pray Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Yeah, I agree. I just mentioned that in the main thread. They're usually uber-conservative over there, so that may be part of it. But they may be right. We tend to see all these extreme solutions and get wrapped up in the potential. But most of the time, the temp is just a little warmer, the qpf is just a little less, and the duration is just a little shorter than what we all had hoped, and we usually end up somewhat disappointed given our initial expectations/hopes. That's usually the way it goes. So true...They are the professionals after all. It's just a hobby for me and a crappy one over the past 3 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheVille Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Eastern trends worrisome for mountains and foothills or just extending the snow line southeast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Eastern trends worrisome for mountains and foothills or just extending the snow line southeast? both Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Any maps of the Canadian or GGEM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Yeah, I agree. I just mentioned that in the main thread. They're usually uber-conservative over there, so that may be part of it. But they may be right. We tend to see all these extreme solutions and get wrapped up in the potential. But most of the time, the temp is just a little warmer, the qpf is just a little less, and the duration is just a little shorter than what we all had hoped, and we usually end up somewhat disappointed given our initial expectations/hopes. That's usually the way it goes. WxBrad's latest in-house model get's rain as far west as I-95. Matches up with the NAM/GFS. Who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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