superjames1992 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Sounds like a Euro party might be needed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Euro bowing to the NAM! Good pbp in " the one" thread! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I will erupt. VEI 7 at least, maybe more, depending on how far east. Rumble rumble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Yeah, me, too. I'm still nervous as hell about mixing out this way, though. I wouldn't be. Doing a blend of the gfs/nam if the placements of the 850 and slp are halfway right. Then the mixing area is Durham east over towards Raleigh Soundings support all snow around Roxboro and Danville. So the Triad w/o a doubt all snow I'd say 85 n/w. Speaking of snow its doing that moderately now. Ground is still dry . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoDa-wx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Just made the drive on 40 from RDU to huntersville this morning and had flizzards from chapel hill through GSO, then it started to mix and changed to rain around Winston-Salem. Watching the surface temps on my phone was great, had 35 at statesville, while it was showing 47 in Charlotte just 40 miles south. Cold air seems to be on the advance! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Won't matter, Euro looks NW, I am out Wow said same track/stronger. Where are we at?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Yeah, it's very confusing! Better, no, worse, no, south, wait its east, fail , wait getting better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Rumble rumble. Wow, big time fizzle. Euro way inland in the coastal plain. But we saw that coming, didn't we. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 It's the same track but the sfc low is quite a bit stronger.. QPF output is up and the mid level temps are crashing fast as it bombs off the SE coast. The comma head is much stronger as well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 So similar to the nam qpf or gfs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsandhills Posted February 10, 2014 Author Share Posted February 10, 2014 It's the same track but the sfc low is quite a bit stronger.. QPF output is up and the mid level temps are crashing fast as it bombs off the SE coast. The comma head is much stronger as well... The mid level temps being too warm is what gives us IP or ZR right? so the mid level temps are crashing? for what areas? please say everywhere...to include the Sandhills. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Seriously, is it still gonna snow around here tomorrow with wave # 1? I'm on mobile Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 It's the same track but the sfc low is quite a bit stronger.. QPF output is up and the mid level temps are crashing fast as it bombs off the SE coast. The comma head is much stronger as well... You guys are going to get absolutely crushed if that holds. Nice pull! For our area, it looks like a raging rainstorm, just looking at the RH maps and the 850 line. It would seem hard to believe that we could be below freezing with the low that close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Yeah, it's very confusing! Better, no, worse, no, south, wait its east, fail , wait getting better You have to remember Mack - when pack or CR talk of fails, it's primarily on there and of the universe. The SE is a big area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
timnc910 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Game over for areas east of 95 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsandhills Posted February 10, 2014 Author Share Posted February 10, 2014 Game over for areas east of 95 What about for like...10 miles west of 95? Lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 You guys are going to get absolutely crushed if that holds. Nice pull! For our area, it looks like a raging rainstorm, just looking at the RH maps and the 850 line. It would seem hard to believe that we could be below freezing with the low that close. You would be surprised. The 93 storm, which gave us the shaft, ran up through the coastal plain. Greensboro did ok and they would have been about the same distance as we would depicted by the euro. BUT I think I read earlier the NWS thinks this will stay off the coast. More like the NAM/GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 The snow that has been falling for the past 3 hours sure is wetting my appetite for mid week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 You have to remember Mack - when pack or CR talk of fails, it's primarily on there and of the universe. The SE is a big area. Yes, exactly! All you guys are all but guaranteed to get a huge hit unless something catestrophic happens. We're right on the line here in the Triangle. The Euro looks like mostly rain for us, just eyeballing it. I don't have the good stuff though. And the people that do are mostly in the western areas getting shellacked! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Yeah, it's very confusing! Better, no, worse, no, south, wait its east, fail , wait getting betterDude you are getting crushed with this storm. No worries for you. Now if you live in Raleigh (Rain!!!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 You would be surprised. The 93 storm, which gave us the shaft, ran up through the coastal plain. Greensboro did ok and they would have been about the same distance as we would depicted by the euro. BUT I think I read earlier the NWS thinks this will stay off the coast. More like the NAM/GFS. Yeah, but that was a monster, though. Who knows. Like I said, I can't see the profiles. I hope the NWS is right. But if they are going to be, we need to see that solution from the Euro soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowinnc Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Game over for areas east of 95 It sounds like it's over for RDU east. Damn, I'm really getting tired of getting the shaft here. All rain for us and more snow for Charlotte, the a Triad , etc. Total bummer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 You guys are going to get absolutely crushed if that holds. Nice pull!For our area, it looks like a raging rainstorm, just looking at the RH maps and the 850 line. It would seem hard to believe that we could be below freezing with the low that close. Verbatim it's about 0.8" of precip as frozen, maybe half snow than rest sleet, but then driving rain washes it away. Did we expect anything other than this. I don't think it's done, it may track up I-95. Good news, no frzn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Seriously, is it still gonna snow around here tomorrow with wave # 1? I'm on mobile Yeah it should not unless the jinx is still going for your area. Should have flurries later tonight. Then stop then the main event wave 1 moves in about this time tomorrow(midday) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Looks like Wake Co. is in the 8-10 range on the Euro. I'll bet there's a lot of ice in there. Great hit for the western areas. You guys should be pumped! This is gonna be a good one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 It sounds like it's over for RDU east. Damn, I'm really getting tired of getting the shaft here. All rain for us and more snow for Charlotte, the a Triad , etc. Total bummer. We have to get used to it, I said this last week. It's going to be years for see a good snow, 4"+, we will continually have winter storms miss us NSEW. Literally every city around is will atleast 120% of climo the past 5 years and we will be 50%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Verbatim it's about 0.8" of precip as frozen, maybe half snow than rest sleet, but then driving rain washes it away. Did we expect anything other than this. I don't think it's done, it may track up I-95. Good news, no frzn. How did that stack up against last night's run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Looks like Wake Co. is in the 8-10 range on the Euro. I'll bet there's a lot of ice in there. Great hit for the western areas. You guys should be pumped! This is gonna be a good one. We get thumped but rain washes it all away, if it comes in overnight we will have no idea what happened as it will just be wet outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sctvman Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 What happened to everyone's location? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Game isn't over until tonight when the northern energy is sampled. 0z tonight is probably the last best chance for a big jump though and I certainly wouldn't count on it happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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