burgertime Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Remember how the last storm was going to go NW? Yep, it never did. Despite models waffling. Either way I'm not worried about rain at all. Sleet? Yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 0z Euro brings the freezing line just west of RDU, west side of Wake County, a lot would flip to rain verbatim. This goes anymore west, which I expect, it could be more rain. The one thing we can hope on is that high is pretty strong and the euro might not depict the CAD very well. Also that same high may also cause this storm to setup a little more east. I am very interested in today's 12z runs. As I've stated before I really like how RAH has handled the last few events. Somebody else posted the below image form RAH and I think that's as good of a run down for our area as we can get right now. http://i.imgur.com/0zwNSOK.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 A real question ? The precip shield looks to barely get to the NC mountains, so I am curious as to how people are coming up with foot totals there? I think in my neck of the woods, we will be on the N edge of heavy precip, so I think somewhere between greenwood and Caesars head will be the bullseye if too much sleet does not mix in Euro does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_TarHeel Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 A real question ? The precip shield looks to barely get to the NC mountains, so I am curious as to how people are coming up with foot totals there? I think in my neck of the woods, we will be on the N edge of heavy precip, so I think somewhere between greenwood and Caesars head will be the bullseye if too much sleet does not mix in I believe they're factoring in the storm that is cutting across TN as we speak, that the upstate will see minimal of. Then we'll see additional with the Gulf storm that will be the upstate's snow maker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I'm sort of an a daze at the moment with all of this to be honest. I have to go pick up some meds and a few other things later and I'm not looking forward to it. I bet it's going to be crowded as **** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 A real question ? The precip shield looks to barely get to the NC mountains, so I am curious as to how people are coming up with foot totals there? I think in my neck of the woods, we will be on the N edge of heavy precip, so I think somewhere between greenwood and Caesars head will be the bullseye if too much sleet does not mix inmost models and ensembles do. This is a perfect mtn track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Lol at you!Haha I'm going to be rain the whole time so I don't care. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Does anyone realize how warm it is after the storm? Are the models not taking into account the snow pack or sleet pack that will be present? I remember with the storm two weeks ago, some places saw their coldest temps of the season and they weren't forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 A real question ? The precip shield looks to barely get to the NC mountains, so I am curious as to how people are coming up with foot totals there? I think in my neck of the woods, we will be on the N edge of heavy precip, so I think somewhere between greenwood and Caesars head will be the bullseye if too much sleet does not mix in Let me know what models you are looking at because they aren't the ones I'm seeing..or anyone else for that matter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UpStateCAD Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 so it looks like both the ecmfm and NAM have this mainly a Wednesday event now for NE Ga and the Western Carolinas (have not checked the other models) and for the upstate at least this looks to be mostly a sleet event. Surface and 950 temps look to be below freezing for the duration. 850's seem to go back and forth with mostly just above freezing (this is just from looking at the color coded maps and no real text output but should be fairly accurate I am assuming). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Another thing for the RDU folks; going off the grids it looks like RAH is setting up the "surface freezing line" for Wednesday night along and west of US 401. Areas west of that (including downtown Raleigh) have a forecast of snow, sleet, and freezing rain; whereas areas to the east have snow, sleet, and freezing rain until 9pm, then just rain before possible ending as snow on Thursday. Looks to match close to the GFS/NAM snow/ice maps from this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Well I just got caught up on last nights euro and this mornings 6z runs and have to admit, it wasn't great for the RDU area. As others have mentioned, we need this to be a little further east. A cold rain is actually something that could happen. As I've been tracking this over the past week, I was hoping for sn or ip. I didn't want any zr! So if It is going to be that close between rn and zr, just give me the rn...LOL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Oooh lord..will you all make your guesses one way or the other. What do u mean when GSO does not look good? In means of getting hammered by snow or getting no snow? The models have been trending NW and right now GSO is already in the mostly sleet zone. That isn't where I want to be 2+ days out considering I would like to see a lot of snow. Can they trend back east? Of course, but the trend is solidly against central NC right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Well I just got caught up on last nights euro and this mornings 6z runs and have to admit, it wasn't great for the RDU area. As others have mentioned, we need this to be a little further east. A cold rain is actually something that could happen. As I've been tracking this over the past week, I was hoping for sn or ip. I didn't want any zr! So if It is going to be that close between rn and zr, just give me the rn...LOL! Final call map still looking good for our area, unfortunately. :( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Final call map still looking good for our area, unfortunately. :( LOL...Yeah, but it was null and void once you went all in... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Does anyone realize how warm it is after the storm? Are the models not taking into account the snow pack or sleet pack that will be present? I remember with the storm two weeks ago, some places saw their coldest temps of the season and they weren't forecast.Yeah, our local channels have 60 on Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 LOL...Yeah, but it was null and void once you went all in... Haha! True. Why'd I do that?? :bangsheadondesk: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I think I'm gonna be a bot next winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Will everyone miss me when I'm cut off from the outside world? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Will everyone miss me when I'm cut off from the outside world? My hand is up!... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Let me know what models you are looking at because they aren't the ones I'm seeing..or anyone else for that matter.The fox 21 met must be looking at a worse model than me! She just showed a map that has 2-4 for most of the upstate, a 1-3 swath from NC/SC border to Asheville and a stripe of 3-5 inches over the high mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Will everyone miss me when I'm cut off from the outside world? It could be really ugly for you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Will everyone miss me when I'm cut off from the outside world? . Yup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 so it looks like both the ecmfm and NAM have this mainly a Wednesday event now for NE Ga and the Western Carolinas (have not checked the other models) and for the upstate at least this looks to be mostly a sleet event. Surface and 950 temps look to be below freezing for the duration. 850's seem to go back and forth with mostly just above freezing (this is just from looking at the color coded maps and no real text output but should be fairly accurate I am assuming). What? I don't think so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowinnc Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I'm not going to lie. While I'm really happy for everyone who is going to get snow it is really painful to see Charlotte have forecasts of 9" or more and RDU will be lucky to get an inch. Yes, I will admit it, I am very jealous. I love where we live but the RDU screw job is getting old. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I think I'm gonna be a bot next winter. LOL, I know one thing, warmth always wins in our area, models are usually to cold. Bring on the rain! CAE is 150 miles SE of us will be getting a ice storm while we are rain, that's funny.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 LOL, I know one thing, warmth always wins in our area, models are usually to cold. Bring on the rain! CAE is 150 miles SE of us will be getting a ice storm while we are rain, that's funny.... If we escape another winter with RDU not getting a 2 inch snowfall, THAT will be funny...almost unbelievable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 My hand is up!... It could be really ugly for you! I know If I have to have an ice storm, I really would like it to be something I've never experienced before. I've never personally witnessed ice accum's over 1". If it didn't looks so bad here, I'd be up with my daughter/sil/granddaughter in Spartanburg playing in almost a foot of snow . Yup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CherokeeGA Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Yay for storm mode! And a huge thank you in advance to the mods who are and will be working to keep the storm threads free of "mby" questions both obvious and cloaked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 We're not getting rain. We're going to get some snow and ice. I bet the snow line could be farther east, too, around 64 or between 64 and 95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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