packbacker Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 the nam did not start phasing until hour 54. Actually starts at 45 on the NAM, by 48 it's already trying to go negative, see that kink in the 500mb VORT in Tx... Compare to the RGEM at 48, still very much positive trough, NAM maybe right, it would be great to see 2ft of snow in the western-NC's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I'm hoping for a cold rain. If every run keeps trending slower with the system getting in here, you may get your wish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowinnc Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Yea, if I had my choice between freezing rain and a cold rain I would choose cold rain all day, everyday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 GFS better deliver here. We need a big run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 GFS better deliver here. We need a big run. Funny, I always seem to say that exact phrase when State plays crappy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Sql server warning is in effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Funny, I always seem to say that exact phrase when State plays crappy Haha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I don't know why I'm so interested in what the GFS is going to do on this run. It has been a worthless piece of crap on this storm just throwing out random solutions every 6 hours. I hope one day we can stop depending on the EU to forecast our weather for us. I will say this is about the time in an event when the GFS stops being worthless and locks into a reasonable solution...we shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Same trend GFS as NAM -- southern stream slower, northern stream faster and weaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 The record for the most online ever was just broken 40 minutes ago on this website. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Sql server warning is in effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Oh and if everything starts trending towards the NAM I'm going to get a place at Beech for the week. The skiing will be epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 The record for the most online ever was just broken 40 minutes ago on this website. wooo hoooo!! most.JPG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Delta is colder again. Man his area is so lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 most.JPG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 GFS sounds better than the NAM....so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Really trending away for snow at RDU isn't it? Even with the gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I think that was from Sandy, unsure... lol --> oops http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/42524-server-performancefeedback-needed/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 The GFS saved this board from collective suicide. Great run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 How we lookin' on this one, Pack? Or James. Or anybody? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 How we lookin' on this one, Pack? Or James. Or anybody? Everything in NC is legit...well at least for MBY lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Thanks Burger. Great hit for you guys. Almost my 48 hour snowstorm thing from earlier. Decent for our area too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 How we lookin' on this one, Pack? Or James. Or anybody? Looked great, but I think the GFS is probably to far east, I wouldn't be shocked to see the Euro tick east some and the GFS to tick west from here. CMC will be interesting, if you looked at it's 12z Ens members SLP tracks the OP was the clear west outlier, where the GFS at 12/18z it's Op run was the clear east outlier, so you would think the GFS would come west, which it did and curious to see if CMC ticks east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Really trending away for snow at RDU isn't it? Even with the gfs00z GFS is better than the 18z GFS. Still, I don't trust it because the NW trend always wins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Aren't we in the gfs wheelhouse more so than the euro. Thought I read that somewhere. GFS is best inside 3 days or better than euro inside 3 days anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 00z GFS is better than the 18z GFS.Still, I don't trust it because the NW trend always wins. That's what I'm worrying about. Maybe the euro can come east a bit this run but not likely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Aren't we in the gfs wheelhouse more so than the euro. Thought I read that somewhere. GFS is best inside 3 days or better than euro inside 3 days anyway Nope, not a chance, the 0z GFS is still a hair east of the 18z GEFS mean, so I think it will shift west some more. The 18z GEFS mean and the 12z Euro EPS mean are maybe 25 miles apart off the coast of NC. Only chance we have for more snow is if the h5 vort closes off and tracks to our SE, no model shows that but that would collapse the 850 line. Right now we are in line for a big ice storm, the 0z NAM was the worst case for a track west and that was a raging ice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Aren't we in the gfs wheelhouse more so than the euro. Thought I read that somewhere. GFS is best inside 3 days or better than euro inside 3 days anyway The GFS just got the idea that there was going to be a storm 24h ago. I'm not giving it much credit until it has a lot of support. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Well as much as I hate to do it, I have to go to bed. Gotta wake up at 5:30 so I can go jogging at 6. Yuck. Good lock boys and girls. Hope the Euro trends wetter and colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Well, I shall retire for the night. I'm trying to restrain my enthusiasm for this event, but I really like my position 60 hours out from the main event. We'll see if I still feel the same way when I awake in the morning and review the overnight trends. Snow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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