metalicwx366 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Yeah those really low numbers are shocking and what caught my attention the quickest. I said earlier i would be angry if the forecast was for up to a foot and only got 4. but if the forecast was for 8 to 12 and I got 0, every body better watch out and get the hell away from me for a few days...or weeks lol To say I would be angry is an understatement as big as that bust.I feel bad for anyone that is a weather geek living there getting screwed that horribly. What is especially bad is that area appeared to have the best chance of staying all snow in south carolina since that area was supposed to be the coldest place in the upstate aloft. Just go back and look at the nam/gfs 850mb temps over the extreme northwest part of the upstate over on twister. It really blows my mind totals were that low. So I don't blame gsp or any forecaster for it because quite frankly the models never showed such low totals, have plenty of cold air with any changeover/mixing not happening until later vs everyone else. Lol yeah. I don't even see how that happens. Then other parts of the county got 5 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btownheel Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 That's the golden rule for winter weather across the SE, particularly it seems in central NC and SC....you want it to start early and hard...because eventually climo will take over and turn you to IP or ZR 99% of the time with a good QPF system. The big ones always have a powerful warm nose that overperforms the models.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Lol this is the discussion from Jacksonville this morning. I believe we were the only to get the wintry precip. SLIGHT CHANCE OF FLURRIES, SLEET OR SPRINKLES NORTH OF WAYCROSS DURING THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS... .UPDATE... FINAL TWIST IN THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE (VORTICITY MAX) SWINGING THROUGH THE BASE OF THE MID LEVEL TROF ACROSS CENTRAL GEORGIA WHICH IS CURRENTLY PRODUCING SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS CENTRAL GEORGIA. THIS IS ROTATING E/SE AND WILL POSSIBLY CLIP PORTIONS OF INLAND SE GA NORTH OF WAYCROSS DURING THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS. A BRIEF BUT POSSIBLY INTENSE PERIOD OF SNOW FLURRIES, SLEET PELLETS AND SPRINKLES MAY OCCUR IN THIS AREA AND HAVE UPDATED THE GRIDS TO REFLECT THIS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Lol this is the discussion from Jacksonville this morning. I believe we were the only to get the wintry precip. SLIGHT CHANCE OF FLURRIES, SLEET OR SPRINKLES NORTH OF WAYCROSS DURING THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS... .UPDATE... FINAL TWIST IN THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE (VORTICITY MAX) SWINGING THROUGH THE BASE OF THE MID LEVEL TROF ACROSS CENTRAL GEORGIA WHICH IS CURRENTLY PRODUCING SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS CENTRAL GEORGIA. THIS IS ROTATING E/SE AND WILL POSSIBLY CLIP PORTIONS OF INLAND SE GA NORTH OF WAYCROSS DURING THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS. A BRIEF BUT POSSIBLY INTENSE PERIOD OF SNOW FLURRIES, SLEET PELLETS AND SPRINKLES MAY OCCUR IN THIS AREA AND HAVE UPDATED THE GRIDS TO REFLECT THIS. How do you have an intense period of snow flurries? BTW, if I got 1" of snow after being forecasted to get 8-12", I'd be melting down and losing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 GSP preliminary totals http://d3j5vwomefv46c.cloudfront.net/photos/large/838828955.png?1392323394 11 inches right over MBY Seems about right, I was right around 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Lol yeah. I don't even see how that happens. Then other parts of the county got 5 inches.See my above post! It's the same way you can get under a tstorm in the summer and get two inches of rain and 5 miles away the suns out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 There were quite a few people saying we couldn't get a big snow in this pattern, just small 1-2 inch events!? What happened? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 How do you have an intense period of snow flurries? BTW, if I got 1" of snow after being forecasted to get 8-12", I'd be melting down and losing it. Lol you forgot about an intense period of sprinkles! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 See my above post! It's the same way you can get under a tstorm in the summer and get two inches of rain and 5 miles away the suns outNow I'm ready for summer time thunderstorms since you mentioned it. How much snow did you get anyway? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I wasn't the 0, but I'm maybe 10 miles from there! It hurts with what the models were showing! The bonus snow of 4 inches on Tuesday , was probably the only reason I didn't snap! It snowed ALL day Tuesday from 5 am til 4 pm non stop of varying intensities and huge flakes most of the time! Only bad part, temp was 36 The two NW most counties are Oconee and Pickens. Then Greenville to the East. That zero is right over Berea. The worst thing Is that the line spreading across these counties with three or less are in the heart of the area north of 85,the very part that was to get anywhere from 6-18 inches depending on who you were listening to. I am in that zone. You can see why we are so crushed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 How do you have an intense period of snow flurries? BTW, if I got 1" of snow after being forecasted to get 8-12", I'd be melting down and losing it. December 2000. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Now I'm ready for summer time thunderstorms since you mentioned it. How much snow did you get anyway? I had a three day total of about 8 inches. Compacted down with sleet yesterday to about 3-4 inches. The 4 inch surprise storm Tuesday , helps ease the pain !? Got about 3 yesterday and today from" the one" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 That's the golden rule for winter weather across the SE, particularly it seems in central NC and SC....you want it to start early and hard...because eventually climo will take over and turn you to IP or ZR 99% of the time with a good QPF system. The big ones always have a powerful warm nose that overperforms the models.... That's what she said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsandhills Posted February 13, 2014 Author Share Posted February 13, 2014 Well that was fun while it lasted for sure. 3 days in a row with heavy snow. 5" tuesday, 4" yesterday, 0.5-0.75" today....nice 3 day total of ~9.5". i am sated. i'm confused though, NWS is saying Fay only got 4.5? Definitely not accurate. I have like 20 photos in various locations in Fay, smallest amount I could find was 3" on the road...all other measurements were 6"+, even have a 14" measurement. I wish all of Tuesday's snow stayed on the ground. Half of it melted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 December 2000. Hate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Yeah those really low numbers are shocking and what caught my attention the quickest. I said earlier i would be angry if the forecast was for up to a foot and only got 4. but if the forecast was for 8 to 12 and I got 0, every body better watch out and get the hell away from me for a few days...or weeks lol To say I would be angry is an understatement as big as that bust.I feel bad for anyone that is a weather geek living there getting screwed that horribly. Mine wasn't that bad, but bad enough. Forecast was for 8-12". I never reached 3" on the ground. I got a quick 2.8" yesterday afternoon. At that point it turned to sleet and sleeted steadily but never really hard for most of the night. The sleet compacted the snow about the same amount as it accumulated so the amount on the ground never increased. today did get some snow from the ULL but there had already been some melting earlier in the morning. End result, a pretty anemic "historic" storm. All that said, I still had a blast driving around yesterday at the height of the first round and the sledding this morning was pretty darn good as well. I had a bunch of neighborhood kids sliding down my extra lot. Had to join them. Didn't break anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 That's what she said.That's why I'm single. My warm nose is not very exciting, especially when it results in sleet instead of the white stuff in bed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 So what's this about more snow tomorrow night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 So what's this about more snow tomorrow night?It's a dream Brick, go back to sleep! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I ended up with 18-19" here about 20mi west of Martinsville (about 45min from Big Frosty). Last EURO run before the event ended had me at 20.1" of snow. It snowed heavily from 1:00pm-10:00pm yesterday before changing to sleet after 9" of accumulation. Sleeted all night, mixing with snow after 3:00am or so. Then all snow arrived again from the ULL and absolutely destroyed us from 9:00am-4:00pm with the heaviest rates/biggest flakes/highest winds of the event. Ended with 18-20" depending on where you measure, and we have some 4-foot drifts. Overall, I thought the sleet would be a killer for this storm, but with the intense ULL snows today, it more than made up for it. Robert nailed it here with his 10-15" with locally higher totals. DT also verified with his gutsy 16-20" call. EURO verified with its 13-20" run-to-run totals. This was definitely the best, most intense winter storm I vividly remember for my area (I'm 25, so I was only 4 in March '93) Can't say that I'm ready for spring just yet, but I'm very happy with this winter. Only two events, but topped the 20" mark either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Did anyone happen to save a copy of the GSP snowfall totals map from the night before (Tuesday night)? Please say yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheapdad00 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 December 2000. I don't think we even saw a flake from that one. The storm the jaded Greg Fishel and the rest of us snow lovers in the Triangle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 I don't think we even saw a flake from that one. The storm the jaded Greg Fishel and the rest of us snow lovers in the Triangle.That's bad. I was in NNE Raleigh at the time and we got maybe a quarter inch from the edge. It was so painful watching that edge slowly back over us and struggle, only to fall apart. All the while, the mets kept saying bands would start filling in any time now. In retrospect, they had to be pretty stupid to forecast that. I guess they were trigger happy after the January 2000 debacle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 So what's this about more snow tomorrow night?Winter storm Quintus. DC and others areas may get bombarded again, depending on your model of choice. Temperatures are marginal for areas like Raleigh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Did anyone happen to save a copy of the GSP snowfall totals map from the night before (Tuesday night)? Please say yes. Lol! Had all of the maps up since Monday, and I just closed them out an hour back... I bet some one does.. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Lol! Had all of the maps up since Monday, and I just closed them out an hour back... I bet some one does.. Sent from my iPhone It's cool. I found one from 10:00-ish Tuesday night. You almost could not get a more opposite result. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 I went for a jebwalk... big mistake. Got wet and dirty because somebody thought it would be a good idea bring a rear wheel drive Benz down an unplowed gravel road. It was still snowing and got popped in the thigh with a couple pieces of rock. Last time I help somebody with a rear wheel drive. Don't mind helping... but damn I over exerted myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 That's bad. I was in NNE Raleigh at the time and we got maybe a quarter inch from the edge. It was so painful watching that edge slowly back over us and struggle, only to fall apart. All the while, the mets kept saying bands would start filling in any time now. In retrospect, they had to be pretty stupid to forecast that. I guess they were trigger happy after the January 2000 debacle. I think the models were pretty adamant on a phase in time to explode the precip over central/eastern NC. Of course, it happened too late. I was in Cary and saw the lightest of flurries. I remember WRAL saying just what you said...that the upper level support would generates precip over the area anytime. It would start to fill in and fall apart. Worst storm ever right after the best storm ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 We now return to our regular scheduled banter channel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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