shaggy Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 This is your storm out west but we are under a band of snow here in pitt county that has dropped just over an inch in 45 minutes.....its dumping snow and they are all half dollar sized flakes.....I won't get but a 2-3 inch event before all rain but man this band has been awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Okay, when is this thing supposed to start getting canked up in NC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 GGEM mixes everyone east of I-77, has the rain/frzn line right through RDU it looks like, but has nice front end snow/sleet/frzn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MichaelJ Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 5:29 PM, Dunkman said: Nice, and yeah I think everyone agrees 10-14 is ridiculous. At this point I'd be thrilled with 6-8. No I don't think it is ridiculous at all and fully expect some areas in the western Triad to have 12"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 FOX 8 is going ALL-IN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MichaelJ Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I think the GGEM is about 50 miles too far west and expect the storm to go over the obx or the Pamlico sound more like the GEFS, UKMET and Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 5:32 PM, Brick Tamland said: Okay, when is this thing supposed to start getting canked up in NC? UK/CMC has it starting around lunchtime tomorrow. GFS/NAM has it starting few hours later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 5:34 PM, superjames1992 said: FOX 8 is going ALL-IN. I really want that 4 to 8 line further east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 5:36 PM, packbacker said: UK/CMC has it starting around lunchtime tomorrow. GFS/NAM has it starting few hours later. I thought it was supposed to start tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 5:35 PM, MichaelJ said: I think the GGEM is about 50 miles too far west and expect the storm to go over the obx or the Pamlico sound more like the GEFS, UKMET and Euro It's pretty close, I don't how accurate with temp profiles. Has nice wraparound snow on Thursday afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillerA Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 5:36 PM, packbacker said: UK/CMC has it starting around lunchtime tomorrow. GFS/NAM has it starting few hours later. Was going to Ask the samething thinking if schools would try and get in a half day.Channel 3 in Charlotte said tomorrow afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 5:37 PM, Brick Tamland said: I thought it was supposed to start tonight. Not here, down in GA/SC will start tonight. Board might become a lot more quiet tonight as a lot of them will be losing power. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 5:38 PM, MillerA said: Was going to Ask the samething thinking if schools would try and get in a half day. Channel 3 in Charlotte said tomorrow afternoon. I'd expect universities to go for a half-way and close at noon. Schools will probably just close for the full-day, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 5:39 PM, packbacker said: Not here, down in GA/SC will start tonight. Board might become a lot more quiet tonight as a lot of them will be losing power. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 5:19 PM, packbacker said: GGEM, looks good, ticked east, definitely east of RGEM at 48. I imagine this would be another HKY to GSO special The GGEM, GEFS, and UKIE look like perfect tracks. Maybe the triad can stay all snow and the triangle can get a nice pasting of snow and sleet while keeping the liquid at bay. My gut tells me that the warm layer will be there in force. You cant fight it off now matter how much you wish to! What are your thoughts as of now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 5:37 PM, Brick Tamland said: I thought it was supposed to start tonight.im hoping for cold rain in wake forest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 5:43 PM, Isopycnic said: im hoping for cold rain in wake forest Not surprised. That's typical for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Locke Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 5:39 PM, packbacker said: Not here, down in GA/SC will start tonight. Board might become a lot more quiet tonight as a lot of them will be losing power. Then the board will just be full of us who are protected under the 440 Force Field. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
halljc01 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 NWS just upped WSW amounts to 6-10 inches for Triad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Ground is covered at my house. Still a flake or two in downtown Raleigh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherExperiment Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Anyone know of a heavy band of snow right now over Union County NC? This is what the zonal forecast is for this afternoon: "Snow. Patchy fog. Total snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches. Near steady temperatures in the lower 30s. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of snow near 100 percent." Seems a bit much for this first storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 5:43 PM, packfan98 said: The GGEM, GEFS, and UKIE look like perfect tracks. Maybe the triad can stay all snow and the triangle can get a nice pasting of snow and sleet while keeping the liquid at bay. My gut tells me that the warm layer will be there in force. You cant fight it off now matter how much you wish to! What are your thoughts as of now? Right now, a track over Hatteras is perfect for the triad. For example, Dec 2010 tracked the SLP about 50-100 miles west of HAT (see below), and the heaviest snows were on the I-95 corridor. This storms looks to have similar strength, maybe a little slower than Dec 2010, so I would expect the heaviest snows about 50-100 miles west of 95 which is right in the GSO to HKY corridor. This storm won't be as cold as Dec 2010 as the high is sliding off the coast because this track is pretty good for RDU too but we don't have the cold except at the surface. You don't want the Euro track, the mtns do, the Euro may mix you guys, assuming your in the triad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 5:28 PM, mackerel_sky said: Strongly agree! You can tell he's really into weather and doesn't just read NWS forecast! I'm not on Facebook , so if you get a chance can you post his thoughts on this storm if its different from yesterday? Tia About 30 minutes ago (Andy Wood): "We're really past the point of forecast models helping much, and more so on to satellite and radar observations for tomorrow However, new 12z GFS dials up middle TN, upstate SC and all of NC for good snow. This thing is locked in and I don't expect major changes from here on through Thursday morning. In SC and southern NC, there will still be an undetermined amount of sleet cutting into snow totals" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Euro starting, let's hope it stays just inside HAT or just over it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 CMC precip output for RDU, looks to be, looks like right after midnight we flip to rain, looks like the 32F is right down the middle of Wake County. 0.5" of snow (3-5") 0.5" of rain 0.2" of sleet 0.3" of frzn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 5:51 PM, packbacker said: Euro starting, let's hope it stays just inside HAT or just over it. Give us the banter pbp and make it sound encouraging for at least the first little bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCsandhills Posted February 11, 2014 Author Share Posted February 11, 2014 Crazy to think ive already got two inches and the main even isnt even here yet. It could stop now and id be sated. Well not really lol prauing for no class thurs morning 420Th post tehe time to celebrate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 2 inches of snow in an hour and a half in western pitt county. Been a strong band for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Through 6 hours looks the same as 0z LOL I really don't think it's going to shift much now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 On 2/11/2014 at 5:57 PM, NCsandhills said: Crazy to think ive already got two inches and the main even isnt even here yet. It could stop now and id be sated. Well not really lol prauing for no class thurs morning 420Th post tehe time to celebrate RDU hasn't had 2" of snow since 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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