beanskip Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Almost closes off an 850 low in Texas at 39 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 By the way, SREF plumes are out. 6" mean for Greensboro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Looks like its more suppressed so far this run. and its colder in GA at 2m through hr45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Lol that vort by Dallas at 45 is about to go baller status that thing looks mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pilotwx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 When watching WxJordans video he hinted at the point the Low may close off. Maybe this is the first signs of that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DixieBlizzard Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Greg....Greg....when in all your years have they ever showed monster snows and sleets that verified? I only remember the Blizzard Sure they can predict minor events, but huge, big, honking 200 year storms take some percolation, fermentation, and mathification I'm just very happy to not be in the bullseye...like last time, when I had only an inch until the last hour, lol. Right now the Atl tv stations all say the ice and snow will circle me, but I'll only get vast amounts of liquid rain...and I'm happy with that I do much better when I don't have much of a chance a day out Tony LOL Tony. So, resorting listening to Burns, eh? That's ok. Lookout will forgive you! On a serious note, based on what I have seen modeled today, I am confident that you will see a mixture of everything down your way and hopefully most of it being sleet. BTW, two of the SREF 21z models ingested crack for RMG and is spitting out 10.99 inches of snow. I will drag my bare ass across the snow to Rome if that happens! The SREF did pretty good for this area 2 weeks ago despite the SREF bashing tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Can't it cut if it closes off too early? TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Big phasing at 51, earlier and further west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Northern stream is weaker and faster and moving out of the way -- southern stream left behind -- has to go west (which it won't just because I said it would) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 @51 nice batch of precip in AL. Energy out west close to phasing. That is a lot of energy flying around out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 DEF colder at 2m by about 5 degrees here near mcn and most of GA from 18z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Yea at 48 that southern stream energy is significantly further west with the backside northern energy en route this thing looks to go big BOOM as burger likes to put it here in the later frames. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cigrgd Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Fox 21 future cast and the new Met Ted somebody says he doesn't buy the high amounts in the upstate? I want Andy back! Screenshot_2014-02-09-21-06-30.png That is an odd map. It is very unlikely that the higher snow totals will be in the lower part of the Upstate. I suspect that map treats all frozen precip as snow like the Euro snow maps do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Looks like its more suppressed so far this run. and its colder in GA at 2m through hr45 Once that moisture hits ATL it should be very close to snow. 850's are colder on this run and once NAM sees the cooling it could be extremely close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 HP much stronger nosing down further south, hopefully it can keep it south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 @57 phasing starting to take place. This thing is about to explode it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Gosh at 57 that 5h setup is just absolutely sick! Haven't even looked at 850 panels but man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 10, 2014 Author Share Posted February 10, 2014 I only have to look at the 5h set up to know what's going to happen here. That's the makings of a huge bomb. Sfc low placement still going to trip up mesoscale models like the NAM because of all the pockets of energy ejecting ahead of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 850s a good bit warmer on 0z vs. 18z over N. Miss/N. Ala/Tenn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 @60 big fetch of moisture coming out of the gulf and it looks like it's training right on the Carolinas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I only have to look at the 5h set up to know what's going to happen here. That's the makings of a huge bomb.For the mountains and VA north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Probably going to be like 0z Euro type track looks negative at 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 HP much stronger nosing down further south, hopefully it can keep it south We better hope so because the way it's looking on the nam, 850's will be to warm by the time qpf gets here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chattownsnow Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 WOW looks like it's gonna be way west. Massive BOMB in coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 ATL is getting wrecked with ZR on this run. That would be catastrophic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 This run is a bit warmer just about everywhere at 57 hours -- given what's about to happen, it might be moot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 could be to far inland with that SFC low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disco-lemonade Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Nam looks like a zr natural disaster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Raging sleet storm CLT west. 850's really warmed. Major ZR CLT east and south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 ATL is getting wrecked with ZR on this run. That would be catastrophic. devastating. Hopefully it's more sleet. 925mb temps are extremely cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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