Lookout Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Your reasoning is someone else's blog post that uses the same phrase verbatim? Awesome Pretty low. Folks, do not quote someone else's comments without giving credit. Consider this a warning max. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Chris, did you see that meteogram image I posted a bit ago of the 18z GFS showing 1.2" ZR accumulations...hahah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 12z euro and eps match up well again, footer! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 The 18z gfs gives CAE 1.71" in ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 The 18z gfs gives CAE 1.71" in ice I think Euro is more Michelle. Can't be sure without "ice accum" maps.. but the EPS is pretty nuts on precip as a whole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 The 18z gfs gives CAE 1.71" in ice Wow will be feeling for yall that way. Ice is no fun. Very pretty on everything but very dangerous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seasonsoflove Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 http://i.imgur.com/8RERzJK.png Here's the latest NAM/GFS avg on the meteogram for us on the ZR. And we may clock in at 1.7 inches... but KCAE comes in at an even worse 1.9, with even higher predicted wind speeds on the tail end of the heaviest accumulation. Looks like a perfect storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 12z euro and eps match up well again, footer! Nice! I am really hedging on just going in on a foot for most of the mountains. The Euro looked great today for a large portion of the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Little late to 18Z nam party, but I love this look at HR 51. That would be enhancement on the east facing hills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Little late to 18Z nam party, but I love this look at HR 51. That would be enhancement on the east facing hills Exactly what I was saying earlier! Good to see the high res models picking up on it! It can really pepper it down with this setup.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 18Z NAM Output for right on the perimeter. 1.3" snow .06" Sleet .62" Freezing Rain .89" Total QFP 18Z GFS 1.9" Snow .11" Sleet .42" Freezing Rain 1.26 Total QFP What a mess and this is from the west side 285 @ I-20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
max100 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Glenn Burns @GlennBurnsWSB 55m We are dealing with complexities that are off the charts. Forecast details likely to change every three hours. Please stay with us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sctvman Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Meteostar says temps will drop in the Lowcountry tomorrow into the 30s by late afternoon. Heaviest precip here looks like Wed. morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Just saw the 21Z WSI RPM, and oh my. 4-6" of mostly sleet and snow thru Thursday (still snowing in the early AM!) for all of Atlanta, some ZR on the south side late AM tomorrow. I love that trend, because I love snow, and it lessens the chance of power disruptions IMBY. East of here towards AHN- my goodness. 12+" snow and sleet. Historic indeed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 11, 2014 Author Share Posted February 11, 2014 Honestly, for Shelby, I'd bet more on double those amounts than less. I have to agree. If you experienced our discussions during the March '09 storm, you'll understand just how devastating a massive snowfall rate of heavy, wet snow can be. Robert can tell you first hand. I hope everyone is prepared! I'm starting to have a few second thoughts about not having a generator right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Just saw the 21Z WSI RPM, and oh my. 4-6" of mostly sleet and snow thru Thursday (still snowing in the early AM!) for all of Atlanta, some ZR on the south side late AM tomorrow. I love that trend, because I love snow, and it lessens the chance of power disruptions IMBY. East of here towards AHN- my goodness. 12+" snow and sleet. Historic indeed! New run really drives the ZR down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toxictwister00 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Just saw the 21Z WSI RPM, and oh my. 4-6" of mostly sleet and snow thru Thursday (still snowing in the early AM!) for all of Atlanta, some ZR on the south side late AM tomorrow. I love that trend, because I love snow, and it lessens the chance of power disruptions IMBY. East of here towards AHN- my goodness. 12+" snow and sleet. Historic indeed! I hope the RPM has the right idea, the sleet mixed with snow would be a lot more tolerable (less of a nightmare for ATL) than freezing rain mixed with snow and sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 BTW, I am trying to use Bufkit, I do love using ISU meteogram generator, but I love bufkit as well. I go to save the gfs file (from the PSU bukit data page) and it gives me a can't find gfs3 file go into setup to add, but its already there...any help plzs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Cman! I like your map, and ordinarily I'd go with it, because of all the liquid totals being toss around...you never get that much moisture to freeze... I'm just not that lucky.... but if this is a good cad, I mean a good cad, it could blow by you and be off waving before you can get turned around good, lol. And anyway those folks down there will string you up in effigy if you don't throw them a bone Best put in a chance of zr/ip for safety's sake, lol. I'm going with .3 in rain, .5 in zr, .5/7 in ip/ and if the comma finds me at the end, .5/.7 in snow, lol. And if mine doesn't work out, I'll go with yours, lol. T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I dont mean this as an IMBY post at all of course... A lot of people from SC/KCAE around these parts and since it looks like KCAE has been ground zero for major icing over 1inch+, is the RPM trying to show more sleet for that area now? Or still a horrible ice? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I dont mean this as an IMBY post at all of course... A lot of people from SC/KCAE around these parts and since it looks like KCAE has been ground zero for major icing over 1inch+, is the RPM trying to show more sleet for that area now? Or still a horrible ice? It actually does keep the very worst barely south of you, but it still shows over .5 ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I dont mean this as an IMBY post at all of course... A lot of people from SC/KCAE around these parts and since it looks like KCAE has been ground zero for major icing over 1inch+, is the RPM trying to show more sleet for that area now? Or still a horrible ice? It's showing sleet based on the maps. Thickness is close to ZR though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
audioguy3107 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Just saw the 21Z WSI RPM, and oh my. 4-6" of mostly sleet and snow thru Thursday (still snowing in the early AM!) for all of Atlanta, some ZR on the south side late AM tomorrow. I love that trend, because I love snow, and it lessens the chance of power disruptions IMBY. East of here towards AHN- my goodness. 12+" snow and sleet. Historic indeed! That's pretty awesome, hope it verifies. I'm not one on here to question any of the outlets usually and I usually don't pay much attention to any of the local mets, but I just happened to glance at channel 11 and their map has the northern burbs in the 1-3 inch range along with .25 of ice accumulation through the end of the storm (unless that graphic was wrong of course). That was it. That seems incredibly low and almost irresponsible considering the model data and what others in our area are reporting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 It actually does keep the very worst barely south of you, but it still shows over .5 ice. how does it look up here? I dont know of any stations that promote the RPM in CLT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 how does it look up here? I dont know of any stations that promote the RPM in CLT. I believe News14 uses the RPM which is that image I used from Jeff Crum. Had 10.1 for CLT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 BTW, I am trying to use Bufkit, I do love using ISU meteogram generator, but I love bufkit as well. I go to save the gfs file (from the PSU bukit data page) and it gives me a can't find gfs3 file go into setup to add, but its already there...any help plzs Copy the link from the url bar at the top of your browser when you click on the data you want. Within the bufkit program if you click the tab in the right hand corner that says get data a black box will pop up. Middle of the way down you will see the alphabet. Just click on D which is blank, put your cursor in the box, and click the paste button at the top. Then click on the "get data" button. It should show up under your airport code when you refresh. Hope that helps! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seasonsoflove Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I dont mean this as an IMBY post at all of course... A lot of people from SC/KCAE around these parts and since it looks like KCAE has been ground zero for major icing over 1inch+, is the RPM trying to show more sleet for that area now? Or still a horrible ice? Just saw this on the 18z GFS when I recalculated. Latest run gives KAGS .55in total ZR as opposed to previous runs of near 2in. And KMCN just got a huge boost to 1.2in ZR. ...I'm sorry, Macon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 how does it look up here? I dont know of any stations that promote the RPM in CLT. You are right on the snow/sleet boundary for the bulk of the storm, 8" plus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 Just saw this on the 18z GFS when I recalculated. Latest run gives KAGS .55in total as opposed to previous runs of near 2in. And KMCN just got a huge boost to 1.2in. Yeah guys. I was just wondering what the RPM model (local WSI one) was doing since it seems it has been trying to save KCAE for a couple days now possibly with colder temps aloft. Thanks for your responses! Edit. If someone from the Midlands could call into the radio show tonight (I hope you call Robert btw!) please do so. I would call; but DT is still sour towards me currently.. lol For anyone interested in using the bufkit application, you can download it from here: http://www.wdtb.noaa.gov/tools/bufkit/ At first; it is a bit annoying to set up if you're new. They have instructional videos for it etc. You can actually input direct URLS into the "bufget" application part of it to download new model data without having to manually get it all the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 11, 2014 Share Posted February 11, 2014 I just took a look at the Euro ensemble mean and it's definitely a tad east of the op, but not by much. The low still veers inland a bit. The control run was really amped up and further west than the op. With that being said, the Euro is the NW outlier at this point, so it is probably logical to conclude that the expected storm track is east of the Euro, perhaps tracking up through the Pamlico Sound or somewhere around there. We'll see. Small differences in the track will mean a lot with this one. I'm still paranoid about the pingers, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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