WxFreak11 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Winter Storm Watch extended into Charleston County, and inland Berkeley/Dorchester now Ice Storm Warning. That's actually surprising to me. I definitely thought we'd be too warm for any frozen precipitation. Normally I love winter storms but after the ice storm 2 weeks ago.. not so much this time. Snow would be great but I know that's not happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 oh, and just for S$G, just looking through the 4KM 18z NAM and its even colder down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Grain of salt anything east of CLT and south of GSP and CLT may not have anything close to this. Money zone looks to be GSP - AVL - CLT and GSO. Agree. This is mainly a 85 N/W storm. Infact the way nam shows anything east of 95 all liquid. But boy look at the dryslot running up 95 corridor. That may prevent alot of icing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
newcomb68 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 ..On a funny note... Accuweather has Greensboro at: Snow Wednesday morning accumulating 1-3 inches, then changing to ice and continuing into Wednesday afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Ok, it just got real. GSP just updated their forecasts. And they have me at 1-3 inches Wednesday and 4-8 inches wednesday night. 5-11 for the storm? I'll take that. Give me 6 with everything nice and white, below freezing, and sledable and I'll walk away happy. Yes, secretely I'm hoping for that 11 though. Looking more and more like this thing ain't getting started until Wednesday afternoon though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Agree. This is mainly a 85 N/W storm. Infact the way nam shows anything east of 95 all liquid. But boy look at the dryslot running up 95 corridor. That may prevent alot of icing. Yep, that may be someone's saving grace, probably RDU, and whoever get's in that comma head will be getting 12", probably more. Feast or famine for people with that comma head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Winter Weather Advisory URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC405 PM EST MON FEB 10 2014...ACCUMULATING SNOW EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL ANDNORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING......ADDITIONAL LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHEASTGEORGIA..UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA AND THE CHARLOTTE METRO AREATUESDAY......SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM LIKELY TO AFFECT THE WESTERNCAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAYMORNING....A BAND OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WILL REMAIN OVER PORTIONS OFTHE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA THROUGHEARLY THIS EVENING. THIS BAND WILL LIKELY PRODUCE ONE TO TWOINCHES OF SNOW...WITH ISOLATED AREAS OF THREE INCHES ACROSS THERIDGES. SNOWFALL RATES ARE FORECAST TO DECREASE SIGNIFICANTLYAROUND SUNSET.PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST TO SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS NORTHEASTGEORGIA AND THE UPSTATE OF SOUTH CAROLINA EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.AS A MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE ARRIVES DURING THE MID MORNING...LIGHTPRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS THE NORTH CAROLINAMOUNTAINS EAST TO THE PIEDMONT. GENERALLY...THE PRECIPITATIONSHOULD FALL AS SNOW OR A MIXTURE OF RAIN AND SNOW ACROSS THEREGION.THROUGH MID WEEK...A COLD CANADIAN AIR MASS CENTERED NORTH OF THEREGION WILL COMBINE WITH MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH LOW PRESSUREDEVELOPING OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO TO PRODUCE A PERIODOF WINTRY PRECIPITATION. THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION WILL AFFECTTHE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA WEDNESDAY THROUGHWEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW...SLEET...ANDFREEZING RAIN EXPECTED.GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ070>072-082-SCZ001>014-019-110515-/O.NEW.KGSP.WW.Y.0010.140211T1100Z-140211T2300Z//O.EXT.KGSP.WS.A.0003.140211T2300Z-140213T2300Z/RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...TOCCOA...HARTWELL...ELBERTON...GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...MONROE...GREENVILLE...SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...ROCK HILL...ANDERSON...ABBEVILLE...LAURENS...UNION...CHESTER...GREENWOOD405 PM EST MON FEB 10 2014...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM ESTTUESDAY......WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGHTHURSDAY AFTERNOON...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUEDA WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AMTO 6 PM EST TUESDAY.* LOCATIONS...NORTHEAST GEORGIA...UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...AND THE CHARLOTTE METRO AREA.* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW AND SLEET...WITH AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN IN THE LOWER PIEDMONT.* TIMING...MAINLY LIGHT SNOW SHOULD IMPACT THE REGION TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. THE PRECIPITATION WILL BECOME HEAVIER WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH SLEET INCREASINGLY MIXING IN FROM THE SOUTH...ALONG WITH FREEZING RAIN IN LOCATIONS SOUTHEAST OF INTERSTATE 85.* ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED DURING THE DAY TUESDAY. SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...ALONG WITH AROUND ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE ARE EXPECTED FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.* IMPACTS...THE COMBINATION OF HEAVY SNOW...SIGNIFICANT SLEET... AND FREEZING RAIN WILL MAKE TRAVEL TREACHEROUS. THE ACCUMULATIONS MAY ALSO CREATE NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES... ESPECIALLY WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S.* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANTSNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OFWEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILSCAN BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP.&&$$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
audioguy3107 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 925 to 950mb temps drop to as low as -6c in atlanta and -7c in gainesville and athens northeastward. And -8c in the upstate at 925mb by 48 hours! That's 21 in atlanta, 19 in gainesville and athens, and 17 in the upstate. You won't find many wedges that are colder than that. Incredible. I don't have either the Euro of NAM in front of me ATTM, but if I'm not mistaken that's the same frame give or take several hours where the deformation band sets up. That's about as close to a winter dream scenario for this area as you can get. Here's to verification! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beez Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Winter Storm Watch extended into Charleston County, and inland Berkeley/Dorchester now Ice Storm Warning. a bit surpised they have the watches all the way to the coast. I can see places like summerville-moncks corner having issues but I think the immediate coast looks ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Haven't looked at the soundings yet, but this def. looks colder at those layers and 2m here, wouldn't you agree? It certainly is colder here. It's about the same around macon at all levels..with a surface temp of 0.2 to 0.3c or about 32.36 and 32.5. Otherwise known as the "are you fooking killing me??" temperature Again though it's hard to believe macon would not be colder..especially if temps upstream are colder. However, the nam has macon's wetbulb now below freezing (i think for the first time) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 FFC does mention the possibility of the forecast busting and seeing mostly a rain event for the Atlanta Metro and southward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillerA Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 * ACCUMULATIONS ...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ...ALONG WITH AROUND A TRACE OF ICE.o It looks like a watch still for gsp. I don't see the discussion updated yet. but the watch says for hickory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I don't have either the Euro of NAM in front of me ATTM, but if I'm not mistaken that's the same frame give or take several hours where the deformation band sets up. That's about as close to a winter dream scenario for this area as you can get. Here's to verification! No, this is before and during the period of heaviest precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a5ehren Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 The wording on the afternoon forecast from FFC is laughable, if you read it, it looks to be less than two weeks ago, really no big deal in their opinion, am I missing something?? There isn't enough model support for a significant event in Atlanta tonight. Too warm. This is what they're saying for the second wave: FURTHER SOUTH...NOT LOOKING GOOD. COULD SEE THE MOST SIGNIFICANTICE STORM IN 10-20 YEARS FOR THIS PART OF THE STATE. NOT MUCH TIME TO LOOK AT IT IN DETAIL BUT 12Z ECMWF QUITE OMINOUS WITH 1.00-1.50 INCH QPF IN FAVORABLE FZRA/IP REGION FROM 06Z WED-06Z THUR. WE BACKED OFF ON RAW ICE ACCUM OUTPUT...BUT COULD SEE UP TO 1 INCH OF ICE IF OPERATIONAL ECMWF VERIFIES. OFFICIAL FORECAST HAS 0.25-0.35 INCH FROM CARROLLTON TO ATL TO WEST OF AUGUSTA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 There isn't any model support for a significant event in Atlanta tonight. Too warm. This is what they're saying for the second wave: Yet there is a warning just 60 miles west of Atlanta along I-20 at the GA/AL border. Is the border going to stop the cold air from getting here ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 RGEM looks close to the NAM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 925 to 950mb temps drop to as low as -6c in atlanta and -7c in gainesville and athens northeastward. And -8c in the upstate at 925mb by 48 hours! That's 21 in atlanta, 19 in gainesville and athens, and 17 in the upstate. You won't find many wedges that are colder than that. Incredible. For charlotte. The coldest layer gets down to around -8.6c/16 and hickory gets down to -9.4/15 degrees! That is just awesome lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 CAE says....ya better get ready columbia.... .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...A COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. A WEDGE-RIDGE PATTERN WILL OCCUR BEHIND THE FRONT TONIGHT. THE NAMINDICATES WEAK ISENTROPIC LIFT WITH AN INCREASE IN MOISTUREOVERNIGHT. THERE MAY BE ENOUGH MOISTURE AND LIFT FORPRECIPITATION. EXPECT THIS PRECIPITATION WILL BE LIGHT BECAUSE OFTHE WEAK SUPPORT. MODEL TIME-HEIGHT DISPLAYS SUPPORT A MIX OFRAIN...SLEET AND SNOW FROM COLUMBIA NORTHWARD...AND RAIN ANDPOSSIBLY A LITTLE SLEET SOUTH OF COLUMBIA. THE GUIDANCE CONSENSUSSUPPORTS LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S NORTH...AND MIDDLE TO UPPER 30SFROM COLUMBIA SOUTHWARD. WITH TEMPERATURES COOLING TO NEARFREEZING TRAVEL PROBLEMS MAY DEVELOP AND WE HAVE POSTED AWINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.&&.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY/...ISENTROPIC LIFT OVER THE WEDGE RIDGE WILL OCCUR TUESDAY. THERESHOULD BE ENOUGH MOISTURE AND LIFT FOR PRECIPITATION. THE NAM ANDGFS TIME-HEIGHT DISPLAYS SUPPORT MAINLY SNOW IN THE EXTREMENORTH...A MIX OF SLEET AND RAIN IN THE CENTRAL PART...AND RAINWITH A LITTLE SLEET POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTH PART TUESDAY. THE LIFTAPPEARS WEAK SO WE EXPECT ANY SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION WILL BELIGHT. HOWEVER...THERE MAY BE ENOUGH ACCUMULATION FOR TRAVELPROBLEM IN THE NORTH AND WEST SECTIONS AND WE HAVE POSTED A WINTERWEATHER ADVISORY.THE MORE SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR TUESDAY NIGHT ANDESPECIALLY WEDNESDAY. THE GFS AND NAM ARE CONSISTENT SHOWINGSTRONG ISENTROPIC LIFT AND DEEP MOISTURE. THE GFS AND NAM MODELTIME-HEIGHT DISPLAYS ARE CLOSE AND SUPPORT WINTRY PRECIPITATION.THE MAIN PROBLEM WILL LIKELY BE FREEZING RAIN. DANGEROUS ICEACCUMULATIONS WILL LIKELY OCCUR. WE USED AN AVERAGE OF THE GFS ANDNAM QPF. WE LEANED TOWARD AN IN-HOUSE FREEZING RAIN TOOL FOR THEICE ACCUMULATION. AMOUNTS OF 1/4 TO 3/4 OF AN INCH WERE INDICATED.THERE IS A POSSIBLY OF GREATER ICE AMOUNTS. GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDSWEDNESDAY MAY ADD TO THE PROBLEMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE ICEACCUMULATION.THE PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY END FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEASTTHURSDAY AS THE LOW SHIFTS NORTHEASTWARD AND FARTHER AWAY.WE USED A LOCAL WEDGE SCHEME FOR THE TEMPERATURE GUIDANCEWEDNESDAY WHICH WAS COLDER THAN THE GFS AND NAM MOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sctvman Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Cantore is headed to Columbia per his Twitter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 The best write up from FFC in my opinion all winter. Breaks everything down in excellent detail based on their best meteorological opinions.: AREA FORECAST DISCUSSIONNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA338 PM EST MON FEB 10 2014...MAJOR WINTER STORM EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING....SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...DECISION SUPPORT ACTIVITIES HAVE TAKEN UP A LARGE PART OF THE DAYAS RELATED TO UPCOMING WINTER WEATHER BUT WILL TRY TO DETAIL HEREAS MUCH AS TIME ALLOWS RELATING TO OUR LATEST THINKING.OVERVIEW...STILL LOOKING AT WHAT CAN ALMOST BE DESCRIBED AS ATHREE PRONG EVENT WITH SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS FROM EACH ONE. WILLONLY DISCUSS HE FIRST OF THOSE WITHIN THIS DISCUSSION SECTIONWHICH WILL IMPACT THE AREA LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING.EASY TO GET TUNNEL VISION AS RELATES TO THE MORE SIGNIFICANTIMPACTS BUT WE ARE DEALING WITH LIGHT SNOW CURRENTLY AS WELL WITHREPORTS COMING OUT OF FANNIN AND ADJACENT COUNTIES EARLIER. NOACCUMULATIONS WITH THESE AS TEMPS HAVE REMAINED ABOVEFREEZING...EVEN IN THE MOUNTAINS AND EXPECT THIS TREND TOCONTINUE. MAIN EVEN LOOKS TO BE LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNINGAS ARCTIC FRONTAL BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO SETTLE SOUTH AS AMPLEMOISTURE THROUGHOUT THE COLUMN BUILDS AND SUBTLE RIPPLES WITHINLOCAL ZONAL FLOW ALOFT GENERATES MODEST LIFT FOR THE DEVELOPMENTOF PRECIPITATION THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.CHANGES IN MODELS...GFS COMING IN COLDER AND NAM12 IS GENERATINGPRECIP FURTHER NORTH WITH THE FIRST SYSTEM. TOGETHER THIS GIVESADDED CONFIDENCE THAT THIS INITIAL WAVE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY WILLGENERATE A MESSY WINTRY MIX ALONG AND NORTH OF A ROME TODANIELSVILLE LINE. WE ACTUALLY COULD SEE JUST AS MUCH(1 TO2 INCHES) IN THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE ADVISORY AS WE DO IN THEWARNING. THE DIFFERENCE WILL BE THAT TEMPERATURES WILL DROP TO ATOR JUST BELOW FREEZING IN THE WARNING AREA ALLOWING FOR MORE TOSTICK TO AREA ROADWAYS THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. FOR THE NORTHATLANTA METRO WHICH IS IN THE ADVISORY...COULD SEE A MIX OF SLEETAND SNOW WITH ACCUMULATIONS MAINLY ON GRASSY SURFACES AND STREETSREMAINING JUST WET. WILL BE SUCH A CLOSE CALL THOUGH TEMPERATUREWISE THAT WE WILL MONITOR CLOSELY FOR POSSIBLE EXPANSION OFWARNING TONIGHT. 1 OR 2 DEGREES WILL MAKE ALL THE DIFFERENCE TONIGHT.CONFIDENCE...FOR THIS INITIAL WAVE OF WINTRY WEATHER...WE ARE MORECONFIDENT THAT WE WILL SEE ENOUGH PRECIPITATION ACROSS THENORTHERN TIER TO WARRANT WARNING CONDITIONS. THE UNCERTAINTYMAINLY COMES WITH THE TEMPERATURES AND HOW MUCH WET BULBING WE GETAND HOW FAR SOUTH FREEZING TEMPS ARE REALIZED. PLEASE MONITORCLOSELY THE LATEST FORECASTS FROM THIS OFFICE AS ADVISORIES AND ORWARNINGS COULD VERY EASILY BE EXPANDED SOUTHWARD.DEESESECOND PRECIP EVENT /WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...MORE SIGNIFICANT SHORT WAVE PROGGED TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVESTOWARD THE STATE TUES NIGHT. MODEL GUIDANCE COMING INTO BETTERAGREEMENT WITH MASS AND PRECIPITATION TIMING. SOME DIFFERENCES INTHERMODYNAMIC FIELDS BUT BETTER THAN PREV RUNS. 12Z RUNS WERECOOLER WITH LOW LEVEL COLD LAYER THAN 06Z RUNS AND INCREASED OURCONCERN FOR SIGNIFICANT FZRA/IP EVENT FOR MUCH OF CWA WED. BASEDON MAJORITY OF MODEL GUIDANCE AND WPC WWD INPUT AREAS NORTH OFROME TO GAINESVILLE LINE...WILL LIKELY SEE SN/IP. SNOW RATIOS WILLBE MUCH LOWER THAN JAN 28 EVENT...AROUND 8:1. QPF NOT REAL HIGHINITIALLY TUE NIGHT/WED BUT AS WRAPAROUND AND WARM CONVEYER BELTKICKS IN WED EVENING AMOUNTS SOAR. COULD SEE SIGNIFICANTACCUMULATION... PERHAPS 4 TO 8 INCHES...IF 12Z GFS/NAM FCSTS PANOUT.FURTHER SOUTH...NOT LOOKING GOOD. COULD SEE THE MOST SIGNIFICANTICE STORM IN 10-20 YEARS FOR THIS PART OF THE STATE. NOT MUCH TIMETO LOOK AT IT IN DETAIL BUT 12Z ECMWF QUITE OMINOUS WITH1.00-1.50 INCH QPF IN FAVORABLE FZRA/IP REGION FROM 06Z WED-06ZTHUR. WE BACKED OFF ON RAW ICE ACCUM OUTPUT...BUT COULD SEE UP TO1 INCH OF ICE IF OPERATIONAL ECMWF VERIFIES. OFFICIAL FORECAST HAS0.25-0.35 INCH FROM CARROLLTON TO ATL TO WEST OF AUGUSTA.SOUTH OF MACON AND AWAY FROM WEDGE INFLUENCE...SHOULD BE IN GOODSHAPE WITH MOSTLY RAIN AND SLEET WED AND COULD CHANGE TO LIGHT FREEZINGRAIN OR SLEET WED NIGHT.LATER SHIFTS AND MEDIA PARTNERS MAY NEED TO RAMP UP IMPACT WORDINGIN PRODUCTS...SOCIAL MEDIA POSTS AND BROADCASTS. ONLY WAY THISEVENT MAY BUST IS IF SFC TEMPS REMAIN AT OR ABOVE FREEZING NEARAND SOUTH OF ATL METRO WED AND OVER MIDDLE GA. WILL NEED TO MONITOROBSERVED CONDITIONS UPSTREAM IN SOURCE REGION OF WEDGE OVER NC/VA.IF LESS DRY AIR COMES IN THAN EXPECTED...MAY BE TOUGH TO GET TEMPSNEAR 30 AS PROGGED IN ECMWF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Cantore is headed to Columbia per his Twitter. That's just lovely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Yet there is a warning just 60 miles west of Atlanta along I-20 at the GA/AL border. Is the border going to stop the cold air from getting here ? dude it depends on the forecaster, timing, and what their criteria for a warning is. .Plus surface temps are expected to be slightly warmer in west ga vs there. It's really meaningless anyway..whether they issue a warning or advisory is going to have no effect on what actually happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Cantore is headed to Columbia per his Twitter. I'm going to go meet him then. Thanks for that info! What will you guys give me to jump on him? Kidding. My previous message was a bit dire. I should have added that the Central and Southern Midlands.. possibly further South or North. If the wedge temperatures are still not as cold on modeling as they could verify; there could be some snow suprises mixed in. Either way; the ZR is coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 RAH finally officially pulls the trigger. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 422 PM EST MON FEB 10 2014 ...AN INITIAL ROUND OF WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY... ...A MORE SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT THE REGION WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY... .AN ARCTIC AIR MASS WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE GULF COAST TUESDAY NIGHT...THEN TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS SYSTEM...THOUGH PRECISE DETAILS REMAIN UNCERTAIN. NCZ007>011-021>028-038>041-043-111000- /O.EXB.KRAH.WS.A.0002.140212T0500Z-140213T2300Z/ PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE- ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM- WAKE-WILSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...BUTNER...CREEDMOOR... HENDERSON...NORLINA...WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS... WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...GRAHAM... CHAPEL HILL...CARRBORO...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...FRANKLINTON... NASHVILLE...RED OAK...SHARPSBURG...SPRING HOPE...ROCKY MOUNT... LEXINGTON...THOMASVILLE...ASHEBORO...ARCHDALE...TRINITY... SILER CITY...PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...CARY...WILSON 422 PM EST MON FEB 10 2014 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. * HAZARDS...SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. HEAVY SNOW IS MORE LIKELY TO OCCUR ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT INCLUDING THE TRIAD...WITH A COMBINATION OF SNOW AND POTENTIALLY DAMAGING ICE ACCUMULATIONS ALONG AND EAST OF THE HIGHWAY 1 CORRIDOR INCLUDING THE TRIANGLE AND INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR. * LOCATIONS...ALL OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. * TIMING...WINTRY PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA FROM THE SOUTH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING. PRECIPITATION SHOULD BEGIN AS SNOW...THEN TRANSITION TO A MIXTURE OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN FROM SOUTHEAST TO NORTHWEST DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY. PRECIPITATION WILL END FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST DURING THE DAY THURSDAY. * ACCUMULATIONS...SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATION AND LIGHT ICE ACCUMULATION WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT. SOME SNOW ACCUMULATION ALONG WITH POTENTIALLY DAMAGING ICE ACCUMULATION WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 1. * IMPACTS...SIGNIFICANT SNOW AND ICING COULD SEVERELY DISRUPT TRAVEL ACROSS THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. POWER OUTAGES AND PROPERTY DAMAGE WILL BE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS. RESIDENTS OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE FORECAST AND PREPARE FOR POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. && $$ VINCENT/BADGETT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 CAE says....ya better get ready columbia.... AMOUNTS OF 1/4 TO 3/4 OF AN INCH WERE INDICATED. THERE IS A POSSIBLY OF GREATER ICE AMOUNTS. GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WEDNESDAY MAY ADD TO THE PROBLEMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE ICE ACCUMULATION. We haven't mentioned wind much When you have ice accretion it doesn't take much wind to greatly exacerbate the damage. .5 to .75" of ice with a gusty wind is getting to places where you really do not want to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 We haven't mentioned wind much When you have ice accretion it doesn't take much wind to greatly exacerbate the damage. .5 to .75" of ice with a gusty wind is getting to places where you really do not want to go. As I said last night or early this morning, I am really concerned about it because there looks to be substained winds of 15 to 20 knots, with higher gusts obviously. That is not what you want to say the least with so much freezing rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 We haven't mentioned wind much When you have ice accretion it doesn't take much wind to greatly exacerbate the damage. .5 to .75" of ice with a gusty wind is getting to places where you really do not want to go. I know......it's not gonna be pretty here I sure hope everyone is ready.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
max100 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Here is a good call for Atlanta. http://wxgeeknation.wordpress.com/2014/02/10/winter-storm-430pm-update/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 It certainly is colder here. It's about the same around macon at all levels..with a surface temp of 0.2 to 0.3c or about 32.36 and 32.5. Otherwise known as the "are you fooking killing me??" temperature Again though it's hard to believe macon would not be colder..especially if temps upstream are colder. However, the nam has macon's wetbulb now below freezing (i think for the first time) oh really? yes that would be for the first time...4KM has us sitting at 33....LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a5ehren Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Here is a good call for Atlanta. http://wxgeeknation.wordpress.com/2014/02/10/winter-storm-430pm-update/ Looks like a wishcast to me. 1-3" when the 32* is 30 miles NW of downtown? 4-6" on the backside? The models he is showing don't support that conclusion at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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