No snow for you Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 GSP continues their trend of increasing our accumulations... now up to 5" http://www.weather.gov/images/gsp/brief/STSStormTotalSnow.png I believe they have had those totals for a while now. Someone posted last night and it was up to 5.9 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 REPRPDWEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTSCARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.1120 AM EST MON 10 FEBRUARY 2014SUBJECT: WINTER STORM PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)VALID 11/1100Z TO 12/1100Z FEBRUARY 2014WSPOD NUMBER.....13-073I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS1. FLIGHT 0NE -- TEAL 71--A. A66/ DROP 9(28.2N 93.8W)/ 12/0000ZB. AFXXX 05WSA TRACK66C. 11/2000ZD. 10 DROPS ON TRACK AS PUBLISHEDE. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 12/0200Z2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:A. A62/ DROP 7(34.0N 72.3W)/ 13/0000Z$JWP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 !!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 you know what I like about us being close to the transition zone? rates. Euro QPF for you and I is 1.5 inches. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DixieBlizzard Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 !!!!!!! Can you post one of those further west, please? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hugo Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Everyone on this board forgets about the coastal plain and coast and I saw a few questions go unanswered about the GFS. A lot of us would appreciate it if analysis about the sn/ip line included some talk about the rain/zr line too . Anyway, GFS looks like it's putting down .88 zr in KFLO with .27 sleet and .2 snow, so a pretty historic zr event for flo. ILM and MYR now showing all rain, so it looks like the rain/zr lines along a line through Southern Florence and Marion counties, through central Horry and cutting through Brunswick. And obviously, to those of those who live around here, we know all that means is that it's going to be a matter of waiting and seeing what happens. Trying to pinpoint an exact line 36 hours out is nonsense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 10, 2014 Author Share Posted February 10, 2014 Euro QPF for you and I is 1.5 inches. Wow. The 1" QPF line crosses into W TN... all of NC is 1-2" of liquid equiv. Mercy. Reminds me of the Jan 96 blizzard when the models bumped up QPF amounts in the last day to two. I think the Euro nearly doubled for the NE during that one. See my gary gray achive: wow.americanwx.com/gg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormsfury Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Can you post one of those further west, please? He might as well unzoom to show a wider area just to see where the EURO 32 degree transition line is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 The 1" QPF line crosses into W TN... all of NC is 1-2" of liquid equiv. Mercy. Reminds me of the Jan 96 blizzard when the models bumped up QPF amounts in the last day to two. I think the Euro nearly doubled for the NE during that one. See my gary gray achive: wow.americanwx.com/gg Do you see snow/rain mix outside? I might be seeing things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXinCanton Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Can you post one of those further west, please? Here you go Greg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Everyone on this board forgets about the coastal plain and coast and I saw a few questions go unanswered about the GFS. A lot of us would appreciate it if analysis about the sn/ip line included some talk about the rain/zr line too . Anyway, GFS looks like it's putting down .88 zr in KFLO with .27 sleet and .2 snow, so a pretty historic zr event for flo. ILM and MYR now showing all rain, so it looks like the rain/zr lines along a line through Southern Florence and Marion counties, through central Horry and cutting through Brunswick. And obviously, to those of those who live around here, we know all that means is that it's going to be a matter of waiting and seeing what happens. Trying to pinpoint an exact line 36 hours out is nonsense. The gfs wants to bury cae in ice.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
max100 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi 1m ECWMF remains rock solid. Hope Atlantas last experience has them ready for this. THEE storm of the winter south and up east coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RaleighWx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Euro thumps raleigh before bringing the freezing line into around Chapel Hill changing us to rain about 3/4 of the way through. Possible, but still seems too amped to me. We shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 10, 2014 Author Share Posted February 10, 2014 Do you see snow/rain mix outside? I might be seeing things. Eh.. maybe. Thought I saw one there. It's definitely getting colder so I think we'll see some today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NGA WINTER Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 The euro has been rock hard consistent on giving north ga 12-15". Hard not to believe it. 8" looking good. Someone is getting a foot! We've been hoping for this one for years guys! Soak it in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DixieBlizzard Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Here you go Greg. I appreciate it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthernWx2 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Leaning toward one large winter storm warning for both events, may go pretty far south. NW GA may see 2"+ by 15Z Tues. Agree Steve....this is looking like a mess for metro ATL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Just tweeted out by Jeff Crum. Lord have mercy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Just tweeted out by Jeff Crum. Lord have mercy. Wow that shows the mountains and foothills getting next to nothing haha, is that RPI model? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Just tweeted out by Jeff Crum. Lord have mercy. That's a pretty weird map. Assuming it's some sort of in-house RPM or WRF? Interesting how there's essentially no QPF in the mountains, upstate, or N GA. Guess this represents a WAY colder, further east solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Just tweeted out by Jeff Crum. Lord have mercy. Doesn't match up with the models or NWS forecast for Upstate SC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Just tweeted out by Jeff Crum. Lord have mercy. I that an in-house model. Looks more east than most others. **But I would love it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillerA Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Wow that shows the mountains and foothills getting next to nothing haha, is that RPI model? Was going to Ask why the sharp cut off out into the western Nc? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi 11m Much of the interior carolinas in for a show. Problems compounded by areas all ready hard hit, more behind it on weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi 11m Much of the interior carolinas in for a show. Problems compounded by areas all ready hard hit, more behind it on weekend So we have something to track for this weekend as well? This "hostile for winter weather" pattern is making me tired! TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
max100 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 UNREAL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 So we have something to track for this weekend as well? This "hostile for winter weather" pattern is making me tired! TW DC storm for the weekend, it's been showing up on the Euro for a while Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Posting from the dentist's chair: The Euro has 1-1.5" of qpf for ATL area while the surface is 32 or colder and that's quite possibly underdone because of the warm bias keeping it above 32 too long initially IMO. So, combo of wintry precip adding to 1-1.5"+ qpf per 12Z Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Another reminder to newbies, the Euro snow maps include all freezing/frozen precip, not just snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliapalooza Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I that an in-house model. Looks more east than most others. **But I would love it Just asked him what he meant by changes--higher than stated totals or lower? The currently modeled track of the low just seems to scream that the higher totals will be East of the mountains. I think this system is going to wind up surprising us all... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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