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The Big One - Forecast & Discussion


Wow

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@57 it's turning. Wild look with 2m and 850's. Colder than 6z run on the SV map it has a loop around WNC of sub freezing 2m temps. 

 

The leading wave is much weaker and going to put its stock in the GOM low at 57.   The precip popping over N AL and GA is ours.

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DOn't know if the NAM will do it.. but the 5h looks primed for a bomb still.

moisture transport seems to really be effected by that stronger convective blob over south ga/al. I hope that area is overdone and it's just convective feedback but since the gfs has been showing this, I'm starting to think it's going to be real.

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much further south and east at 60 with a sharper NW cutoff of precip......look to be around an inch of qpf drier in the western carolinas and NE ga

 

I don't think there's going to be a significantly less amount of precipitation for western areas.  I just think it's slowing down in it's time to get here.  This storm is really starting to crank up at hour 60.

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I really like the looks of that deformation zone precip as it changes back over to all snow for north ga. Looks like it could really put down some heavy snow.  nice.

Oh yes!!  I know I keep saying it, but wow at the cold run here.  I wonder if this is the trend..*IMO** it should be

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