SN_Lover Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 deformation band sets up east of charlotte. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 It was a hair colder and further east than the 00z run, but not by a lot. BTW, major backside snows for central NC that were in the sleet zone during much of the event. Looks to be from the 850 low. Maybe I can get some sleep now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 deformation band sets up east of charlotte. The band at the end of the run is going HAM... Verbatim, that might be 3-6" of snow on top of the prior snow and mostly sleet from CLT to GSO or so. Crazy. I mentioned that on the 00z NAM, but the 06z doubled down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXinCanton Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 deformation band sets up east of charlotte. no it does not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Wow euro eps mean has low pressure centered over the NC coast at hr84, definitely not offshore either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 no it does not go look at the map again... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXinCanton Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 deformation band sets up east of charlotte. No it does not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 It was a hair colder and further east than the 00z run, but not by a lot. BTW, major backside snows for central NC that were in the sleet zone during much of the event. Looks to be from the 850 low. Maybe I can get some sleep now. The mountains yet nailed with this run. Looks like a foot plus in some areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXinCanton Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 go look at the map again... thats east of Charlotte??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 The mountains yet nailed with this run. Looks like a foot plus in some areas. Looks like nearly every mountain location and directly adjacent foothill location gets near a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacobr57 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 GSP about to hoist watches featuring 6-8 inches near the Blue Ridge, 4-6 along I85, and 1-2 in far southeast piedmont. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 thats east of Charlotte??? yes, and upslope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Looks like nearly every mountain location and directly adjacent foothill location gets near a foot. Lol Ya it does. I'll take this run. Looks like we get a deformation band or somethin setting up to the west in TN and AL that plows through here. Some good lift from that and we would be seeing some very impressive totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Looks like the whole GSP CWA will be under a WSWatch, I'm not sure I've ever seen the whole FA under a watch. Pretty impressive! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Looks like nearly every mountain location and directly adjacent foothill location gets near a foot. Also I really hope that low hugs the coast because that would really enhance the snow thrown back into here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXinCanton Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 yes, and upslope. Cmon dude, LOL Charlotte gets crushed. And the area you circled is north, not east. To early to argue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Also I really hope that low hugs the coast because that would really enhance the snow thrown back into here. With the track of the 850mb low, the possibility of upslope enhancement is possible along the eastern escarpment of the blue ridge. Someone will get massive totals in the mountains. All of this assuming the euro and nam are correct with the placement of that feature, GSP seems to think it will track through the piedmont, so that's good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Cmon dude, LOL Charlotte gets crushed. And the area you circled is north, not east. To early to argue cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 With the track of the 850mb low, the possibility of upslope enhancement is possible along the eastern escarpment of the blue ridge. Someone will get massive totals in the mountains. All of this assuming the euro and nam are correct with the placement of that feature, GSP seems to think it will track through the piedmont, so that's good. Ya I like the track. Hard to bet against the Euro. Has been rock solid with this event so far as Larry stated earlier. I agree on the totals also. This signals big time enhancement along the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXinCanton Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA420 AM EST MON FEB 10 2014GAZ005>009-013>016-021>025-101730-/O.NEW.KFFC.WS.W.0002.140211T0000Z-140212T0000Z//O.EXT.KFFC.WS.A.0003.140212T0000Z-140213T1200Z/MURRAY-FANNIN-GILMER-UNION-TOWNS-PICKENS-DAWSON-LUMPKIN-WHITE-CHEROKEE-FORSYTH-HALL-BANKS-JACKSON-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DAHLONEGA...CLEVELAND...GAINESVILLE420 AM EST MON FEB 10 2014...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PMEST TUESDAY......WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGHTHURSDAY MORNING...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED AWINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY.* LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF NORTH GEORGIA...MAINLY ALONG ANDNORTHEAST OF A LINE FROM CHATSWORTH TO CANTON TO DANIELSVILLE.* HAZARD TYPES...MAINLY SNOW WITH SOME SLEET.* ACCUMULATIONS...BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES OF SNOW DURING THEWARNING PERIOD ON TUESDAY. AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES CAN BEEXPECTED DURING THE WATCH PERIOD FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGHTHURSDAY MORNING.* TIMING...RAIN MONDAY NIGHT WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW BY SUNRISETUESDAY MORNING...OCCASIONALLY MIXING WITH SLEET DURING THE DAY.ALL SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED FROM TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAYMORNING.* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE ON ROADS MAKING FOR HAZARDOUSDRIVING CONDITIONS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.* WINDS...NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.* TEMPERATURES...NEARLY STEADY IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S TUESDAY.TEMPERATURES WILL DROP INTO THE UPPER 20S TUESDAY NIGHT ANDSHOULD REMAIN BELOW FREEZING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHERCONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOWARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN ANEMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANTSNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.&&$ Winter Storm WatchURGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA420 AM EST MON FEB 10 2014GAZ005>009-013>016-021>025-101730-/O.NEW.KFFC.WS.W.0002.140211T0000Z-140212T0000Z//O.EXT.KFFC.WS.A.0003.140212T0000Z-140213T1200Z/MURRAY-FANNIN-GILMER-UNION-TOWNS-PICKENS-DAWSON-LUMPKIN-WHITE-CHEROKEE-FORSYTH-HALL-BANKS-JACKSON-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DAHLONEGA...CLEVELAND...GAINESVILLE420 AM EST MON FEB 10 2014...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PMEST TUESDAY......WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGHTHURSDAY MORNING...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED AWINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY.* LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF NORTH GEORGIA...MAINLY ALONG ANDNORTHEAST OF A LINE FROM CHATSWORTH TO CANTON TO DANIELSVILLE.* HAZARD TYPES...MAINLY SNOW WITH SOME SLEET.* ACCUMULATIONS...BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES OF SNOW DURING THEWARNING PERIOD ON TUESDAY. AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES CAN BEEXPECTED DURING THE WATCH PERIOD FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGHTHURSDAY MORNING.* TIMING...RAIN MONDAY NIGHT WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW BY SUNRISETUESDAY MORNING...OCCASIONALLY MIXING WITH SLEET DURING THE DAY.ALL SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED FROM TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAYMORNING.* IMPACTS...SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE ON ROADS MAKING FOR HAZARDOUSDRIVING CONDITIONS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.* WINDS...NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.* TEMPERATURES...NEARLY STEADY IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S TUESDAY.TEMPERATURES WILL DROP INTO THE UPPER 20S TUESDAY NIGHT ANDSHOULD REMAIN BELOW FREEZING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHERCONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOWARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN ANEMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANTSNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.&&$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tonysc Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 You know last week when JC on WYFF in Greenville said that things could get interesting early to mid week, man he wasn't kidding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 If you live in the mountains and foothills you have to love the trends this morning of the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 If you live in the mountains and foothills you have to love the trends this morning of the models. gfs looks a little better, funny the "worst" solution is still 6"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Gfs still slowly coming around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 gfs looks a little better, funny the "worst" solution is still 6"+ Lol Ya I know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I wouldn't say you are ground zero..I think those "honors" will go to augusta over toward columbia. That area has consistently been shown to go below freezing early. As for macon, man it's a tough tough call. Macon itself looks right on the line but if you go any distance at all to the north and east you have the models showing freezing temps and soon enough that it accumulates to damaging levels. It's hard to imagine though with wedging this strong that macon doesn't reach freezing by some point. This is especially true if you look at 925mb, 950mb to 975mb temps..where they are subfreezing at macon early on (hour 60). That is a pretty good sign. I haven't followed macon a lot but just glancing at it, the gfs soundings show macon at 0.8c at 12z wed. Which is a full degree colder than the prior run. I don't know what it was showing before the 18z run but that's a decent drop in one run. I'm not even going to count the nam because I think it's out to lunch with it's thermal profile even up here. It's far enough out that there is still time for macon to be shown to get there. It's not going to take much. edit to add. 950 to 975 drops subfreezing by hour 54 on the gfs and 925 by hour 60. Another site shows macon at just 0.2c while even the 1000mb level is below freezing. 925 to 950 gets down to -2c at hour 60 and as low as -3.6c at 950 at 66 and -4.2c at 72. 975mb temps are as low as -2c at hour 60 and down to -3c at hour 72. If I was seeing that here, I'd certainly think I'd be seeing ice because those are solid numbers for those levels. I would say odds are good macon gets below freezing after seeing that and will see significant ice. In fact, if the slower models are correct although maybe not completely ground zero, macon very well could have more than it wants. That is certainly possible if not likely just to the north and east based on these numbers I've just seen. Thank You for the awesome reply and great work. I really appreciate it!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncskywarn Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 KRDU 06Z NAM & 06Z GFS I really hope the NAM does not come to fruition give me the GFS please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 If you live in the mountains and foothills you have to love the trends this morning of the models. Great disco last night folks. Just getting caught up and I see it still might snow a little around these parts. Glad to see all models hold overnight ! Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 6z gfs now has 9-10 inch totals for the mtns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Euro control is really amped. Low runs up the coastal plain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.