Ji Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 like the GGEM....which you would hate because it gives you 6-8" I'm ready for something new. Aren't you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 go to bed on this thought.....this run is the first adjustment east from the 12z op run and closer to the ensemble mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Alright enough! Please allow us to enjoy the potential a little bit. where you live?...I wont bury my head in the sand and pretend there is no such thing as a warm layer... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 when it gets to gametime and we start looking at soundings and there is a massive warm layer are we going to ignore it then too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I'm ready for something new. Aren't you? 4-5" and sleet?...sure...I'd take it actually....I like when IAD-JYO score... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 when it gets to gametime and we start looking at soundings and there is a massive warm layer are we going to ignore it then too? Even pd2 mixed ...it's not uncommon in ku Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 when it gets to gametime and we start looking at soundings and there is a massive warm layer are we going to ignore it then too? there's a warm layer, I'm sure, but it doesn't last for more than 6 hrs I bet look at your thicknesses at DCA THU 00Z 13-FEB -2.8 -5.7 1025 79 98 0.03 556 536 THU 06Z 13-FEB -1.4 -0.8 1014 93 100 0.45 553 542 THU 12Z 13-FEB 1.0 -0.4 1004 93 98 0.60 549 546 THU 18Z 13-FEB 0.9 -2.9 995 91 78 0.32 537 541 FRI 00Z 14-FEB 1.3 -4.1 997 90 95 0.31 534 536 FRI 06Z 14-FEB -0.9 -1.7 1002 73 25 0.03 537 535 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VAsnowlvr82 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 where you live?...I wont bury my head in the sand and pretend there is no such thing as a warm layer... Springfield and I'm not asking you to bury your head in the sand, but my god post after post after post it's over the top. We get it you think the city will mix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Dc does waaaay better than philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Dc does waaaay better than philly. God I hope that worm has finally turned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Even pd2 mixed ...it's not uncommon in ku this isnt PD2 style KU...I'm pretty sure I am not getting 19" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 PDI ended with temps in the low 30's and massive snow, so this may be on par Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Richmond mos is awful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Springfield and I'm not asking you to bury your head in the sand, but my god post after post after post it's over the top. We get it you think the city will mix. yeah...you're gonna get sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VAsnowlvr82 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 yeah...you're gonna get sleet Are you trying to be a **** or does it just come naturally! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Ggem looked really wet for this weekend. I bet that storm surprises Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Are you trying to be a **** or does it just come naturally! Springfield lol...no way u stay all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 PDI ended with temps in the low 30's and massive snow, so this may be on par ??....It was in the teens most of that storm and it was nothing like this... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Springfield lol...no way u stay all snow. euro is probably 6-8" for DC...is that a KU? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 open this day 4 map with the PDF option on the lower left of the page and expand it 400% http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/charts/medium/deterministic/msl_uv850_z500!Geopotential%20500%20hPa%20and%20Temperature%20at%20850%20hPa!96!North%20America!pop!od!oper!public_plots!2014021000!!/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 euro is probably 6-8" for DC...is that a KU? Was March 1993 a ku? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 ??....It was in the teens most of that storm and it was nothing like this... nah, when it ended it was 32 imby it warmed at the end due to the release of latent heat there were 2 hours in the morning when it ended that BWI got over .30" qpf! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Was March 1993 a ku? ha....this could be a KU but not a HECS.....was 1/22/87 a HECS...I got like 13.5"?....KU but not HECS...I think someone has to get 24" for a HECS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 euro is probably 6-8" for DC...is that a KU? For the last 4 winters it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 nah, when it ended it was 32 imby it warmed at the end due to the release of latent heat there were 2 hours in the morning when it ended that BWI got over .30" qpf! it was over by then....temps were in the teens for 90% of that storm...in fact when it started it was 12 degrees... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 ha....this could be a KU but not a HECS.....was 1/22/87 a HECS...I got like 13.5"?....KU but not HECS...I think someone has to get 24" for a HECS Areas near the mason dixon line sure have a great shot if this run is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 that great lakes low is what hurts our surface temps Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 it is less than 3 days away and the GFS gave me a dusting,,,,maybe it is right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 that great lakes low is what hurts our surface temps Thursday this storm will be imperfect...I just hope me and you dont get completely screwed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Agree Matt....KU and Hecs are 2 different things. Need 16-24 to be a hecs in dc area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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