PDIII Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 The thing about DT is that he acts like he's above everyone, when in reality he's just another weenie with a larger megaphone. He just does what a lot of us do (myself included). He waits for the next model run, checks out a clown map, and either hypes the storm up or goes into depression mode. Sometimes I want to like the guy because he goes so hilariously insane, but then someone will make a seemingly innocuous comment on his FB page and he'll say to that person "shut up ***hole" (as he just did a few minutes ago). Then I find myself not being able to stand the guy again. He is a Met... He hugs away... but provides real analysis.... he can be a D to his followers though.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Nice comparison Ian. I'm on my phone so it too cumbersome to do 3 panel comps. It's hard not to like the upper level look. Now I want to root for a big hit from the 850 and have h5 close off and glide by to finish the job. "glide by".....?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 DCA meteogram from 00z GGEM: http://meteocentre.com/models/get_mgram.php?stn=Washington&mod=gemglb&run=00&var=prcp〈=en&map=us 21mm = ~0.82" of QPF 6-10 with lolli's to 12 would be my guess on snow accums... i bet thats what wxbell maps show as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10, 2014 Author Share Posted February 10, 2014 Based on guidance now, I don't think DT i really that off...I wouldn't have put that out at this time though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 DT has most of the area 12"+ https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=645606618819933&set=a.148807335166533.25889.129478830432717&type=1&theater If I was him... I would have waited until the 0Z Euro came out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 so....do you people come here often? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fodie77 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 He is a Met... He hugs away... but provides real analysis.... he can be a D to his followers though.. Oh definitely. I know he's a met, but I guess I was focusing more on how he acts. I would say Bastardi is a weenie even though he's a met Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Day 2 500mb Euro, of course http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1280x1024&mo=ecmwf≤=500&va=hght&in=60&pl=cf&ft=h48&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest 850s http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1280x1024&mo=ecmwf≤=850&va=temp&in=5&pl=cf&ft=h48&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Day 3 looks good....where's evryone else? http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1280x1024&mo=ecmwf≤=500&va=hght&in=60&pl=cf&ft=h72&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1280x1024&mo=ecmwf≤=sfc&va=slp&in=5&pl=cf&ft=h72&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 start time on Euro around 4-5pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10, 2014 Author Share Posted February 10, 2014 72 hours, slp is in south central GA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Day 3 looks good....where's evryone else? http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1280x1024&mo=ecmwf≤=500&va=hght&in=60&pl=cf&ft=h72&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1280x1024&mo=ecmwf≤=sfc&va=slp&in=5&pl=cf&ft=h72&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest Matt never does PBP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10, 2014 Author Share Posted February 10, 2014 Day 3 looks good....where's evryone else? http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0&ge=1280x1024&mo=ecmwf&le=500&va=hght&in=60&pl=cf&ft=h72&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=&le=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0&ge=1280x1024&mo=ecmwf&le=sfc&va=slp&in=5&pl=cf&ft=h72&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=&le=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest It does look pretty good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 we dont have to worry about a GFS solution...lol...out to 78...getting crushed...but west track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10, 2014 Author Share Posted February 10, 2014 Matt never does PBP. for detailed pbp, the southeast is pretty good...but the downside is...well..they focus on the southeast obviously Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Day 3 850s----cold http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1280x1024&mo=ecmwf≤=850&va=temp&in=5&pl=cf&ft=h72&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 we dont have to worry about a GFS solution...lol...out to 78...getting crushed...but west track More west than 12z? Euro is one stubborn model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 for detailed pbp, the southeast is pretty good...but the downside is...well..they focus on the southeast obviously When i get desperate i do that but their sensible weather does not affect us many times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 we dont have to worry about a GFS solution...lol...out to 78...getting crushed...but west track hmmm, 850s at 72 hrs sure were cold that would be a shame Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 for detailed pbp, the southeast is pretty good...but the downside is...well..they focus on the southeast obviously What happens down there really has little impact on us with this storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10, 2014 Author Share Posted February 10, 2014 Day 3 850s----cold http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0&ge=1280x1024&mo=ecmwf&le=850&va=temp&in=5&pl=cf&ft=h72&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=&le=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest that's a lot colder than i would have thought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Its a pummeling...track way too far west for my liking, but somehow colder than it should be...major mixing for DC I would guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10, 2014 Author Share Posted February 10, 2014 What happens down there really has little impact on us with this storm ok? I'm talking about for position of low, etc. You can usually figure where things are going, trackwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 through 90 hours 1.5"+ for DC-IAD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Its a pummeling...track way too far west for my liking, but somehow colder than it should be...major mixing for DC I would guess you don't sound convinced that it's that warm, which is, I guess, good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 ok? I'm talking about for position of low, etc. You can usually figure where things are going, trackwise. Just sayin... They think the gfs looks great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 through 90 hours 1.5"+ for DC-IAD Dear Lord Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 through 90 hours 1.5"+ for DC-IAD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 through 96...almost 2" for JYO-IAD....a massacre Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 through 90 hours 1.5"+ for DC-IAD Holy crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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