Siberian-Snowcover-Myth Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 DT has most of the area 12"+ https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=645606618819933&set=a.148807335166533.25889.129478830432717&type=1&theater He must be a brave man to put out a map 3-4 days before the possible event. I wouldn't do so until atleast tues. night,,,,,,,,,,but who am I ?????? We'll see if it verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 DT is forcing me to like him. At least for 5 days anyway That a hype call imo. Yea, it can be backed up with some guidance but its pretty high on the failometer at this lead. He's trying to ride this one to home runville as he hugged the euro all along. I dunno now you make that map right now but it'll get a lot of shares. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 East? Left the comptuer 18z was 0.40-0.45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 It really is a sick and twisted hobby/profession. Meteorologists and weather enthusiasts are just masochists who use weather models and maps to obtain the thrill. I would say it's better than using drugs, but sometimes I wonder Cheaper, less track marks and a lot fewer deaths. So i would say it's better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 ot, GFS turns us cold again on 2/23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 East? Left the comptuer yeah....But I mean I can kind of pretend that all options are on the table, but I am not taking the GFS or GEFS too seriously... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 What was 18z? I can't remember 0.45" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 GD the gfs is pissing me the F off. I'm all out on the gfs and all in on the euro I can't believe it backed off on the means. That's worrisome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k94 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 It is the feb 12-13 storm. Fine with it. Better than Snowquester . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 yeah....But I mean I can kind of pretend that all options are on the table, but I am not taking the GFS or GEFS too seriously...It's hard not to lean euro/others at this point tho the GFS isn't bad with the northern stream so I wonder about that Midwest kicker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
welbane Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 0z GEFS Mean - 0.30" for DC Some high QPF members of the 18 Z were pretty warm I guess, like 5-6 C warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fodie77 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 He must be a brave man to put out a map 3-4 days before the possible event. I wouldn't do so until atleast tues. night,,,,,,,,,,,tbut who am I ?????? We'll see if it verifies. Don't worry, this is just "First Guess, Part A1, Version 1.0, Non-Official" He'll have at least ten more maps before his "final call" which will come halfway through the storm on Thursday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Cheaper, less track marks and a lot fewer deaths. So i would say it's better. You guys got it all wrong. Tracking snow AND doing drugs is where it's at. My radar hallucinations are serious cartoons Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Vort101 chapter 6 tells me to get my shovel ready Get at least three square edged, construction grade shovels oiled up and ready. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Considering all the social media snow map debate and such DT has been hyping up a storm in recent days. I'm not going to lie, I'm rooting for him. But I may need to troll him if he ends up wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Considering all the social media snow map debate and such DT has been hyping up a storm in recent days. I'm not going to lie, I'm rooting for him. But I may need to troll him if he ends up wrong. This is a win win for you however it ends up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MichaelScott Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 GD the gfs is pissing me the F off. I'm all out on the gfs and all in on the euro I can't believe it backed off on the means. That's worrisome Meh. The GFS control went more towards the EURO/NAM at H5 and that's a good sign as far as I'm concerned. I think it'll come around by 18z or 00z tomorrow (just a guess). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 This is a win win for you however it ends up.Yes pretty much. Though with the conference I may have to tread lightly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Yes pretty much. Though with the conference I may have to tread lightly. He will forget about it by July fear not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Considering all the social media snow map debate and such DT has been hyping up a storm in recent days. I'm not going to lie, I'm rooting for him. But I may need to troll him if he ends up wrong. He messaged me on FB just before he released the map to say that the GFS was B.S. and he was pleased to see the NAM looking like the Euro. At that point I knew exactly what he was going to do. To create his early maps he tends to just draw lines over the qpf contours of his favorite model. DT blinder mode is now fully engaged. His #warmandquiet period is working out well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 GD the gfs is pissing me the F off. I'm all out on the gfs and all in on the euro I can't believe it backed off on the means. That's worrisome not to me...it has been terrible the whole way through....I honestly dont care what it shows....other than the fact that it screws us, I dont believe it at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 GD the gfs is pissing me the F off. I'm all out on the gfs and all in on the euro I can't believe it backed off on the means. That's worrisome If it had some support then i would be worried... but for right now GFS is off on its own... so I am more willing to discard it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fodie77 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 He messaged me on FB just before he released the map to say that the GFS was B.S. and he was pleased to see the NAM look like the Euro. At that point I knew exactly what he was going to do. To create his early maps he tends to just draw lines over the qpf contours of his favorite model. DT blinder mode is now fully engaged. His #warmandquiet period is working out well. The thing about DT is that he acts like he's above everyone, when in reality he's just another weenie with a larger megaphone. He just does what a lot of us do (myself included). He waits for the next model run, checks out a clown map, and either hypes the storm up or goes into depression mode. Sometimes I want to like the guy because he goes so hilariously insane, but then someone will make a seemingly innocuous comment on his FB page and he'll say to that person "shut up ***hole" (as he just did a few minutes ago). Then I find myself not being able to stand the guy again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I need to know where your bar is set. I'm 6+ for a big win and totally happy with 4. I can also deal with 2-3 and a pile of sleet and some ice. Anything less can suck it Your bar would be a spectacular win for me. However, I live in northeastern Va on the fall line so I'm 3 inches plus for a big win and totally happy with 2. I can also deal with three quarters of an inch and a very small pile of sleet and some glaze about fourteen nanometers thick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 8-12 would make sense as to what the 00z GGEM would show tonight for us... did rough count and came up with ~20mm or soon the precip maps... meteogram will be out in a few to confirm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 GEM maps, 84 and 96 http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/colour_images/00_054_G1_north@america@zoomout_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_084.jpg http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/colour_images/00_054_G1_north@america@zoomout_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_096.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 8-12 would make sense as to what the 00z GGEM would show tonight for us... did rough count and came up with ~20mm or soon the precip maps... meteogram will be out in a few to confirm my maps got stuck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 my maps got stuck ahhh, what in Sam Hill were you doing with them....? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I'm stuck at 66 on the ggem. Oh well. Wont matter in 45 mins anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I actually sort of like DT. Put it this way, if he stopped posting on facebook I'd be disappointed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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