The Ole Bucket Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 2:30 PM, nflwxman said: Which met? Travis Koshko over at the Newsplex. Yes, yes, plenty of dispute about the relative accuracy of folks in this market, but still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 at 69 hrs, the 850 low is closed over eastern NC, winds over us at 850 are already from the NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 I'm really excited for you guys. A classic winter storm on the way, all thanks to a hybrid west NAO. Looking forward to the analysis going forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 75h BOOM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10, 2014 Author Share Posted February 10, 2014 Nam destroys us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 NAM absolutely crushes south central VA and heavier maxes moving up into our area at h78 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 H5 closes off @ 72 and gets better at 75. This is one damn energetic look upstairs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Everyone is going to like the NAM...good plastering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 JI will complain, but for those of us closer to I95, it looks to be a great snow storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 2:36 PM, HM said: I'm really excited for you guys. A classic winter storm on the way, all thanks to a hybrid west NAO. Looking forward to the analysis going forward. Please, Please man give us your input along the way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Somehow manages to fringe us 78-81 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohleary Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 2:32 PM, yoda said: Well start time is going to much later... Thurs morning now per the 12z NAM Huh? 6hr precip at 12Z Thurs shows 0.5 liquid in DC. NAM showing onset between 06Z and 09Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 ~20" in Richmond. Really turns into a beauty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 based on all the cheer -- you'd think everyone lived in central/SW VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 now this NAM forecast does look a lot like 1/25/00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 2:39 PM, DCTeacherman said: Somehow manages to fringe us 78-81 I don't buy that cutoff to the WNW... what would be causing it to be so compressed? That SLP over NE Minn can't be doing that much dmg... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10, 2014 Author Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 2:40 PM, ohleary said: Huh? 6hr precip at 12Z Thurs shows 0.5 liquid in DC. NAM showing onset between 06Z and 09Z. I was wondering the same thing. Not sure what he was looking at Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Ole Bucket Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Yeah so the NAM is clearly doing its thing. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Nice thump for DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 zwyts...this is RIC getting crushed. j/k. Hoping for a total VA crush job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Forget the cutoff. Nam took the perfect track. That's all you can say. Guarantee with that track nw shield is larger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10, 2014 Author Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 2:40 PM, chris87 said: based on all the cheer -- you'd think everyone lived in central/SW VA ? We're looking for less mixy. We'd gladly trade more precip for less mix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 NAM'd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 2:40 PM, chris87 said: based on all the cheer -- you'd think everyone lived in central/SW VARight where we want it. And also the nam still sucks but less than yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 2:42 PM, Bob Chill said: Forget the cutoff. Nam took the perfect track. That's all you can say. Guarantee with that track nw shield is larger. yes, and it suggests that maybe the Euro track is the furthest west this thing could get with total amplification, which is good because it probably won't be as strong as Euro op had it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 2:42 PM, Bob Chill said: Forget the cutoff. Nam took the perfect track. That's all you can say. Guarantee with that track nw shield is larger. That's got to be one thing that might be overdone. Closing off @H5 might just be the NAM NAM'ing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10, 2014 Author Share Posted February 10, 2014 It's the NAM post 48 hours. It's not going to be exactly right...may be totally off. But it is a good track for DC, regardless of what it shows for aerial precip coverage. No point in sweating that on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 2:42 PM, MN Transplant said: NAM'd USA_ASNOWIPER_sfc_084.gif That's a solid NAM'ing Sent from my XT907 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 On 2/10/2014 at 2:42 PM, stormtracker said: ? We're looking for less mixy. We'd gladly trade more precip for less mix. oh i agree -- slow down the phase a bit more or keep a more progressive tilt and we'll find ourselves on that gradient -- verbatim, great run DC and south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohleary Posted February 10, 2014 Share Posted February 10, 2014 Honestly, I'd have preferred to see this run tomorrow night, and holding into Wed AM. At least with wiggle room either way in the next 36h, there's still a pretty significant storm per the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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