Ian Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 On 2/9/2014 at 8:22 PM, SLPressure said: Didn't there used to be a "storm mode"? If there is a time for it to be reinstated, it is now. Of course that means I'll have to shut up but, hey, better for everyone! There's too much in the banner to fit it up there. I'll just start banning people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 On 2/9/2014 at 8:16 PM, Ian said: Given they come out at different times it probably doesn't matter. It would be interesting if this happens as Euro ens is a classic 95 snowstorm.. missing for a while but a few (lesser) this winter now. We just need to fill in the 8-12 through DC and Philly now. With no block its still a quick mover generally speaking but the precip shield is so expansive on guidance and the storm appears to be setup up to be quite moisture laden so 1"+ qpf seems quite possible near or over us. If we can avoid losing the column during the heaviest rates I could see a big hit in dc. I've totally accepted mixing being likely so it won't sting much if it happens. I've seen enough guidance to expect some decent snowfall in my yard as well. Decent meaning in expecting 4"+ unless things go awry. Plenty of time for that too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 I name the storm - The White Album Beatles - 50th anniversary of playing DC - February 11, 1964 (8" snowstorm for DC) Winter Olympics in Russia Back in the USSR - on White Album, Snow is white (or yellow/brown in DC) Oh, show me around your snow-peaked mountains way down southTake me to your daddy's farmLet me hear your balalaika's ringing outCome and keep your comrade warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MichaelScott Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Everyone's favorite model run, the 18z NAM, at 60hrs is much further north with the precip shield than it was at 66hr on 12z. Much better look at 500, as well. inb4nam'd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Hr 66 on the NAM.....first wave out of the way, second wave going with 6hr precip totals well over 1" across central AL and west Central GA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 We are about to get named. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Hr75....3" snow totals (weenie snow maps) knocking on the back door of DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Being 96 hrs out, anyone think QPF will be on the rise over the next few days? Seems like the GOM is finally open for business. And with this years over performers... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 This will be a big run.....Hr 78 DC in the .3-.5 precip range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 good mixing for DC metro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 high QPF event...looks mixy for DC metro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MichaelScott Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Much vort. So NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CamdenfromMAWP Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Anybody have a 12z Canadian model snow map? Anybody? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 On 2/9/2014 at 8:43 PM, camden_mariotti said: Anybody have a 12z Canadian model snow map? Anybody? you've made 2 posts on this board and both are identical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 What maps are you looking at? Unless I'm misreading it, the surface and 850 temps on instantweathermaps shows freezing SE of DC across southern MD. On 2/9/2014 at 8:41 PM, snow. said: good mixing for DC metro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 On 2/9/2014 at 8:43 PM, camden_mariotti said: Anybody have a 12z Canadian model snow map? Anybody? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 On 2/9/2014 at 8:43 PM, camden_mariotti said: Anybody have a 12z Canadian model snow map? Anybody? 12-24" except for a big snow hole over SW VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 24 hr snowfall NAM weenie snow maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Decent takeaway from the NAM and theres a second wave of QPF yet to come in from the SW. We shall see what the 0z suite has in store. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 On 2/9/2014 at 8:44 PM, snowfan said: What maps are you looking at? Unless I'm misreading it, the surface and 850 temps on instantweathermaps shows freezing SE of DC across southern MD. 850 at 81 and 84 are basically I-95 Its in la la land... but hr 84 is a sleet sounding... big warm nose 750-850 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Thanks. I see that now. Nice thump for the metro areas before then. On 2/9/2014 at 8:48 PM, yoda said: 850 at 81 and 84 are basically I-95 Its in la la land... but hr 84 is a sleet sounding... big warm nose 750-850 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Haven't seen this talked about here yet but timing is almost perfect for DC, especially this time of year. Heaviest stuff is when the sun is down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Still cranking @ 84 as well. Nice run. Agree with the mix. Sleet for sure verbatim. But would change back to snow before shutting off. Surface is great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CamdenfromMAWP Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Thanks everybody! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 On 2/9/2014 at 8:52 PM, Bob Chill said: Still cranking @ 84 as well. Nice run. Agree with the mix. Sleet for sure verbatim. But would change back to snow before shutting off. Surface is great. The biggies usually mix DC and along 95. Part of the deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 On 2/9/2014 at 8:52 PM, Bob Chill said: Still cranking @ 84 as well. Nice run. Agree with the mix. Sleet for sure verbatim. But would change back to snow before shutting off. Surface is great. verbatim, DC flips at around 9pm, and most of us in DC metro by midnight...but a really nice thump before then and likely back to snow at some point..snow-sleet-snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 The NAM is cool except it's keying in on something different than the other models. It's probably wrong with the front running low being the main deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 On 2/9/2014 at 8:50 PM, nj2va said: Haven't seen this talked about here yet but timing is almost perfect for DC, especially this time of year. Heaviest stuff is when the sun is down. Are u trolling Ian? ;-) Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 9, 2014 Share Posted February 9, 2014 Hopefully the 18z GFS will finally get a clue and stop with the dual low structure... its coming around to the EURO idea but it wasnt quite there yet at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2014 Author Share Posted February 9, 2014 On 2/9/2014 at 8:50 PM, nj2va said: Haven't seen this talked about here yet but timing is almost perfect for DC, especially this time of year. Heaviest stuff is when the sun is down. Yes, but this is also the period that our 850's get the warmest. We're going to mix regardless...I hope everyone has the expectations grounded and realize this. Doesn't look like plain rain at this point, but this won't be an all snow event for most of us except the favored N and W areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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