DiehardFF Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 4KM NAM has 2" of QPF covering all of Bucks - should be mostly all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 times must be changin....never seen so much love for the NAM here....ever. lets see if GFS poo-poo's everything again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattMal88 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Its the last gasp for those of us near 95 that want a major snowstorm thats why bacon lol if it caves at 6z we'll all be trashing it again dont worry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wederwarrior Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 When it's good for the backyard... Nam is your man But honestly, just excited to get in on a big storm this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 nam has been consistant Hopefully you are joking.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Just an image you save forever, guys. Holy crap. NAM high res. Delco/Chester/Montgomery counties digging out all week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJHurricane Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Just an image you save forever, guys. Holy crap. NAM high res. Delco/Chester/Montgomery counties digging out all week. 1900968_651410282211_1066268832_o.jpg Hopefully filed under epic storm nostalgia when all is said and done...and not "reasons not to trust the NAM" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 RGEM much more east then the 18z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I don't like the NAM, and not liking that the RGEM is east... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 GFS terrible, of course. It is so easy to see how it is playing to its biases but i would think within 24 hours it would be on board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ezweather Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 If you take the GFS verbatum, its almost like a non event. What just a few inches. If the storm is tracking offshore the way its showing it, we should get pounded with significant snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 So much for narrowing down a solution. What the heck has happened to the GFS they should check and see if it got that stuxnet virus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 So much for narrowing down a solution. What the heck has happened to the GFS they should check and see if it got that stuxnet virus If you live in New England, you are thinking this run was outstanding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 So much for narrowing down a solution. What the heck has happened to the GFS they should check and see if it got that stuxnet virus bust calls flying all over. rgem, gfs, and ukmet all east with lack of precip, saying GL system will kill this storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thedude11 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I cant help but think about how the GFS shifted SE to a prime spot with the low pressure yet it barely produces... Stepping back from it all, how many times this winter has it just loved to snow - even more than expected several times already. Why would that not happen again? Seems logical that this will have plenty of moisture with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Ukmet is big hit, NAM like but not with 20" snow ECM comes east soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 GFS bombs out much earlier than expected on this run. Guys....this is still going to be a very dynamic system, GFS even though it switches over for a time...shows heavy snow on the back-end. Even thundersnow possible. GFS = very impressive this run. Moves out of the area slower too. (compared to 18z) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 GFS bombs out much earlier than expected on this run. Guys....this is still going to be a very dynamic system, GFS even though it switches over for a time...shows heavy snow on the back-end. Even thundersnow possible. GFS = very impressive this run. Moves out of the area slower too. (compared to 18z) dynamic,,,,but it is not friendly on the QPF. Heck looks like rain for many people at one point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 GGEM is a solid thump then comma head banding....not quite the NAM but in the same camp i would put it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 dynamic,,,,but it is not friendly on the QPF. Heck looks like rain for many people at one point. GFS has been playing catchup all along with this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEchestercountydude Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Surprised there's not more people in here right now. All the models moved east and have dismissed the fear of all the weenies after the 12z runs. Pretty happy with tonight so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 dynamic,,,,but it is not friendly on the QPF. Heck looks like rain for many people at one point. hang in there, we've still got another 24 hours of model runs. this run of the GFS is at-least starting to get more in-tune with the overly dynamic NAM. But it is almost baffling the temperature differences between the 2. Pretty sure it's BS that the freezing line gets that far inland....GFS almost has me at the freezing mark even. It's currently 2 degrees, with like a 15 inch snowpack. / icepack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Surprised there's not more people in here right now. All the models moved east and have dismissed the fear of all the weenies after the 12z runs. Pretty happy with tonight so far. Same here, as of now. Just need the Euro to shift east a bit and not give us some whacked out solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Same here, as of now. Just need the Euro to shift east a bit and not give us some whacked out solution. The models got colder here for central Bucks County thats for sure. I like that direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 The models got colder here for central Bucks County thats for sure. I like that direction. That's good for sure. I just didn't want to see more west progress....better yet it moved more east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/wrf-arw-east/2014021200/wrf-arw-east_ref_neus.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 24 hours later and come full circle through hell and back on the models. ECM a great track a tad east and colder and unlike GFS it's wet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fields27 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 24 hours later and come full circle through hell and back on the models. ECM a great track a tad east and colder and unlike GFS it's wet How wet is "wet"? Reading through both NYC and MA sub forums and seeing 1.00"+ QPF's. Do those killer numbers do a jump skip over sepa or do we see about the same? I'm nervous up here in Berks... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm chaser Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 How wet is "wet"? Reading through both NYC and MA sub forums and seeing 1.00"+ QPF's. Do those killer numbers do a jump skip over sepa or do we see about the same? I'm nervous up here in Berks... 12+ According to NY forum on snow maps.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 How wet is "wet"? Reading through both NYC and MA sub forums and seeing 1.00"+ QPF's. Do those killer numbers do a jump skip over sepa or do we see about the same? I'm nervous up here in Berks... 10-14" ECM/NAM/GGEM/UKIE vs GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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