Voyager Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 2:45 AM, Highzenberg said: I guess my question was ray not about QPF output on the 4km NAm, just the stark differences on tis placement of the CCB. I saw those images over in the NYC thread. Was I right when I saw 40-45 dbz over Allentown? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 13, 2014 Author Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 2:45 AM, Highzenberg said: I guess my question was ray not about QPF output on the 4km NAm, just the stark differences on tis placement of the CCB. That I couldn't tell you. Til we're within 12 hours I'd guess the globals will have a better handle on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rafpsu Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 2:49 AM, Voyager said: I saw those images over in the NYC thread. Was I right when I saw 40-45 dbz over Allentown? looks like it to me. NAM jumps the CCB right over the area and reforms it NE, while 4km NAM intensifies it right through the area late tomorrow evening, first nw of the city up through LV, then swings it through the city and east around/just after midnight. huge difference from reg NAM, prob doesn't matter either way at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 2:57 AM, rafpsu said: looks like it to me. NAM jumps the CCB right over the area and reforms it NE, while 4km NAM intensifies it right through the area late tomorrow evening, first nw of the city up through LV, then swings it through the city and east around/just after midnight. huge difference from reg NAM, prob doesn't matter either way at this range. On 2/13/2014 at 2:57 AM, rafpsu said: looks like it to me. NAM jumps the CCB right over the area and reforms it NE, while 4km NAM intensifies it right through the area late tomorrow evening, first nw of the city up through LV, then swings it through the city and east around/just after midnight. huge difference from reg NAM, prob doesn't matter either way at this range. hi res is a 27" sweet spot on the lehigh valley, 12km nam is 14". I dont normally put any stock in the hi res numbers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 2:39 AM, p626808 said: Sleet? Not sure, just adding a visual to Highsenburgs post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 2:57 AM, rafpsu said: looks like it to me. NAM jumps the CCB right over the area and reforms it NE, while 4km NAM intensifies it right through the area late tomorrow evening, first nw of the city up through LV, then swings it through the city and east around/just after midnight. huge difference from reg NAM, prob doesn't matter either way at this range. 0z RGEM does the same thing, it develops the CCB over all of eastern PA with widespread 2-4"/hr rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCT777 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 3:38 AM, LVblizzard said: 0z RGEM does the same thing, it develops the CCB over all of eastern PA with widespread 2-4"/hr rates. Lock it in! But seriously, I do think we will get at least a few inches of snow from it tomorrow night. Just how intense it will be is still TBD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 13, 2014 Author Share Posted February 13, 2014 GFS for all its worth (heh) still has only 7" at TTN. Still keeping 6-12" forecast but leaning on the high side for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Has anyone been watching what is happening on Saturday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 13, 2014 Author Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 12:22 PM, Bluescat1 said: Has anyone been watching what is happening on Saturday? http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/42848-light-snow-214-215-seems-so-small-after-a-big-hit/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 12:30 PM, famartin said: http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/42848-light-snow-214-215-seems-so-small-after-a-big-hit/ 06Z GFS shows some development. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlurker Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Anyone want to hazard a guess as to which model handled this best in the short-term? The Euro was all over this in the medium-long range of course. I didn't see the 0z GFS last night but as of 18z it was still very low on qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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